807 Saint Bernard St · Marysville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
Key facts
- Remodeled ranch home
- Large basement
- Huge center island
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level (with additional below-grade finished area); Ground-level entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Partially finished basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.8% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#114 in MI, #2,700 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
- Marysville Public Schools (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #115 of 540 in MI (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $275k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.17%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,589
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 Saint Bernard St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,739 (0%) | 1mo | $276,000 | $159 | 100 |
| 695 Bunce Ave | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+4%) | 4mo | $266,000 | $148 | 72 |
| 750 Applegate Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,920 (+10%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $115 | 69 |
| 600 Applegate Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-10%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 675 Applegate Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-10%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 783 Applegate Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,890 (+9%) | 15mo | $206,000 | $109 | 59 |
| 875 Virginia Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (-8%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $155 | 53 |
| 895 Virginia Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,604 (-8%) | 18mo | $242,000 | $151 | 49 |
| 646 Bunce Ave | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 | 1,975 (+14%) | 19mo | $322,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 855 Illinois St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,488 (-14%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $158 | 44 |
| 273 Rosewood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,819 (+5%) | 19mo | $315,000 | $173 | 43 |
| 890 Illinois St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,914 (+10%) | 13mo | $258,000 | $135 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $9,347
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $77,832
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48040
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,584 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$430 /mo · $5,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$753
- Net cashflow
- $844
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Gratiot Blvd Unit 1550273P Marysville, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1323 | $5,089 | $3.85 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3991 Brookstone Pl Port Huron, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1078 | $1,570 | $1.46 | 2d | 7 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1110-char remark
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
-
2026-05-12status Pending
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
-
2026-04-21historical Accepting Backup Offers 1110-char remark
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
-
2026-04-21historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
-
2026-04-11$274,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
-
2026-04-11$274,900 Active 1110-char remark
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled ranch home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 updated bathrooms, this home offers a bright, open layout with brand-new flooring throughout and fresh, neutral paint that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, designed to impress with a huge center island, elegant quartz countertops, and all-new stainless steel appliances - perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the expansive deck overlooking a private, fenced-in backyard - an ideal setting for relaxing evenings, outdoor dining, or hosting guests in your own secluded retreat. Additional highlights include a large basement offering endless possibilities for storage, recreation, or future finishing, as well as a convenient 2-car attached garage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home truly move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this stylish, turnkey property that combines modern upgrades with classic ranch-style living!
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2025-07-08historical
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2025-07-07historical
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2025-03-21price $217,500
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2025-03-20price $217,500
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2025-03-20price $217,500
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2025-03-10$220,000 Active
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2025-03-10$220,000 Active
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2015-03-24soldstatus $120,000 Sold
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2015-03-24soldstatus $120,000
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2015-02-21historical
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2015-02-20historical
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2014-12-26price $124,500
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2014-10-10$130,000 Active
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2014-10-10$124,500
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2006-12-07soldstatus $172,000
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2006-12-07soldstatus $172,000
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2006-10-24$172,000
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2006-10-24$172,000
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2006-10-24historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,165 · $430/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,165 · $430/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$5,165
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,440
- − Management
- −$3,440
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable income
- $6,187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2623040
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,817
- Composite
- 41.51/100
- National rank
- #3454
- State rank
- #115 of 540 in MI
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #114
- US rank
- #2700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, MI
- City population
- 9,942
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,942
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.64%
- Current HPI
- 188.3932
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+59.8% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-11 Listed $274,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-11 Listed $274,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $217,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $217,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $217,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-03-10 Listed $220,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-10 Listed $220,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-03-24 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-03-24 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-02-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-02-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-12-26 Price Changed $124,500 REALCOMP
- 2014-10-10 Listed $124,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-10-10 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-12-07 Sold (MLS) $172,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-12-07 Sold (MLS) $172,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-10-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-24 Listed $172,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-24 Listed $172,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,165 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…