9762 S Kingman Dr · Mohave Valley, AZ
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 117°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.
Key facts
- Tiled floors
- Non hoa community
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric service; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing in the backyard; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Tile counters; Accessible full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (8.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (30.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Mohave Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#83 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Colorado River Union High School District (4381) (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #213 of 249 in AZ (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Camp Mohave Elementary School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #471 of 1,109 statewide, top 44%, 375 students, 66% FRL); Mohave Valley Junior High School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 448 students, 55% FRL); River Valley High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #287 of 381 statewide, top 76%, 545 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 19% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $220k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.01%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,596
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9762 S Kingman Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 956 (0%) | 1mo | $148,000 | $155 | 99 |
| 9977 S Needles Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,099 (+15%) | 17mo | $210,000 | $191 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $113,089
- Equity at exit
- $198,103
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.49×
- Total profit
- $337,970
- Equity at exit
- $427,217
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86440
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,519 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $696/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $21 | -5% $-41 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-165 | +10% $-228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-223 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-43 | +10% $17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8 | -0.5pp $-47 | base $-103 | +0.5pp $-160 | +1.0pp $-218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-17status $219,900 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $219,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-05-05price $195,000
-
2026-04-23price $198,000
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2026-03-14price $199,000
-
2026-02-19status Active
-
2026-02-18price $199,900
-
2026-02-06$185,000
-
2021-02-16soldstatus $130,000 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.
-
2021-02-16soldstatus $130,000
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.
-
2020-12-14$139,900 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.
-
2016-05-17soldstatus $73,400 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Great 2 bedroom house. freshly painted, cleaned and ready to move in. AC about 1 year old, Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove, R/O system. 2 shower heads in master shower, which is all tiled and walk-in. NO HOA, Close to Colorado River, Casino's Needles. Open floor plan, Wood fenced back yard. Master has sliding glass door to back yard. Pot Shelves. Water heater is less than 1 year old. Dryer is less than 2 years old. Master has closet organizer. NO carpet in this house!
-
2016-05-17soldstatus $73,400
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Great 2 bedroom house. freshly painted, cleaned and ready to move in. AC about 1 year old, Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove, R/O system. 2 shower heads in master shower, which is all tiled and walk-in. NO HOA, Close to Colorado River, Casino's Needles. Open floor plan, Wood fenced back yard. Master has sliding glass door to back yard. Pot Shelves. Water heater is less than 1 year old. Dryer is less than 2 years old. Master has closet organizer. NO carpet in this house!
-
2015-08-26$74,900 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Great 2 bedroom house. freshly painted, cleaned and ready to move in. AC about 1 year old, Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove, R/O system. 2 shower heads in master shower, which is all tiled and walk-in. NO HOA, Close to Colorado River, Casino's Needles. Open floor plan, Wood fenced back yard. Master has sliding glass door to back yard. Pot Shelves. Water heater is less than 1 year old. Dryer is less than 2 years old. Master has closet organizer. NO carpet in this house!
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2003-10-27soldstatus $73,000
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2001-04-20soldstatus $70,000
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1995-06-30soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,451 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$755/yr (+$63/mo · 108.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥117°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$696
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$5,202
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,249
- After-tax cash flow
- $12/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colorado River Union High School District (4381)
- NCES district ID
- 0400082
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,132
- Composite
- 12.72/100
- National rank
- #9603
- State rank
- #213 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Mohave Valley
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #13041
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mohave Valley, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,403
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.05%
- Current HPI
- 322.7772
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+1292.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $195,000 WARDEX
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $198,000 WARDEX
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $199,000 WARDEX
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — WARDEX
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $199,900 WARDEX
- 2026-02-06 Listed $185,000 WARDEX
- 2021-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-16 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WARDEX
- 2020-12-14 Listed $139,900 WARDEX
- 2016-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $73,400 Public Records
- 2016-05-17 Sold (MLS) $73,400 WARDEX
- 2015-08-26 Listed $74,900 WARDEX
- 2003-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $696 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…