1307 Enon Ave · Enon, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 42.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quiet Street, Large Rear yard. .Priced below Assessed for Quick sale.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Brick, frame, hardboard and drywall construction; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Paved driveway; Deck; Stoop; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Electric cooking; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on first level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood (laminate)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub & shower; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling); Electric heating; Baseboard heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen island; Laminate counters; Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($467/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.4% in Enon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#293 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chesterfield County Public School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #57 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Enon Elementary (math 53% / reading 67%, grade B-, #533 of 1,108 statewide, top 48%, 781 students, 81% FRL); Elizabeth Davis Middle (math 41% / reading 44%, grade D-, #291 of 342 statewide, top 86%, 1,337 students, 44% FRL); Thomas Dale High (math 41% / reading 82%, grade B-, #240 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 2,556 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 26% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,307 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (462 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesterfield County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $290k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 42% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.57%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $282,988
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14116 Bolling Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-0%) | 12mo | $345,000 | $329 | 85 |
| 1315 Enon Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-1%) | 21mo | $257,000 | $247 | 80 |
| 14027 Starpine Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+5%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $281 | 78 |
| 14218 Bermuda Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-9%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $324 | 77 |
| 1214 Cameron Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,161 (+10%) | 1mo | $312,500 | $269 | 75 |
| 14405 Santell Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,052 (0%) | 9mo | $295,000 | $280 | 74 |
| 14109 State Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,107 (+5%) | 15mo | $249,950 | $226 | 73 |
| 14115 State Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,107 (+5%) | 14mo | $295,000 | $266 | 72 |
| 14106 Starpine Ln | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+5%) | 18mo | $288,000 | $261 | 68 |
| 1109 Traywick Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-4%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $273 | 64 |
| 14308 Central Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-9%) | 14mo | $251,600 | $263 | 61 |
| 1201 Enon Church Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,204 (+14%) | 13mo | $306,000 | $254 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-44,613
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-36,055
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23836
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,313 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,766/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $121 | +0% $39 | +5% $-43 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-144 | -5% $-52 | +0% $39 | +5% $130 | +10% $222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $185 | -0.5pp $113 | base $39 | +0.5pp $-36 | +1.0pp $-113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1530 River Tree Dr Chester, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1271 | $2,483 | $1.95 | 0d | 28 | 0.36mi |
| 15219 Spruce Ave Chester, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,991 | $1.89 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $289,999 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $289,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,999 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,999 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $289,999
-
2017-07-21soldstatus $107,500
-
2017-07-20soldstatus $107,500 Closed 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Quiet Street, Large Rear yard. .Priced below Assessed for Quick sale.
-
2017-04-29status Pending 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Quiet Street, Large Rear yard. .Priced below Assessed for Quick sale.
-
2017-04-10$115,000 Active 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Quiet Street, Large Rear yard. .Priced below Assessed for Quick sale.
-
2011-06-17soldstatus $75,000 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Cozy ranch home in great location! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features hardwood floors throughout much of the home, a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space and great sized bedrooms. The large deck and rear yard are perfect for entertaining in the upcoming warmer months. Come see the possibilities!Property to be sold As-Is. Ask your agent for details. Please note utilities are off at this property; bring a flashlight. Case #541-675965
-
2011-05-02historical 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Cozy ranch home in great location! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features hardwood floors throughout much of the home, a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space and great sized bedrooms. The large deck and rear yard are perfect for entertaining in the upcoming warmer months. Come see the possibilities!Property to be sold As-Is. Ask your agent for details. Please note utilities are off at this property; bring a flashlight. Case #541-675965
-
2011-02-11$75,000 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Cozy ranch home in great location! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features hardwood floors throughout much of the home, a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space and great sized bedrooms. The large deck and rear yard are perfect for entertaining in the upcoming warmer months. Come see the possibilities!Property to be sold As-Is. Ask your agent for details. Please note utilities are off at this property; bring a flashlight. Case #541-675965
-
2010-05-11historical
-
2010-02-18$159,950
-
2003-06-03soldstatus $91,500
-
2003-05-31soldstatus $91,500
-
2003-05-31soldstatus $91,500
-
2003-04-21$89,950
-
2003-04-21$89,950
-
1977-06-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,766 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$612/yr (+$51/mo · 34.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 42% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,244
- − Property taxes
- −$1,766
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,221
- − Management
- −$2,221
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$4,577
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,098
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesterfield County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100840
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,821
- Composite
- 51.56/100
- National rank
- #1712
- State rank
- #57 of 131 in VA
Livability — Enon
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #10437
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Enon, VA
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,298
- Household income
- $100,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 163.0
Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 377,190 people
- By 2030
- 395,710 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 427,694 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 452,706 · +20.0%
- By 2075
- 505,533 · +34.0%
- By 2100
- 521,282 · +38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.8% · R 44.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.4pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: R+2.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.68%
- Current HPI
- 257.2013
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+866.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $289,999 CVRMLS
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $289,999 CVRMLS
- 2017-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
- 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $107,500 CVRMLS
- 2017-04-29 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2017-04-10 Listed $115,000 CVRMLS
- 2011-06-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CVRMLS
- 2011-05-02 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2011-02-11 Listed $75,000 CVRMLS
- 2010-05-11 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2010-02-18 Listed $159,950 CVRMLS
- 2003-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
- 2003-05-31 Sold (MLS) $91,500 CVRMLS
- 2003-05-31 Sold (MLS) $91,500 CVRMLS
- 2003-04-21 Listed $89,950 CVRMLS
- 2003-04-21 Listed $89,950 CVRMLS
- 1977-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,766 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…