CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2624 Columbus Dr
B- Composite 69.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

2624 Columbus Dr · Brownsville, TX 78521
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1977 6,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity!

Key facts

  • 6,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1977
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Located in the Vallon subdivision
  • Construction: Block construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, employment F.
  • Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Perez El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 628 students, 96% FRL); Oliveira Middle (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 802 students, 94% FRL); Hanna Early College H S (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #924 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,246 students, 88% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.02%
Cash-on-cash
20.46%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$14,304
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$81,067
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78521

Home prices YoY
-26.0%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
365
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $435 -5% $404 +0% $373 +5% $342 +10% $311
Rent -10% $250 -5% $311 +0% $373 +5% $435 +10% $497
Rate -1.0pp $429 -0.5pp $401 base $373 +0.5pp $345 +1.0pp $316

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2573 Rockwell Dr Unit 2E Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.0 875 $1,000 $1.14 22d 1 0.31mi
2573 Rockwell Dr Unit 1C Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.0 975 $1,100 $1.13 45d 1 0.31mi
2815 E Price Rd Unit 104 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.5 1123 $1,350 $1.20 22d 1 0.32mi
2D Palmetto Ct Unit 2D Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 22d 1 0.48mi
16 Palmetto Ct Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,100 $1.07 22d 1 0.50mi
3901 Las Palmas Cir Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 22d 1 0.52mi
605 Paredes Line Rd Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 900 $875 $0.97 45d 1 0.68mi
538 Land O Lakes Dr Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,600 $1.13 45d 1 0.71mi
515 Mc Davitt Blvd Brownsville, TX 4.0 2.0 1272 $1,300 $1.02 45d 1 0.74mi
1617 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,900 $1.61 22d 1 1.18mi
1618 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,700 $1.58 45d 1 1.18mi
328 Creekbend Dr Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,600 $1.79 22d 1 1.20mi
2021 Westminster Cir Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1109 $1,300 $1.17 45d 1 1.21mi
1604 Yale Ave Brownsville, TX 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,800 $1.37 22d 1 1.21mi
50 Galonsky St Unit 3 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 45d 1 1.29mi
120 Galonsky St Unit G3 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.5 1224 $1,325 $1.08 22d 1 1.30mi
1815 Sancho Panza St Brownsville, TX 4.0 3.0 1784 $2,350 $1.32 45d 1 1.33mi
3744 Boca Chica Blvd Unit 100F Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 980 $1,500 $1.53 22d 1 1.36mi
2700 Farm to Market Road 802 Brownsville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $2,002 $2.02 15d 8 1.37mi
95 Poinciana Dr Brownsville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1130 $2,500 $2.21 45d 2 1.38mi
95 Poinciana Dr Brownsville, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0 1218 $2,600 $2.13 15d 2 1.38mi
1405 Harvard Ave Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,700 $1.19 45d 1 1.39mi
164 Robins Ln Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1620 $2,200 $1.36 45d 1 1.43mi
801 Tropical Dr Unit 3 Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$949/yr (+$79/mo · 89.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,783
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,064
− Insurance
−$2,374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,503
− Management
−$1,503
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,978
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$715
After-tax cash flow
$3,764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brownsville ISD
NCES district ID
4811680
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$30,490
Composite
21.8/100
National rank
#8249
State rank
#710 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownsville

Score
79/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#2311

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownsville, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
212,132
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
87,380
Household income
$44,509
Rent vs Own
39.7% rent · 60.3% own
Severe rent burden
2682.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 45% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada
Languages at home
12% English-only · Spanish 88%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.45%
Current HPI
232.1072
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $110,000 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,064 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…