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490 Hawthorne Dr
C Composite 55.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$344,900

490 Hawthorne Dr · Fayetteville, GA 30214
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,325 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1975 1.06 ac lot $148/sqft · 15% below area Est $407k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Landscaped lot
  • Formal living room

Tags

LANDSCAPED LOTFORMAL LIVING ROOMCOMFORTABLE FAMILY ROOMBREAKFAST AREAPRIVATE BACKYARDMATURE LANDSCAPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $289k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.4% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $226k; list at $345k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $288,745 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.12%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$406,780
List price
$344,900
Delta
-15.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
490 Hawthorne Dr 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,325 (0%) 0mo $350,000 $151 98
275 Arborvale Dr 0.45mi 4/3.0 2,289 (-2%) 4mo $544,990 $238 72
115 Fernway Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,509 (+8%) 11mo $425,000 $169 61
145 South Shore Ter 0.43mi 4/2.5 2,440 (+5%) 16mo $374,500 $153 57
205 Sycamore Bnd 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,355 (+1%) 7mo $367,000 $156 54
437 Forrest Ave 0.73mi 4/3.0 2,416 (+4%) 10mo $320,000 $132 51
105 Hartford Pl 0.52mi 4/3.0 2,580 (+11%) 13mo $405,500 $157 46
135 Ken Cir 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,115 (-9%) 4mo $415,000 $196 45
160 S Shore Ter 0.38mi 4/2.5 2,588 (+11%) 24mo $415,000 $160 42
175 Creekwood Trl 0.68mi 4/2.5 2,543 (+9%) 18mo $399,000 $157 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-36,289
Equity at exit
$51,426
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$4,259
Equity at exit
$29,821

Cash invested: $96,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30214

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,887 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $934/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$606
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,570
Max offer price $344,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,225
Closing costs
$10,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
255 Squire Ln Fayetteville, GA 5.0 4.0 2659 $2,900 $1.09 43d 1 0.75mi
120 Tanglewood Dr Fayetteville, GA 4.0 2.5 2208 $2,645 $1.20 5d 1 0.78mi
245 Woodsong Dr Fayetteville, GA 3.0 2.5 2440 $3,500 $1.43 43d 1 0.97mi
165 Habersham Pl Fayetteville, GA 3.0 2.5 2900 $2,495 $0.86 3d 1 1.28mi
640 Hood Ave Fayetteville, GA 3.0 3.0 2521 $2,795 $1.11 22d 1 1.34mi
110 Gingerbread Pl Fayetteville, GA 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,115 $1.34 3d 1 1.41mi
250 Cobalt Dr Fayetteville, GA 3.0 2.5 1897 $2,400 $1.27 15d 1 1.46mi
165 Gingercake Ct Fayetteville, GA 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,110 $1.33 43d 1 1.48mi
335 Sharon Dr Fayetteville, GA 4.0 3.0 1702 $1,841 $1.08 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Under Contract 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.

  2. 2026-05-02
    status Back On Market 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.

  3. 2026-04-24
    status Under Contract 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.

  4. 2026-04-15
    listed $344,900 New 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Spacious ranch home on a beautifully landscaped 1-acre lot in the heart of Fayetteville. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a formal living room, dining room, and a comfortable family room, providing plenty of space to spread out. The kitchen includes a breakfast area and easy access to the laundry room, while the sunroom overlooks the private backyard and offers a great spot to relax or entertain. The outdoor space features mature landscaping, room for a garden, and an outbuilding for additional storage or workspace. Great opportunity to update and make it your own, all in a prime Fayetteville location just minutes from Piedmont Fayette Hospital, Trilith Studios, and the U.S. Soccer National Training Center & Headquarters.

  5. 2005-03-01
    soldstatus $226,000
  6. 1993-05-13
    soldstatus $138,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$934 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,173 · $264/mo
Expected delta
+$2,239/yr (+$187/mo · 239.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,649
− Mortgage interest
−$19,320
− Property taxes
−$934
− Insurance
−$1,724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,772
− Management
−$2,772
− Depreciation
−$10,033
Taxable loss
−$2,906
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$697
After-tax cash flow
$3,708/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County
NCES district ID
1302130
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$80,746
Composite
50.67/100
National rank
#1824
State rank
#7 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
71/100
State rank
#86
US rank
#7167

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fayette County · 112,821 people
City population
72,287
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
31,811
Household income
$89,912
Rent vs Own
18.7% rent · 81.3% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,914 people
By 2030
125,439 · +3.7%
By 2040
132,378 · +9.5%
By 2050
137,123 · +13.4%
By 2075
156,091 · +29.1%
By 2100
163,102 · +34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
+27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.65%
Current HPI
243.9416
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $344,900 GAMLS
  • 2005-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $226,000 Public Records
  • 1993-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $138,200 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $934 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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