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C+ Composite 61.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

8337 Reedy Creek Rd · Charlotte, NC 28215
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,650 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1967 10,018 sqft lot Est $333k · 40% under ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special - house is not in ready-to-live-in condition: This fabulous, updated ranch is perfectly situated just minutes from I-485, offering both convenience and tranquility. Step inside to discover a thoughtfully updated interior featuring a blend of stylish tile and warm wood flooring throughout. The kitchen shines with crisp white cabinetry, a modern white tile backsplash, and ample counter space—ideal for cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the serene, wooded backyard from your expansive deck, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings in a peaceful natural setting. Don't miss the chance to own this charming, updated home in a prime location! No functioning Well or Septic. Buye

Key facts

  • Wooded backyard
  • Updated ranch
  • Prime location

Tags

UPDATED RANCHWOODED BACKYARDEXPANSIVE DECKPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: N1-A
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; 3 open parking spaces
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: Water source: Other (see remarks); Sewer: Other (see remarks)
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; One story
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; Built as a single-level home
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 132 x 80 x 119; Publicly maintained road access; Road surfaces include concrete, dirt, and paved

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic with pull-down stairs; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.1% in Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Reedy Creek Elementary (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 1,007 students, 54% FRL); Northridge Middle (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 1,088 students, 58% FRL); Rocky River High School (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #438 of 535 statewide, top 82%, 1,643 students, 52% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 566 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.41%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$333,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8705 Brookstead Dr 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,622 (-2%) 3mo $270,000 $166 67
11331 Mendora Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,732 (+5%) 0mo $405,000 $234 58
11539 Gelding Dr 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,826 (+11%) 6mo $375,000 $205 58
8601 Findon Pl 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-9%) 7mo $300,000 $200 55
10915 Northgate Trail Dr 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,863 (+13%) 2mo $360,000 $193 55
8523 Boxford Ct 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,450 (-12%) 2mo $330,000 $228 54
7625 Nicolette Ct 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,820 (+10%) 4mo $368,000 $202 52
8636 Warwick Crest Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,459 (-12%) 1mo $315,000 $216 52
8927 Little Hampton Pl 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,729 (+5%) 5mo $310,000 $179 49
7633 Nicolette Ct 0.52mi 3/2.5 1,862 (+13%) 7mo $350,000 $188 46
8904 Daventry Pl 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,477 (-10%) 8mo $275,000 $186 44
9032 Little Hampton Pl 0.75mi 3/2.5 1,472 (-11%) 2mo $301,999 $205 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-15,889
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$546
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28215

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
566
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,047 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,236/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,668
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $412 -5% $355 +0% $299 +5% $242 +10% $186
Rent -10% $137 -5% $218 +0% $299 +5% $380 +10% $461
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $350 base $299 +0.5pp $247 +1.0pp $194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10640 Greatford Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,055 $0.75 23d 1 0.25mi
10636 Greatford Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1245 $1,695 $1.36 9d 1 0.26mi
10631 Coulport Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1678 $2,295 $1.37 17d 1 0.27mi
8733 Sam Dee Rd Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1524 $1,965 $1.29 0d 1 0.35mi
8721 Kirkley Glen Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1680 $1,995 $1.19 0d 1 0.42mi
5020 James Bradley Lee Way Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.0 1173 $1,929 $1.64 4d 1 0.44mi
5020 James Bradley Lee Way Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.0 1409 $2,208 $1.57 25d 1 0.44mi
7901 Saddleview Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1710 $4,800 $2.81 25d 1 0.50mi
8306 Hornwood Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1829 $2,200 $1.20 23d 1 0.51mi
8303 Hornwood Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,925 $1.34 19d 1 0.54mi
8701 Brookstead Dr Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1294 $1,849 $1.43 4d 1 0.57mi
7826 Cafferty Cir Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1958 $1,985 $1.01 9d 1 0.57mi
8237 Hornwood Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,795 $1.50 25d 1 0.57mi
10218 Ridgewell Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 2085 $1,950 $0.94 17d 1 0.65mi
10342 Battle Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,775 $1.41 4d 1 0.69mi
10334 Creswell Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1257 $1,879 $1.49 0d 1 0.82mi
9929 Brawley Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 2025 $2,155 $1.06 6d 1 1.05mi
6713 Reedy Creek Rd Charlotte, NC 4.0 2.5 2100 $2,275 $1.08 9d 1 1.06mi
7027 Passeres Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1626 $1,940 $1.19 6d 1 1.06mi
10339 Gold Pan Rd Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1370 $1,858 $1.36 17d 1 1.07mi
7917 Shiny Meadow Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1289 $1,995 $1.55 6d 1 1.10mi
6800 Brancusi Ct Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1832 $2,179 $1.19 4d 1 1.21mi
5748 Timbertop Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1980 $1,500 $0.76 0d 1 1.23mi
2224 Goldwood Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.0 1180 $1,900 $1.61 12d 1 1.28mi
11210 Isthmus Ct Charlotte, NC 4.0 2.5 2036 $2,160 $1.06 17d 1 1.31mi
10809 Gold Pan Rd Charlotte, NC 4.0 2.5 1864 $2,214 $1.19 25d 1 1.32mi
9819 Aventide Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1816 $2,295 $1.26 25d 1 1.35mi
9518 Hamel St Charlotte, NC 4.0 2.5 1841 $2,425 $1.32 25d 1 1.40mi
12205 Hamilton Jones Dr Charlotte, NC 4.0 2.5 1978 $2,180 $1.10 0d 1 1.45mi
9740 Veronica Dr Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1220 $2,000 $1.64 12d 1 1.48mi
9626 Rothman Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 2080 $2,249 $1.08 0d 1 1.48mi
9415 Bradstreet Commons Way Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1541 $1,969 $1.28 3d 1 1.50mi
11822 Stewarts Crossing Dr Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,900 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-03-14
    price $199,900
  13. 2026-02-19
    listed $209,900 Active
  14. 2025-12-20
    price $249,900
  15. 2025-11-19
    price $260,500
  16. 2025-10-07
    listed $275,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,236 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,236 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,559
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,236
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,965
− Management
−$1,965
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$91
After-tax cash flow
$3,495/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools
NCES district ID
3702970
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$57,175
Composite
38.49/100
National rank
#4183
State rank
#85 of 178 in NC

Livability — Charlotte

Score
78/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#2502

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mecklenburg County · 1,167,319 people
City population
920,422
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
66,674
Household income
$71,162
Rent vs Own
32.8% rent · 67.2% own
Severe rent burden
1952.0

Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,305,740 people
By 2030
1,442,752 · +10.5%
By 2040
1,722,441 · +31.9%
By 2050
1,999,450 · +53.1%
By 2075
2,642,495 · +102.4%
By 2100
3,106,755 · +137.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 23% White 21% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 65.6% · R 32.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+8.5pp toward D · 2008: 24.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+22.5 2008: D+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.15%
Current HPI
286.5413
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $199,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $209,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $249,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $260,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $275,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9461.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,236 · +9461.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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