0S044 Kerry Ct · Winfield, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$415,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Close to Central DuPage Hospital and Winfield Metra station. This light filled, end-unit townhome in Lee Station is ideal. This 3 floor unit are full of amenities in quiet neighborhood. Refreshed HVAC system, Refrigerator, and Washer/Dryer are included. Hurry this won& apos; t last long.
Key facts
- Light filled
- End-unit townhome
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $415k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($480/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $368k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $368k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Winfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in IL, #1,455 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Chsd 94 (suburban): math 20% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #378 of 620 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Winfield Primary School (93 students, 0% FRL); Winfield Central School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #116 of 665 statewide, top 19%, 213 students, 0% FRL); West Chicago Comm High School (math 20% / reading 21%, grade F, #350 of 693 statewide, top 51%, 2,076 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,378 units permitted in DuPage County in 2024 (594 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($409k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.41%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-64,643
- Equity at exit
- $61,878
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-52,783
- Equity at exit
- $35,882
Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60190
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,681 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,176
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$519 /mo · $6,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$773
- Net cashflow
- $40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $183 | +0% $40 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-251 | -5% $-105 | +0% $40 | +5% $185 | +10% $331 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $249 | -0.5pp $146 | base $40 | +0.5pp $-68 | +1.0pp $-177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,750
- Closing costs
- $12,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Knoll St Wheaton, IL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2198 | $3,650 | $1.66 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2067 Childs Ct Wheaton, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $3,750 | $2.66 | 26d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $415,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $415,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $415,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $415,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $415,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $415,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $415,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $415,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $415,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $415,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $415,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $415,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $415,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $415,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-12$415,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,246
- − Property taxes
- −$6,225
- − Insurance
- −$2,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,534
- − Management
- −$3,534
- − Depreciation
- −$12,073
- Taxable loss
- −$6,515
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,564
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This end-unit townhome in Lee Station is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chsd 94
- NCES district ID
- 1740440
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,377
- Composite
- 19.71/100
- National rank
- #8719
- State rank
- #378 of 620 in IL
Livability — Winfield
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1455
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winfield, IL
- City population
- 11,931
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,931
Population outlook (DuPage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 960,187 people
- By 2030
- 965,850 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 965,812 · +0.6%
- By 2050
- 954,890 · -0.6%
- By 2075
- 910,185 · -5.2%
- By 2100
- 816,255 · -15.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DuPage
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.3) · D 55.9% · R 42.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: 10.8pp · 2024: 13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.3 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.50%
- Current HPI
- 201.3501
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $415,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…