18697 Schaefer Hwy E · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER, THIS IS A HALF OF A DUPLEX TENANT OCCUPIED. DO NOT APPROACH THE TENANT. FOR SHOWINGS CONTACT THE AGENT. GREAT RENTAL INCOME.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot frontage approximately 20 feet; Acreage approximately 0.08 acres; Below-grade finished area reported
- Financial info: Has lease
- HOA & community: No land contract
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas service; Forced air heating
- Home design: Duplex residential property; 2-story structure built in 1948; Entry-level living spaces
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Basement foundation; Built in 1948
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Paved street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on entry level with ceramic flooring (approx. 7 x 4)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second floor with wood flooring (each approx. 10 x 10)
- Flooring: Wood flooring in living room, dining room and bedrooms; Ceramic flooring in kitchen and bathroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with ceramic flooring (bathroom located on entry level, approx. 7 x 4)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Cable/Internet available; Partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement present (partially finished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 230% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $99k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.70%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19193 Lesure St | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 909 (-6%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $154 | 73 |
| 19484 Schaefer Hwy | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $50 | 69 |
| 19341 Schaefer Hwy | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,023 (+6%) | 8mo | $37,500 | $37 | 67 |
| 19161 Meyers Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 894 (-7%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $98 | 61 |
| 18081 Meyers Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 | 946 (-2%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $79 | 60 |
| 18235 Tracey St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,055 (+10%) | 4mo | $67,000 | $64 | 57 |
| 19483 Meyers Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 926 (-4%) | 6mo | $41,000 | $44 | 56 |
| 18435 Robson St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-4%) | 0mo | $86,000 | $93 | 55 |
| 19159 Meyers Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,094 (+14%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $80 | 50 |
| 18476 Mark Twain St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,089 (+13%) | 8mo | $71,000 | $65 | 50 |
| 18058 Tracey St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,090 (+13%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $110 | 46 |
| 19978 Tracey St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,038 (+8%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $130 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-7,252
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $6,130
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,197 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $160 | +0% $132 | +5% $104 | +10% $76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $37 | -5% $84 | +0% $132 | +5% $179 | +10% $226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $182 | -0.5pp $157 | base $132 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 18637 James Couzens Fwy Apt 103A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $835 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 18637 James Couzens Fwy Unit C103 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $835 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 19929 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,450 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18461 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $775 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 17150 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $975 | $1.26 | 45d | 2 | 1.00mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 20429 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07status $99,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-04$99,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,038 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,038 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,359
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$3,038
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+230.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-12-28 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-10-25 Price Changed $26,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-25 Price Changed $26,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-10-04 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-04 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-04 Sold (MLS) $600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-02-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-11-18 Listed $600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,038 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…