CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9762 S Kingman Dr
D- Composite 35.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$219,900

9762 S Kingman Dr · Mohave Valley, AZ 86440
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1995 4,792 sqft lot Est $183k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.

Key facts

  • Tiled floors
  • Non hoa community
  • Spacious living room

Tags

NON HOA COMMUNITYPRIVATE BACKYARD SPACECOVERED FRONT PATIO ENTRYFRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIORTILED FLOORSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric service; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing in the backyard; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Tile counters; Accessible full bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (8.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (30.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $152k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Mohave Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#83 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Colorado River Union High School District (4381) (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #213 of 249 in AZ (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Camp Mohave Elementary School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #471 of 1,109 statewide, top 44%, 375 students, 66% FRL); Mohave Valley Junior High School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 448 students, 55% FRL); River Valley High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #287 of 381 statewide, top 76%, 545 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 19% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $220k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $151,870 (30.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.01%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$182,596
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9762 S Kingman Dr 0.00mi 2/2.0 956 (0%) 1mo $148,000 $155 99
9977 S Needles Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,099 (+15%) 17mo $210,000 $191 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$113,089
Equity at exit
$198,103
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$337,970
Equity at exit
$427,217

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86440

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,519 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $696/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$-103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,649
Max offer price $201,693
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $21 -5% $-41 +0% $-103 +5% $-165 +10% $-228
Rent -10% $-223 -5% $-163 +0% $-103 +5% $-43 +10% $17
Rate -1.0pp $8 -0.5pp $-47 base $-103 +0.5pp $-160 +1.0pp $-218

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $219,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 679-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $219,900 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
  8. 2026-05-05
    price $195,000
  9. 2026-04-23
    price $198,000
  10. 2026-03-14
    price $199,000
  11. 2026-02-19
    status Active
  12. 2026-02-18
    price $199,900
  13. 2026-02-06
    listed $185,000
  14. 2021-02-16
    soldstatus $130,000 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.

  15. 2021-02-16
    soldstatus $130,000
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.

  16. 2020-12-14
    listed $139,900 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Come check out this wonderful home in a great neighborhood! Its a 2 bedroom 2 bath with lots of closet space and a 2 car garage! Master bath has a huge walk in shower with double shower heads! Potting shelves surround the living and dining room area giving it a warm, welcoming feel. Front porch has remote controlled misters and a ceiling fan. New 30 year roof installed and A/C had a complete overhaul with all new components installed just 2 years ago! Just minutes to the river or casinos!! Call today for a private showing.

  17. 2016-05-17
    soldstatus $73,400 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Great 2 bedroom house. freshly painted, cleaned and ready to move in. AC about 1 year old, Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove, R/O system. 2 shower heads in master shower, which is all tiled and walk-in. NO HOA, Close to Colorado River, Casino's Needles. Open floor plan, Wood fenced back yard. Master has sliding glass door to back yard. Pot Shelves. Water heater is less than 1 year old. Dryer is less than 2 years old. Master has closet organizer. NO carpet in this house!

  18. 2016-05-17
    soldstatus $73,400
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Great 2 bedroom house. freshly painted, cleaned and ready to move in. AC about 1 year old, Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove, R/O system. 2 shower heads in master shower, which is all tiled and walk-in. NO HOA, Close to Colorado River, Casino's Needles. Open floor plan, Wood fenced back yard. Master has sliding glass door to back yard. Pot Shelves. Water heater is less than 1 year old. Dryer is less than 2 years old. Master has closet organizer. NO carpet in this house!

  19. 2015-08-26
    listed $74,900 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Great 2 bedroom house. freshly painted, cleaned and ready to move in. AC about 1 year old, Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove, R/O system. 2 shower heads in master shower, which is all tiled and walk-in. NO HOA, Close to Colorado River, Casino's Needles. Open floor plan, Wood fenced back yard. Master has sliding glass door to back yard. Pot Shelves. Water heater is less than 1 year old. Dryer is less than 2 years old. Master has closet organizer. NO carpet in this house!

  20. 2003-10-27
    soldstatus $73,000
  21. 2001-04-20
    soldstatus $70,000
  22. 1995-06-30
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$696 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,451 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$755/yr (+$63/mo · 108.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥117°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,224
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$696
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,458
− Management
−$1,458
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$5,202
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,249
After-tax cash flow
$12/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colorado River Union High School District (4381)
NCES district ID
0400082
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$39,132
Composite
12.72/100
National rank
#9603
State rank
#213 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Mohave Valley

Score
65/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#13041

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mohave Valley, AZ
Population (ZIP)
8,403

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.05%
Current HPI
322.7772
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1292.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending WARDEX
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $195,000 WARDEX
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $198,000 WARDEX
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $199,000 WARDEX
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted WARDEX
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $199,900 WARDEX
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $185,000 WARDEX
  • 2021-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-16 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WARDEX
  • 2020-12-14 Listed $139,900 WARDEX
  • 2016-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $73,400 Public Records
  • 2016-05-17 Sold (MLS) $73,400 WARDEX
  • 2015-08-26 Listed $74,900 WARDEX
  • 2003-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1995-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $696 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…