709 W Parker St · Hamburg, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.8/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Smaller older home that has great bones! Three Bedroom/one bathroom - HVAC system is 5 years old - Gas hot water tank is about 2 years old. Would make a good rental investment or perfect for a first-time home buyer!
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 1 car
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Brick exterior
- Construction: Metal roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Partially fenced yard; Paved road access; Level lot; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Free‑standing stove
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Electric fireplace logs
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $59k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#125 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hamburg School District (town): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #187 of 238 in AR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashley County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $59k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.17%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $35,520
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 St. Louis | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 21mo | $40,000 | $37 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $7,263
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $28,022
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71646
- Home prices YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $59,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 New Listing 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 New Listing 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 New Listing 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 216-char remark
-
2026-06-12$59,000 New Listing 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $2,369
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$569
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamburg School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500042
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,669
- Composite
- 20.69/100
- National rank
- #8527
- State rank
- #187 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hamburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #11736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hamburg, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,683
Population outlook (Ashley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,757 people
- By 2030
- 17,541 · -6.5%
- By 2040
- 15,243 · -18.7%
- By 2050
- 13,136 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 8,901 · -52.5%
- By 2100
- 5,626 · -70.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.2% · R 73.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.9pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.32%
- Current HPI
- 161.0476
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+118.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $59,000 CARMLS
- 1997-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+35.2%/yrLatest (2022): $15 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…