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1874 Lake Henry Ave
B Composite 70.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$80,000

1874 Lake Henry Ave · Mulberry Grove, IL 62262
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1980 5.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits on this secluded 5.5-acre property featuring a pond, mature trees, and a peaceful country setting. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a full basement and attractive brick-front exterior, providing a solid starting point for your vision. The home has been vacant for many years and will require a complete renovation, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home from the ground up. Surrounded by nature and offering plenty of privacy, this property has the potential to become a truly special retreat. Whether you're looking to restore the existing home or reimagine the space entirely, this is your chance to make it your own and enjoy th

Key facts

  • 5.5 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 780 (source: appraiser)

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Single-phase electric service; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; One story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Gentle sloping lot; Many trees; Pond on the property; Approximately 5.5 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living; Basement with concrete finish; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,127 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mulberry Grove CUSD 1 (rural): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #732 of 919 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mulberry Grove Elem School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 165 students, 0% FRL); Mulberry Grove Sr High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 111 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Bond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Bond County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $80k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.24%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$27,159
Equity at exit
$36,600
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$72,233
Equity at exit
$56,898

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62262

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,001 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $861/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $664
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $80,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$861 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,338 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$478/yr (+$40/mo · 55.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,007
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$861
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$961
− Management
−$961
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$484
After-tax cash flow
$2,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mulberry Grove CUSD 1
NCES district ID
1727450
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,252
Composite
19.32/100
National rank
#13954
State rank
#732 of 919 in IL

Livability — Mulberry Grove

Score
58/100
State rank
#1127
US rank
#21267

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,887

Population outlook (Bond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,651 people
By 2030
15,008 · -4.1%
By 2040
13,490 · -13.8%
By 2050
12,002 · -23.3%
By 2075
9,019 · -42.4%
By 2100
6,539 · -58.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bond

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.5% · R 71.3% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-43.5pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.14%
Current HPI
133.1925
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $861 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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