Triplex
22 Helen St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$292,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks for this spacious three-family home located on a corner lot close to highways, shopping, parks, downtown New Haven and Hamden center. The first floor and second floor units include 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, kitchen, living room, and dining room. The top floor features 2 beds, 1 bath, kitchen, and living room. The front porch and second-floor balcony offer outdoor space. Detached 3-car garage adds valuable off-street parking. All units have separate electric and gas utilities. Property needs updating - set up a showing today to see the possibilities. 4 year property tax phase-in underway. Property is back on market.
Key facts
- Outdoor space
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (3-car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Thermopane windows
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Brick and stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Balcony; Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms total
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; 14 total rooms (multi-family)
- Laundry & utility: 40-gallon natural gas hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $292k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $681/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $292k).
- Recommended offer: $288k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.9% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hamden Middle School (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #123 of 175 statewide, top 70%, 811 students, 40% FRL); Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 84 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,752/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 692% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $82k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($288k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.98%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $480,480
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Helen St | 0.36mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,795 (+6%) | 14mo | $540,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 78 Church St | 0.49mi | 6/3.0 | 2,853 (+8%) | 10mo | $440,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 75 Concord St | 0.46mi | 6/3.0 | 3,016 (+14%) | 1mo | $549,000 | $182 | 54 |
| 57 North St | 0.33mi | 6/2.0 | 2,931 (+11%) | 12mo | $412,000 | $141 | 52 |
| 42 Pine St | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 | 2,304 (-13%) | 2mo | $470,000 | $204 | 50 |
| 42 Collins St | 0.25mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,035 (+15%) | 12mo | $460,000 | $152 | 48 |
| 53 2nd St | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 | 2,250 (-15%) | 19mo | $425,000 | $189 | 48 |
| 31 Lexington St | 0.33mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,841 (+8%) | 22mo | $480,000 | $169 | 48 |
| 212 Putnam Ave | 0.74mi | 6/3.0 | 2,598 (-2%) | 18mo | $405,000 | $156 | 47 |
| 1492 Dixwell Ave | 0.55mi | 6/4.0 | 2,960 (+12%) | 8mo | $580,000 | $196 | 43 |
| 46 Millis St | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,304 (-13%) | 10mo | $440,000 | $191 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $68,123
- Equity at exit
- $43,553
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $169,885
- Equity at exit
- $25,255
Cash invested: $81,788 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06518
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,752 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,532
- Tax from tax record
- −$848 /mo · $10,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,208
- Net cashflow
- $2,043
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,208 | -5% $2,126 | +0% $2,043 | +5% $1,960 | +10% $1,878 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,589 | -5% $1,816 | +0% $2,043 | +5% $2,270 | +10% $2,497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,190 | -0.5pp $2,117 | base $2,043 | +0.5pp $1,967 | +1.0pp $1,890 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,751 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,917 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,917 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,917 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,752 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,025
- Closing costs
- $8,763
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-30status Under Contract
-
2026-04-09$292,100 Active
-
2026-03-23historical
-
2025-11-04status Under Contract
-
2025-10-13$307,400 Active
-
2025-07-10historical
-
2025-05-19status Under Contract
-
2025-05-02$307,400 Active
-
2005-07-05soldstatus $320,000
-
2005-07-05soldstatus $320,000
-
2005-05-13$329,900
-
1994-12-19soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,170 · $848/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,170 · $848/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $69,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,362
- − Property taxes
- −$10,170
- − Insurance
- −$1,460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,522
- − Management
- −$5,522
- − Depreciation
- −$8,497
- Taxable income
- $21,490
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901860
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,821
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5490
- State rank
- #106 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,126
- Household income
- $106,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 692.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Hispanic 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.95%
- Current HPI
- 227.7908
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+265.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $292,100 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-23 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-11-04 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $307,400 Smart MLS
- 2025-07-10 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-05-19 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-05-02 Listed $307,400 Smart MLS
- 2005-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-05 Sold (MLS) $320,000 Smart MLS
- 2005-05-13 Listed $329,900 Smart MLS
- 1994-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2023): $10,170 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…