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Baldwin Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$236,900

Baldwin Plan · Slidell, LA 70461
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,405 sqft · SingleFamily · 793 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Baldwin, a charming single-story home in the heart of Lakeshore Villages, a vibrant new community in Slidell, Louisiana. With three distinct exterior elevations to choose from, the Baldwin offers curb appeal and character that fits your personal style. Inside, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,405 square feet of functional and inviting living space. As you enter, two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bath are conveniently located near the front of the home-perfect for guests, kids, or a home office. A short hallway leads to the third bedroom, with easy access to the HVAC system and a linen closet for added storage. At the heart of the Baldwin is a bright, open-concept living area. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, 3 cm granite countertops, a gooseneck pulldown faucet, and stainless steel Frigidaire appliances, including a gas range, microwave, and dishwasher. A large corner pantry and separate laundry room enhance everyday convenience. The dining area sits just off the kitchen, flowing seamlessly into the spacious living room-a layout designed for connection, comfort, and easy entertaining. Each bedroom includes plush carpeting and a generous closet, offering flexible space for relaxation, hobbies, or guests. Tucked at the rear of the home, the private primary suite is your personal retreat. The en suite bathroom features a dual vanity, tub/shower combo, walk-in closet, separate linen storage, and a private water closet. Whether you're

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 793 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $236,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $249,984.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $237k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 589 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 793 days — a 12% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $194,699 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 793 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.25%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,984
List price
$236,900
Delta
-5.23%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5481 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,405 (0%) 1mo $224,900 $160 96
5429 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,405 (0%) 2mo $236,900 $169 96
5473 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,405 (0%) 4mo $225,990 $161 94
5465 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,405 (0%) 6mo $224,900 $160 92
5441 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+15%) 1mo $249,900 $155 67
5472 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+15%) 2mo $256,005 $159 66
5460 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+15%) 4mo $244,900 $152 64
5468 Fornea Glen Way 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+15%) 5mo $243,900 $151 64
4778 Cotton Grass Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (+1%) 1mo $216,900 $152 59
5149 Clarkston Grove Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,613 (+15%) 6mo $214,000 $133 47
3381 Bellwick Bay Dr 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,610 (+15%) 2mo $239,900 $149 38
3435 Tide Wind Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,585 (+13%) 4mo $235,000 $148 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.2%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-55,022
Equity at exit
$37,273
10-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-73,233
Equity at exit
$21,614

Cash invested: $69,996 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70461

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
589
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,947 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$-189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $222,569
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-17 -5% $-103 +0% $-189 +5% $-276 +10% $-362
Rent -10% $-343 -5% $-266 +0% $-189 +5% $-113 +10% $-36
Rate -1.0pp $-64 -0.5pp $-126 base $-189 +0.5pp $-254 +1.0pp $-320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,496
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3604 Spruce Key Ln Slidell, LA 3.0–4.0 2.0 1539 $2,150 $1.40 45d 1 0.52mi
3604 Spruce Key Ln Slidell, LA 3.0–4.0 2.0 1586 $2,195 $1.38 2d 14 0.52mi
3616 Spruce Key Ln Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1635 $2,395 $1.46 2d 1 0.54mi
5579 Grand Springs Rd Slidell, LA 4.0 2.0 1867 $2,200 $1.18 44d 1 0.59mi
7535 1st Lake Dr Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1564 $2,195 $1.40 18d 1 0.69mi
301 Lakeshore Blvd N Slidell, LA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1134 $1,499 $1.32 2d 1 0.74mi
5265 Summer Pecan Rd Slidell, LA 4.0 2.0 1647 $2,300 $1.40 3d 1 0.80mi
200 Long St Slidell, LA 2.0–4.0 2.0 1112 $1,373 $1.23 2d 1 0.87mi
713 Lakeshore Vlg E Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1563 $2,100 $1.34 44d 1 0.88mi
3500 Oak Harbor Blvd Slidell, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $1,385 $1.57 2d 9 0.94mi
408 Lakeshore Vlg E Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,395 $1.34 12d 1 1.05mi
3900 Lakeshore Blvd E Unit 233 Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1219 $1,690 $1.39 17d 1 1.11mi
3900 Lakeshore Blvd E Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1219 $1,755 $1.44 3d 2 1.14mi
3900 Lakeshore Blvd E #125 Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1219 $1,670 $1.37 44d 1 1.14mi
3900 Lakeshore Blvd E Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1219 $1,755 $1.44 2d 1 1.14mi
100 Marina Dr Unit 100 Slidell, LA 3.0 3.0 1850 $1,925 $1.04 4d 1 1.26mi
224 Marina Dr Slidell, LA 2.0 1.5 1287 $1,400 $1.09 44d 1 1.26mi
232 Marina Dr Slidell, LA 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,500 $1.20 44d 1 1.26mi
152 Marina Dr Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,400 $1.12 21d 1 1.27mi
820 Marina Dr #304 Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 24d 1 1.39mi
870 Marina Dr Unit B Slidell, LA 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,000 $1.18 44d 1 1.41mi
870 Marina Dr Unit A Slidell, LA 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,950 $1.22 4d 1 1.42mi
519 Spartan Dr #9101 Slidell, LA 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,400 $1.07 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $236,900 Active 793 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $236,900 Active 792 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $236,900 Active 791 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $236,900 Active 790 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $236,900 Active 788 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $236,900 Active 785 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $236,900 Active 784 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $236,900 Active 783 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $236,900 Active 782 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $236,900 Active 778 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $236,900 Active 777 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $236,900 Active 776 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $236,900 Active 775 DOM
  14. 2025-09-13
    price $236,900 1494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Baldwin, a charming single-story home in the heart of Lakeshore Villages, a vibrant new community in Slidell, Louisiana. With three distinct exterior elevations to choose from, the Baldwin offers curb appeal and character that fits your personal style. Inside, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,405 square feet of functional and inviting living space. As you enter, two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bath are conveniently located near the front of the home-perfect for guests, kids, or a home office. A short hallway leads to the third bedroom, with easy access to the HVAC system and a linen closet for added storage. At the heart of the Baldwin is a bright, open-concept living area. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, 3 cm granite countertops, a gooseneck pulldown faucet, and stainless steel Frigidaire appliances, including a gas range, microwave, and dishwasher. A large corner pantry and separate laundry room enhance everyday convenience. The dining area sits just off the kitchen, flowing seamlessly into the spacious living room-a layout designed for connection, comfort, and easy entertaining. Each bedroom includes plush carpeting and a generous closet, offering flexible space for relaxation, hobbies, or guests. Tucked at the rear of the home, the private primary suite is your personal retreat. The en suite bathroom features a dual vanity, tub/shower combo, walk-in closet, separate linen storage, and a private water closet. Whether you're

