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206 Roy St
F Composite 33.8
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$84,000

206 Roy St · Springhill, LA 71075
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,095 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1975 0.31 ac lot Est $69k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM BRICK HOME IS CURRENTLY TENANT OCCUPIED. RECENTLY TOTALLY REMODEL INCLUDED NEW INTERIOR & EXTERIOR PAINT, NEW ARCHTECTURAL SHINGLE ROOF, NEW PORCELAIN TILE & LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING THROUGHOUT, NEW DISHWASHER, NEW OVEN, WATER HEATER, NEW BATHROOM AND KITCHEN QUARTZ AND GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, NEW VANITY & KITCHEN LIGHTS AS WELL AS A NEW CONCRETE DRIVEWAY AND SIDE WALK TO BACK YARD PATIO.

Key facts

  • New porcelain tile
  • New water heater
  • New oven

Tags

BRICK HOMENEW ARCHITECTURAL SHINGLE ROOFNEW PORCELAIN TILENEW DISHWASHERNEW OVENNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No municipal utility district
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1975; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Less than 0.5 acre lot; All-weather road access; Asphalt surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1; 2 total bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Paneling; Other interior finishes; One-level layout
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-332/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $60k (28.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($581 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000 (28.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,985
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1306 4th St SE 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,156 (+6%) 14mo $55,000 $48 69
603 Center Park Dr 0.75mi 2/1.0 1,200 (+10%) 23mo $75,000 $63 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,863
Equity at exit
$40,479
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$38,022
Equity at exit
$64,576

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71075

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $314/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$126
Net cashflow
$-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $635
Max offer price $79,110
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2100 Barrett St Cullen, LA 2.0 1.0 975 $600 $0.62 13d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $84,000 Active
  16. 2008-04-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$314 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$462 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$148/yr (+$12/mo · 47.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,200
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$314
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$576
− Management
−$576
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable loss
−$1,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$440
After-tax cash flow
$108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Parish
NCES district ID
2201890
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -38.00%
Median HH income
$33,011
Composite
17.5/100
National rank
#9055
State rank
#67 of 98 in LA

Livability — Springhill

Score
65/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#12517

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springhill, LA
Population (ZIP)
5,417

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,736 people
By 2030
36,203 · -4.1%
By 2040
32,988 · -12.6%
By 2050
29,743 · -21.2%
By 2075
22,346 · -40.8%
By 2100
15,045 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.57%
Current HPI
90.8938
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $84,000 NTREIS
  • 2008-04-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $314 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…