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604 Colonial Ln
C Composite 58.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

604 Colonial Ln · Killeen, TX 76543
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 265 Days on market
Built 1983 7,705 sqft lot $69/sqft · 39% below area Est $154k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

Key facts

  • Vaulted ceiling
  • Central location
  • Brick home

Tags

BRICK HOMECENTRAL LOCATIONLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGTILE FLOORINGWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEVAULTED CEILING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Killeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#853 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, employment D.
  • Killeen ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #524 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $72k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.70%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,498
List price
$94,900
Delta
-38.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2602 Lu Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-1%) 6mo $105,000 $78 59
1400 Diane Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,177 (-14%) 4mo $120,000 $102 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-12,109
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-14,965
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76543

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,190 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,586/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,058
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3407 Victoria Cir Apt A Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 1364 $950 $0.70 43d 1 0.22mi
3109 Atkinson Ave Apt 219 Killeen, TX 2.0 2.0 1008 $575 $0.57 43d 1 0.28mi
3107 Atkinson Ave Killeen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 756 $700 $0.93 43d 1 0.28mi
3312 Lake Travis Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1019 $1,300 $1.28 43d 1 0.35mi
3312 Lake Travis Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1019 $1,150 $1.13 23d 1 0.35mi
3109 Clinkenbeard Dr Unit 3107A Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,375 $1.10 13d 1 0.54mi
1001 N Twin Creek Dr Killeen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,307 $1.52 43d 8 0.59mi
305 S 42nd St Unit A Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 13d 1 0.62mi
3009 Lake Rd Unit A Killeen, TX 2.0 1.5 975 $765 $0.78 43d 1 0.70mi
3007 Lake Rd Unit A Killeen, TX 2.0 1.5 1186 $795 $0.67 43d 1 0.70mi
3626 Cranford Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1125 $950 $0.84 23d 1 0.71mi
3401 Turner Ave Unit C Killeen, TX 2.0 1.5 1078 $900 $0.83 43d 1 0.75mi
1706 Wickfield Way Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,600 $1.19 43d 1 0.78mi
101 S Twin Creek Dr Killeen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 776 $1,319 $1.70 21d 13 0.80mi
906 McDaniel Cir Unit A Killeen, TX 2.0 2.0 1138 $1,150 $1.01 43d 1 0.83mi
1005 Eastside Dr Unit A Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 942 $850 $0.90 43d 1 0.84mi
912 McDaniel Cir Unit A Killeen, TX 2.0 2.0 997 $1,225 $1.23 13d 1 0.85mi
519 S 54th St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,250 $0.94 43d 1 0.86mi
1006 Eastside Dr Apt D Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 1054 $725 $0.69 43d 1 0.87mi
4404 Water St Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,450 $1.13 43d 1 0.88mi
3303 Brookbend Dr Killeen, TX 4.0 2.0 1700 $1,450 $0.85 23d 1 0.88mi
401 S Twin Creek Dr Killeen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 768 $1,190 $1.55 13d 7 0.89mi
1711 Godman St Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,195 $0.80 23d 1 0.91mi
1806 Kangaroo Ave Killeen, TX 4.0 2.0 1543 $1,595 $1.03 23d 1 0.91mi
3708 Daniels Dr Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 920 $1,050 $1.14 43d 1 0.95mi
1700 Standridge St Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1568 $1,550 $0.99 13d 1 0.96mi
2303 Debra Cir Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 1617 $1,600 $0.99 23d 1 0.99mi
2701 Hillside Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 924 $995 $1.08 21d 1 1.01mi
2504 Lake Rd Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,295 $0.89 13d 1 1.02mi
906 Jefferis Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,050 $0.80 13d 1 1.02mi
2701 Stetson Ave #2703 Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 1536 $800 $0.52 43d 1 1.03mi
1911 Hill St Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1467 $1,550 $1.06 43d 1 1.03mi
2306 Remington Dr Killeen, TX 4.0 2.0 1011 $1,295 $1.28 23d 1 1.06mi
710 Stetson Ave Unit 712 Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 1725 $800 $0.46 43d 1 1.07mi
1206 Middleton St Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 1750 $800 $0.46 43d 1 1.07mi
808 Stetson Ave Unit 806 Killeen, TX 2.0 1.0 1650 $825 $0.50 43d 1 1.09mi
1207 Liberty Bell Loop Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,225 $1.02 13d 1 1.09mi
4503 River Oaks Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,495 $0.89 13d 1 1.10mi
4505 River Oaks Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,495 $0.98 43d 1 1.11mi
705 Crockett Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1174 $1,095 $0.93 43d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  2. 2026-04-19
    price $94,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  3. 2026-03-02
    price $109,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  4. 2026-02-05
    price $119,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  5. 2026-01-04
    price $124,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  6. 2025-12-03
    price $139,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  7. 2025-11-10
    price $144,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  8. 2025-10-09
    price $149,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  9. 2025-08-13
    listed $154,900 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath, brick home. This property has had some updates - luxury vinyl plank flooring in most of the house and tile flooring in the converted garage. Living room with wood burning fireplace and vaulted ceiling. The backyard features a walking path and trees for shade. Take a look today! * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS. HIGHEST & BEST OFFERS DUE BY 4/27/2026 AT 10:00AM CDT. * * *

  10. 2025-03-08
    listed Active
  11. 2024-03-27
    soldstatus
  12. 2024-03-18
    status Pending
  13. 2024-03-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  14. 2024-01-09
    listed $165,000 Active
  15. 2023-12-27
    soldstatus
  16. 2004-09-27
    soldstatus $71,500
  17. 2004-09-27
    soldstatus
  18. 2004-09-21
    listed $71,500
  19. 2003-07-29
    soldstatus
  20. 1994-11-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,586 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,586 · $299/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,280
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$3,586
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,142
− Management
−$1,142
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable loss
−$142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$34
After-tax cash flow
$1,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Killeen ISD
NCES district ID
4825660
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,665
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#6458
State rank
#524 of 826 in TX

Livability — Killeen

Score
63/100
State rank
#853
US rank
#15359

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Killeen, TX
County
Bell County · 345,090 people
City population
163,398
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,457
Household income
$48,564
Rent vs Own
60.5% rent · 39.5% own
Severe rent burden
2423.0

Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
371,114 people
By 2030
389,104 · +4.8%
By 2040
420,592 · +13.3%
By 2050
447,779 · +20.7%
By 2075
499,130 · +34.5%
By 2100
505,680 · +36.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 26% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bell

2024 margin
R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -178.13%
Current HPI
184.405
Rent YoY
▼ -1.49%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $94,900 CTXMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $109,900 CTXMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $119,900 CTXMLS
  • 2026-01-04 Price Changed $124,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $139,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $149,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $154,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-03-08 Listed Unlock MLS
  • 2024-03-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-03-18 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2024-03-12 Contingent CTXMLS
  • 2024-01-09 Listed $165,000 CTXMLS
  • 2023-12-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-09-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-09-27 Sold (MLS) $71,500 CTXMLS
  • 2004-09-21 Listed $71,500 CTXMLS
  • 2003-07-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-11-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,586 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…