17913 Wheat Stack Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34219

$339,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,708 sqft · SingleFamily · 124 Days on market

Built 2026 7,195 sqft lot Est $364k · 7% under $132/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.5/30.0
• ARV discount +10.6/15.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

Key facts

• 7,195 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Community features: golf carts OK
• Financial info: Other annual assessment: $1,843; Total monthly fees: $132; Total annual fees: $1,584; Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: HOA managed by Access Management; Monthly HOA fee of $132 (includes pool and grounds maintenance); Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts, basketball court, playground, recreation facilities, community mailbox; Association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage (19' x 20'); Driveway; Garage door opener
• Security: Gated community
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
• Home design: Single family residence; One story; Completed new construction (projected completion April 3, 2026); Northeast facing
• Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by D R Horton (model: Dundee); New construction; Builder license CBC039052
• Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Pool (community/other); Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Thermostat; Smoke detector(s); Gated community access
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Irrigation equipment

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-625/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (2.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (9.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $298k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Gene Witt Elementary School (math 84% / reading 82%, grade A+, #65 of 2,144 statewide, top 3%, 689 students, 24% FRL); Buffalo Creek Middle School (math 59% / reading 51%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 1,127 students, 44% FRL); Parrish Community High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,017 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 2204 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $298,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.11%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.66%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 9.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $363,804
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
17933 Wheat Stack Ct	0.00mi	5/2.0	1,708 (0%)	1mo	$365,000	$214	99
17909 Wheat Stack Ct	0.00mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,498 (-12%)	1mo	$329,000	$220	74
17921 Wheat Stack Ct	0.00mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,498 (-12%)	1mo	$339,000	$226	74
17435 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.49mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	2mo	$334,000	$201	66
17431 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.50mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	3mo	$362,610	$218	65
17416 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.51mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	8mo	$340,000	$204	60
17390 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.55mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	8mo	$346,990	$208	59
17393 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.56mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	7mo	$341,000	$205	58
17389 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.57mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	7mo	$341,000	$205	58
17259 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.52mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-2%)	11mo	$339,000	$204	57
17213 Wheatberry Blvd	0.61mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,828 (+7%)	3mo	$390,000	$213	53
17222 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.60mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,828 (+7%)	12mo	$396,375	$217	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.29×
• Total profit: $-67,111
• Equity at exit: $50,546

10-year hold

• IRR: -24.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.02×
• Total profit: $-96,928
• Equity at exit: $29,311

Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34219

• Home prices YoY: -23.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 2204
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,067 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,778
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$424 /mo · $5,085/yr
• Insurance: −$141
• HOA: −$132
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$644
• Net cashflow: $-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,133

Max offer price $331,459

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $182	-5% $65	+0% $-52	+5% $-169	+10% $-286
Rent	-10% $-294	-5% $-173	+0% $-52	+5% $69	+10% $190
Rate	-1.0pp $119	-0.5pp $34	base $-52	+0.5pp $-140	+1.0pp $-229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $84,750
• Closing costs: $10,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $132 · $1,584/yr

Listing history 46 events

1. 2026-06-15
   status $339,000 Pending 124 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $339,000 Active 124 DOM
3. 2026-06-13
   days on market $339,000 Active 122 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $339,000 Active 121 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   pricedays on market $339,000 Active 119 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $344,000 Active 118 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $344,000 Active 117 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   pricedays on market $344,000 Active 116 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $347,000 Active 112 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $347,000 Active 111 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $347,000 Active 110 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $347,000 Active 109 DOM
13. 2026-05-21
    price $349,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

14. 2026-05-20
    price $349,000
15. 2026-05-14
    price $354,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

16. 2026-05-13
    price $354,000
17. 2026-05-06
    price $357,000

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

18. 2026-05-06
    price $357,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

19. 2026-05-05
    price $339,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

20. 2026-05-01
    price $359,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

21. 2026-04-29
    price $359,000
22. 2026-04-23
    price $362,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

23. 2026-04-22
    price $362,000
24. 2026-04-15
    price $364,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

25. 2026-04-15
    price $364,000

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

26. 2026-04-09
    price $367,000

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

27. 2026-04-09
    price $367,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

28. 2026-04-03
    price $369,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

29. 2026-04-02
    price $369,000
30. 2026-03-26
    price $374,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

31. 2026-03-25
    price $374,000
32. 2026-03-22
    price $377,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

33. 2026-03-18
    price $377,000
34. 2026-03-14
    price $379,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

35. 2026-03-12
    price $379,000
36. 2026-03-06
    price $384,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

37. 2026-03-05
    price $384,000
38. 2026-02-27
    price $387,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

39. 2026-02-26
    price $387,000
40. 2026-02-21
    price $389,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

41. 2026-02-20
    price $389,000
42. 2026-02-19
    price $394,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

43. 2026-02-18
    price $394,000
44. 2026-02-11
    listed $397,990 Active
45. 2026-01-21
    price $399,000 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

46. 2026-01-13
    listed $404,990 Active 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Dundee offers everything you need in a single-story layout that lives larger than its square footage. With five bedrooms, there's flexibility for whatever life brings-guest space, a home office, or that creative studio you've always wanted. Two full bathrooms with sleek fixtures and easy-care quartz countertops provide both comfort and style. At the heart of the home, the open-concept kitchen shines with a central island, walk-in pantry, and a seamless connection to the spacious great room-perfect for hosting friends or enjoying laid-back evenings in.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,800
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,989
• − Property taxes: −$5,085
• − Insurance: −$1,695
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,944
• − Management: −$2,944
• − HOA: −$1,584
• − Depreciation: −$9,862
• Taxable loss: −$6,303
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,513
• After-tax cash flow: $887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 52,177
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,296
• Household income: $113,773
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 219.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Hispanic 2% Russian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.45%
• Current HPI: 271.7131
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-13.8% since first listed

34 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Price Changed $349,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-20 Price Changed $349,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-14 Price Changed $354,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-13 Price Changed $354,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $357,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $357,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $339,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $359,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-29 Price Changed $359,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $362,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $362,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $364,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $364,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $367,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $367,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $369,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-02 Price Changed $369,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $374,000 Zillow
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $374,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-22 Price Changed $377,000 Zillow
• 2026-03-18 Price Changed $377,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-14 Price Changed $379,000 Zillow
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $379,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $384,000 Zillow
• 2026-03-05 Price Changed $384,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-27 Price Changed $387,000 Zillow
• 2026-02-26 Price Changed $387,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-21 Price Changed $389,000 Zillow
• 2026-02-20 Price Changed $389,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-19 Price Changed $394,000 Zillow
• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $394,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-11 Listed $397,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-21 Price Changed $399,000 Zillow
• 2026-01-13 Listed $404,990 Zillow