11 S Ontario Dr · Cherokee Village, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
Key facts
- Big yard
- Mudroom from carport
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $90k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.98%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,310
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -23.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Cheyenne Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,131 (+6%) | 2mo | $142,500 | $126 | 82 |
| 14 Cherokee Rd | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,020 (-4%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $98 | 81 |
| 79 Powhatan Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 972 (-9%) | 6mo | $134,900 | $139 | 60 |
| 16 Altakima Cir | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-5%) | 4mo | $119,200 | $118 | 60 |
| 20 S Ontario Dr | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+13%) | 16mo | $72,000 | $60 | 56 |
| 55 Flathead Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,040 (-2%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $120 | 53 |
| 9 Big Horn | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-10%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $89 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,099
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $27,593
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72529
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 688
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $516/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$23
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Annette Rd Cherokee Village, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $23 · $276/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 359 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $90,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Price Change 354 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Price Change 353 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Price Change 350 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatusdays on market $90,000 Price Change 349 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 344 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 342 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 341 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 340 DOM
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2026-05-18price $100,000 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2026-05-02status Back on Market 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2026-04-27status Under Contract 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2026-03-24price $115,000 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2026-02-16status Back on Market 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2026-02-12status Under Contract 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2025-12-16status Back on Market 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2025-12-10price $125,000 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
-
2025-12-10historical 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
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2025-07-11price $137,000 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
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2025-06-09$152,000 New Listing 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
At NO fault of the seller we are back on the market! Brand New Roof as of 02/12/26. If you are looking for a smaller house with a big big yard on a corner lot this may be the one! Cozy bungalow type house with 2 adjoining lots. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, eat in kitchen and fireplace. Newer Heat pump system and water heater. Beautiful accent wall in living room. Laundry room is separate and can double as a mudroom from carport. New flooring in kitchen, but the rest of the house is original hard wood floors. Cherokee Village amenities include 15 parks, 7 recreational lakes, 2 golf courses, a pool and the list goes on! Don't miss out today on seeing this home.
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2021-04-28soldstatus $32,466
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2019-05-30soldstatus $36,000
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2010-11-12soldstatus $55,388
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2009-12-31soldstatus $130,000
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2009-02-10soldstatus $12,667
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2005-07-29soldstatus $45,000
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2004-01-09soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $516 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $576 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$60/yr (+$5/mo · 11.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$516
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − HOA
- −$276
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,186
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$525
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,998/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507770
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,066
- Composite
- 33.63/100
- National rank
- #5400
- State rank
- #66 of 238 in AR
Livability — Cherokee Village
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #17211
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cherokee Village, AR
- City population
- 5,090
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,090
Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,170 people
- By 2030
- 15,711 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,974 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 14,420 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 11,492 · -28.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sharp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.53%
- Current HPI
- 182.4438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+194.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $100,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-02-12 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-12-16 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $125,000 CARMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $137,000 CARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $152,000 CARMLS
- 2021-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $32,466 Public Records
- 2019-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2010-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $55,388 Public Records
- 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2009-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $12,667 Public Records
- 2005-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $516 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…