490 Hawthorne Dr · Fayetteville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$344,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Landscaped lot
- Formal living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $289k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.4% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $226k; list at $345k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.12%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $406,780
- List price
- $344,900
- Delta
- -15.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490 Hawthorne Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,325 (0%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $151 | 98 |
| 275 Arborvale Dr | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 | 2,289 (-2%) | 4mo | $544,990 | $238 | 72 |
| 115 Fernway Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,509 (+8%) | 11mo | $425,000 | $169 | 61 |
| 145 South Shore Ter | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 2,440 (+5%) | 16mo | $374,500 | $153 | 57 |
| 205 Sycamore Bnd | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,355 (+1%) | 7mo | $367,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 437 Forrest Ave | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,416 (+4%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $132 | 51 |
| 105 Hartford Pl | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,580 (+11%) | 13mo | $405,500 | $157 | 46 |
| 135 Ken Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,115 (-9%) | 4mo | $415,000 | $196 | 45 |
| 160 S Shore Ter | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,588 (+11%) | 24mo | $415,000 | $160 | 42 |
| 175 Creekwood Trl | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,543 (+9%) | 18mo | $399,000 | $157 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-36,289
- Equity at exit
- $51,426
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $4,259
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
Cash invested: $96,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30214
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$606
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,225
- Closing costs
- $10,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Squire Ln Fayetteville, GA | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2659 | $2,900 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 120 Tanglewood Dr Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,645 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 245 Woodsong Dr Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $3,500 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 165 Habersham Pl Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2900 | $2,495 | $0.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 640 Hood Ave Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2521 | $2,795 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 110 Gingerbread Pl Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $2,115 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 250 Cobalt Dr Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1897 | $2,400 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 165 Gingercake Ct Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $2,110 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 335 Sharon Dr Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1702 | $1,841 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11status Under Contract 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.
-
2026-05-02status Back On Market 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.
-
2026-04-24status Under Contract 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.
-
2026-04-15$344,900 New 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.
-
2005-03-01soldstatus $226,000
-
1993-05-13soldstatus $138,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,173 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,239/yr (+$187/mo · 239.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,320
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$1,724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,772
- − Management
- −$2,772
- − Depreciation
- −$10,033
- Taxable loss
- −$2,906
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$697
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 1302130
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,746
- Composite
- 50.67/100
- National rank
- #1824
- State rank
- #7 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #7167
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Fayette County · 112,821 people
- City population
- 72,287
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,811
- Household income
- $89,912
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 634.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,914 people
- By 2030
- 125,439 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 132,378 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 137,123 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 156,091 · +29.1%
- By 2100
- 163,102 · +34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.65%
- Current HPI
- 243.9416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+149.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $344,900 GAMLS
- 2005-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $226,000 Public Records
- 1993-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $138,200 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…