CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1223 N Fellows St
D Composite 43.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,500

1223 N Fellows St · Ottumwa, IA 52501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1947 6,864 sqft lot $152/sqft · 19% above area Est $92k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready! 2 bedrooms and 1 bath and a full basement. New paint inside and all new flooring. Close to the hospital and shopping. This is a must see! Kitchen appliances and washer and dryer.

Key facts

  • Kitchen appliances
  • Washer and dryer
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTKITCHEN APPLIANCESWASHER AND DRYER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.6% in Ottumwa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#91 in IA, #1,900 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
  • Ottumwa Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #277 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Evans Middle School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade C-, #219 of 246 statewide, top 90%, 1,047 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Wapello County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wapello County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $110k implies a 635% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $102,930 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.75%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,035
List price
$109,500
Delta
18.98%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
608 N Jefferson St 0.50mi 2/1.0 728 (+1%) 10mo $119,900 $165 67
1306 Center Street Pl 0.67mi 2/1.0 816 (+13%) 23mo $180,000 $221 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-10,038
Equity at exit
$16,327
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,125
Equity at exit
$9,468

Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52501

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,038 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$574
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $944/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $884
Max offer price $109,500
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $183 -5% $152 +0% $121 +5% $90 +10% $59
Rent -10% $39 -5% $80 +0% $121 +5% $162 +10% $203
Rate -1.0pp $176 -0.5pp $149 base $121 +0.5pp $93 +1.0pp $64

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,375
Closing costs
$3,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $109,500 Pending 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,500 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,500 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,500 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,500 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,500 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,500 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,500 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-04-21
    price $109,500 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Move in ready! 2 bedrooms and 1 bath and a full basement. New paint inside and all new flooring. Close to the hospital and shopping. This is a must see! Kitchen appliances and washer and dryer.

  10. 2026-03-23
    listed $119,500 Active 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Move in ready! 2 bedrooms and 1 bath and a full basement. New paint inside and all new flooring. Close to the hospital and shopping. This is a must see! Kitchen appliances and washer and dryer.

  11. 2014-11-21
    soldstatus $14,900 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    2 Bedroom House Close To Hospital With Off Street Parking. Basement Needs Work.

  12. 2013-12-23
    listed $19,000 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    2 Bedroom House Close To Hospital With Off Street Parking. Basement Needs Work.

  13. 2006-02-24
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$944 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,332 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$388/yr (+$32/mo · 41.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,453
− Mortgage interest
−$6,134
− Property taxes
−$944
− Insurance
−$548
− Repairs & maintenance
−$996
− Management
−$996
− Depreciation
−$3,185
Taxable loss
−$350
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$84
After-tax cash flow
$1,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ottumwa Community School District
NCES district ID
1922110
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,864
Composite
43.46/100
National rank
#3004
State rank
#277 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ottumwa

Score
80/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#1900

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottumwa, IA
Population (ZIP)
30,341

Population outlook (Wapello County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,472 people
By 2030
35,563 · +0.3%
By 2040
36,083 · +1.7%
By 2050
37,287 · +5.1%
By 2075
43,898 · +23.8%
By 2100
52,973 · +49.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wapello

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-45.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.66%
Current HPI
174.6021
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $109,500 IAR
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $119,500 IAR
  • 2014-11-21 Sold (MLS) $14,900 IAR
  • 2013-12-23 Listed $19,000 IAR
  • 2006-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $944 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…