206 Roy St · Springhill, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM BRICK HOME IS CURRENTLY TENANT OCCUPIED. RECENTLY TOTALLY REMODEL INCLUDED NEW INTERIOR & EXTERIOR PAINT, NEW ARCHTECTURAL SHINGLE ROOF, NEW PORCELAIN TILE & LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING THROUGHOUT, NEW DISHWASHER, NEW OVEN, WATER HEATER, NEW BATHROOM AND KITCHEN QUARTZ AND GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, NEW VANITY & KITCHEN LIGHTS AS WELL AS A NEW CONCRETE DRIVEWAY AND SIDE WALK TO BACK YARD PATIO.
Key facts
- New porcelain tile
- New water heater
- New oven
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No municipal utility district
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1975; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Less than 0.5 acre lot; All-weather road access; Asphalt surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1; 2 total bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Paneling; Other interior finishes; One-level layout
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-332/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $60k (28.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $60k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($581 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.41%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,985
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1306 4th St SE | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+6%) | 14mo | $55,000 | $48 | 69 |
| 603 Center Park Dr | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 23mo | $75,000 | $63 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $10,863
- Equity at exit
- $40,479
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $38,022
- Equity at exit
- $64,576
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71075
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $314/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$126
- Net cashflow
- $-28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 Barrett St Cullen, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $600 | $0.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$84,000 Active
-
2008-04-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $314 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $462 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 47.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $7,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$314
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$576
- − Management
- −$576
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable loss
- −$1,835
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201890
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -38.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,011
- Composite
- 17.5/100
- National rank
- #9055
- State rank
- #67 of 98 in LA
Livability — Springhill
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #139
- US rank
- #12517
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springhill, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,417
Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,736 people
- By 2030
- 36,203 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 32,988 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 29,743 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 22,346 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 15,045 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Webster
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.57%
- Current HPI
- 90.8938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $84,000 NTREIS
- 2008-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $314 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…