5551 Mountain Springs Cir · Redan, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom basement-level condo located in a quiet, wooded community in Stone Mountain. This well-maintained unit features a spacious open-concept living and dining area with abundant natural light, a cozy fireplace, and durable flooring throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and a functional layout with a view into the living area. Enjoy peaceful surroundings and outdoor living with access to a rear deck overlooking mature trees-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms and a practical floor plan make this home ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Ample cabinet space
- Basement level condo
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.4% in Redan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#274 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $110k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.53%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,885
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -46.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-651
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $26,098
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30088
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,796 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,421/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5518 Mountain Springs Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1946 | $795 | $0.41 | 19d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5518 Mountain Springs Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1946 | $900 | $0.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5799 Redan Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $1,490 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1487 Saint Dunstans Rd Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,023 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1610 Burnstone Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1652 Downs Xing Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1376 | $1,675 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1467 Muirfield Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,870 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1724 Laurel Creek Cir Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $1,935 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1717 Panola Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 2107 | $2,369 | $1.12 | 1d | 97 | 0.75mi |
| 5734 Lanny Ln Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5349 Tracey Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,975 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5349 Tracey Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,975 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5739 Hilton Ridge Rd Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $1,820 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5486 Fox Valley Ln Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $1,850 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1893 Gingham Way Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,730 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1815 Herringbone Holw Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $1,750 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1874 Vauxhall Dr Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1964 Taffeta Trl Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,870 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5579 Marbut Rd Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,850 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 982 Chapman Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1338 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2005 Marbut Forest Dr Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1373 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,773 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1401 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,675 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1228 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,645 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4935 Millstone Walk Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5536 Downs Way Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 811 King Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1840 | $3,300 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-04$120,000 New 694-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Beautiful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom basement-level condo located in a quiet, wooded community in Stone Mountain. This well-maintained unit features a spacious open-concept living and dining area with abundant natural light, a cozy fireplace, and durable flooring throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and a functional layout with a view into the living area. Enjoy peaceful surroundings and outdoor living with access to a rear deck overlooking mature trees—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms and a practical floor plan make this home ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways.
-
2026-04-04$120,000 Active 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Beautiful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom basement-level condo located in a quiet, wooded community in Stone Mountain. This well-maintained unit features a spacious open-concept living and dining area with abundant natural light, a cozy fireplace, and durable flooring throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and a functional layout with a view into the living area. Enjoy peaceful surroundings and outdoor living with access to a rear deck overlooking mature trees—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms and a practical floor plan make this home ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways.
-
2024-12-05historical
-
2024-12-05historical
-
2024-10-02$120,000 Active
-
2024-10-02$120,000 New
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2024-09-03historical
-
2024-08-31historical
-
2024-08-07price $130,000
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2024-08-07price $130,000
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2024-06-25price $135,000
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2024-06-25price $135,000
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2024-06-20price $140,000
-
2024-06-03price $140,000
-
2024-05-22historical
-
2024-05-17$150,000 Active
-
2024-05-17$150,000 New
-
2024-05-17historical
-
2024-04-19$150,000 New
-
2024-04-19$150,000 Active
-
2021-11-19soldstatus $60,000
-
2021-11-11soldstatus $60,000 Sold
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2021-10-13status Under Contract
-
2021-10-13historical
-
2021-10-06status Under Contract
-
2021-10-06status Active
-
2021-10-06status Under Contract
-
2021-09-29price $74,900
-
2021-09-17price $79,000
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2021-08-12price $84,000
-
2021-08-07$99,000 New
-
1991-06-11soldstatus $41,900
-
1987-08-28soldstatus $60,400
-
1986-01-06soldstatus $57,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,421 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,421 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,421
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,724
- − Management
- −$1,724
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,574
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$378
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Redan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #14766
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redan, GA
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- City population
- 29,279
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,240
- Household income
- $70,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1106.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.92%
- Current HPI
- 206.5421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.72%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+108.7% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Listed $120,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-04 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-05 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-12-05 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-10-02 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-02 Listed $120,000 FMLS
- 2024-09-03 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-08-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-08-07 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2024-08-07 Price Changed $130,000 FMLS
- 2024-06-25 Price Changed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2024-06-25 Price Changed $135,000 FMLS
- 2024-06-20 Price Changed $140,000 GAMLS
- 2024-06-03 Price Changed $140,000 FMLS
- 2024-05-22 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-05-17 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-05-17 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2024-05-17 Listed $150,000 FMLS
- 2024-04-19 Listed $150,000 FMLS
- 2024-04-19 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2021-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-11 Sold (MLS) $60,000 GAMLS
- 2021-10-13 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-10-13 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-10-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-10-06 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2021-10-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-09-29 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2021-09-17 Price Changed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2021-08-12 Price Changed $84,000 GAMLS
- 2021-08-07 Listed $99,000 GAMLS
- 1991-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $41,900 Public Records
- 1987-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,400 Public Records
- 1986-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,421 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…