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2050 Aitken Ave
D Composite 44.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,400

2050 Aitken Ave · Flint, MI 48503
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,174 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1918 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to buy this fixer upper located in Flint, MI and sitting on a . 12 acre lot with an attached garage. The home needs renovation. The interior has 1174 sq. ft. with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1918

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Block foundation; Other roof material
  • Exterior features: 50 x 105 lot; Road frontage: Other; No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $892 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Cap rate 109.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $72 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $312 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $10,400

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.74%
Cap rate
109.25%
Cash-on-cash
367.70%
DSCR
17.36
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,526
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2002 Ferris Ave 0.27mi 4/1.0 1,087 (-7%) 8mo $29,000 $27 68
609 Lippincott Blvd 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-8%) 9mo $40,000 $37 64
149 E Linsey Blvd 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,253 (+7%) 0mo $50,000 $40 58
2041 Warner Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,001 (-15%) 0mo $24,000 $24 57
1930 Owen St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,236 (+5%) 2mo $129,900 $105 53
1608 Broad Ct 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,130 (-4%) 18mo $92,500 $82 47
838 Belmont Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,183 (+1%) 18mo $138,000 $117 43
1522 Woodslea Dr 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,262 (+8%) 21mo $148,900 $118 42
1905 Whittlesey St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,014 (-14%) 18mo $50,000 $49 34
234 E Belvidere Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,059 (-10%) 16mo $26,000 $25 32
1415 Ridgelawn Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,314 (+12%) 18mo $137,000 $104 31
142 E Belvidere Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-15%) 15mo $32,690 $33 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.16×
Total profit
$61,614
Equity at exit
$1,551
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
54.66×
Total profit
$156,261
Equity at exit
$899

Cash invested: $2,912 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$55
Tax est. 1.5%
$13 /mo · $156/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$892

Break-even live

Break-even rent $91
Max offer price $10,400
Occupancy floor 22%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,600
Closing costs
$312
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
132 Pine Blf Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $953 $0.99 43d 1 1.11mi
4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 13d 1 1.39mi
4428 Pengelly Rd Flint, MI 4.0 2.0 1275 $900 $0.71 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Great opportunity to buy this fixer upper located in Flint, MI and sitting on a . 12 acre lot with an attached garage. The home needs renovation. The interior has 1174 sq. ft. with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.

  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $10,400 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Great opportunity to buy this fixer upper located in Flint, MI and sitting on a . 12 acre lot with an attached garage. The home needs renovation. The interior has 1174 sq. ft. with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,646
− Mortgage interest
−$583
− Property taxes
−$156
− Insurance
−$52
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$303
Taxable income
$11,209
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,690
After-tax cash flow
$8,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $10,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $10,400 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $839 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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