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33 Gregwood Cir
B Composite 70.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

33 Gregwood Cir · West Glens Falls, NY 12804
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 852 sqft · SingleFamily · 191 Days on market
Fair condition $94/sqft · 77% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FOR SALE: 3 Bed / 1 Bath Single-Wide in Queensbury $80,000 OBO 33 Gregwood Circle | 852 sq ft Dont miss this spacious and move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom single-wide located in a quiet, well-kept Queensbury neighborhood! This home features a bright open floor plan connecting the living room and kitchenperfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms offer walk-in closets, giving you amazing storage. BIG BACKYARDperfect for kids, pets, entertaining, or relaxing outdoors! BONUS: The carpets will be professionally cleaned at NO cost to the buyer after closing! Great layout Walk-in closets Large backyard Nice neighborhood Mountain View Asking $80,000 OR BEST OFFER Perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership. Message me for details or to schedule a showing!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Large backyard
  • Walk-in closets

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANWALK-IN CLOSETSLARGE BACKYARDQUIET NEIGHBORHOODMOUNTAIN VIEW

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 2.4% in West Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#388 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, schools F.
  • Queensbury Union Free School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #230 of 590 in NY (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
19.25%
Cash-on-cash
46.28%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$351,230
List price
$80,000
Delta
-77.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.5%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$42,080
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$107,595
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12804

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,793 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$864

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 175 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2025-12-10
    listed $80,000 Active 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    FOR SALE: 3 Bed / 1 Bath Single-Wide in Queensbury $80,000 OBO 33 Gregwood Circle | 852 sq ft Dont miss this spacious and move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom single-wide located in a quiet, well-kept Queensbury neighborhood! This home features a bright open floor plan connecting the living room and kitchenperfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms offer walk-in closets, giving you amazing storage. BIG BACKYARDperfect for kids, pets, entertaining, or relaxing outdoors! BONUS: The carpets will be professionally cleaned at NO cost to the buyer after closing! Great layout Walk-in closets Large backyard Nice neighborhood Mountain View Asking $80,000 OR BEST OFFER Perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership. Message me for details or to schedule a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,519
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$9,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,320
After-tax cash flow
$8,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide mobile home in a quiet neighborhood is move-in ready with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — standard fixtures
  • Minor landscaping — snow-covered yard

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathroom and adds value
  • Both landscaping and snow removal — enhances curb appeal and makes yard more inviting

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · standard fixtures Minor $500–3,000
landscaping · snow-covered yard Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathroom and adds value
  • Both landscaping and snow removal — enhances curb appeal and makes yard more inviting

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Queensbury Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3624030
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$61,595
Composite
51.76/100
National rank
#1679
State rank
#230 of 590 in NY

Livability — West Glens Falls

Score
71/100
State rank
#388
US rank
#6663

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Glens Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
28,175

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,372 people
By 2030
60,491 · -3.0%
By 2040
55,616 · -10.8%
By 2050
50,437 · -19.1%
By 2075
40,843 · -34.5%
By 2100
31,159 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.40%
Current HPI
337.1909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $80,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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