  15. 2024-05-14
    price $241,900 1494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Baldwin, a charming single-story home in the heart of Lakeshore Villages, a vibrant new community in Slidell, Louisiana. With three distinct exterior elevations to choose from, the Baldwin offers curb appeal and character that fits your personal style. Inside, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,405 square feet of functional and inviting living space. As you enter, two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bath are conveniently located near the front of the home-perfect for guests, kids, or a home office. A short hallway leads to the third bedroom, with easy access to the HVAC system and a linen closet for added storage. At the heart of the Baldwin is a bright, open-concept living area. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, 3 cm granite countertops, a gooseneck pulldown faucet, and stainless steel Frigidaire appliances, including a gas range, microwave, and dishwasher. A large corner pantry and separate laundry room enhance everyday convenience. The dining area sits just off the kitchen, flowing seamlessly into the spacious living room-a layout designed for connection, comfort, and easy entertaining. Each bedroom includes plush carpeting and a generous closet, offering flexible space for relaxation, hobbies, or guests. Tucked at the rear of the home, the private primary suite is your personal retreat. The en suite bathroom features a dual vanity, tub/shower combo, walk-in closet, separate linen storage, and a private water closet. Whether you're

  16. 2024-04-16
    listed $239,900 Active 1494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Baldwin, a charming single-story home in the heart of Lakeshore Villages, a vibrant new community in Slidell, Louisiana. With three distinct exterior elevations to choose from, the Baldwin offers curb appeal and character that fits your personal style. Inside, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,405 square feet of functional and inviting living space. As you enter, two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bath are conveniently located near the front of the home-perfect for guests, kids, or a home office. A short hallway leads to the third bedroom, with easy access to the HVAC system and a linen closet for added storage. At the heart of the Baldwin is a bright, open-concept living area. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, 3 cm granite countertops, a gooseneck pulldown faucet, and stainless steel Frigidaire appliances, including a gas range, microwave, and dishwasher. A large corner pantry and separate laundry room enhance everyday convenience. The dining area sits just off the kitchen, flowing seamlessly into the spacious living room-a layout designed for connection, comfort, and easy entertaining. Each bedroom includes plush carpeting and a generous closet, offering flexible space for relaxation, hobbies, or guests. Tucked at the rear of the home, the private primary suite is your personal retreat. The en suite bathroom features a dual vanity, tub/shower combo, walk-in closet, separate linen storage, and a private water closet. Whether you're

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,364
− Mortgage interest
−$14,003
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,869
− Management
−$1,869
− Depreciation
−$7,272
Taxable loss
−$6,649
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,596
After-tax cash flow
$-678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Baldwin single-story home in Slidell, Louisiana, is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It offers curb appeal and character, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Tammany Parish
NCES district ID
2201650
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -26.00%
Median HH income
$61,752
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3098
State rank
#11 of 98 in LA

Livability — Slidell

Score
70/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#7673

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
City population
95,511
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
34,808
Household income
$89,003
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
328.0

Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,725 people
By 2030
304,175 · +6.1%
By 2040
336,203 · +17.3%
By 2050
364,590 · +27.2%
By 2075
433,362 · +51.1%
By 2100
470,333 · +64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.47%
Current HPI
151.3353
Rent YoY
▲ 1.72%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-13 Price Changed $236,900 Zillow
  • 2024-05-14 Price Changed $241,900 Zillow
  • 2024-04-16 Listed $239,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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