None · Elgin, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$460,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- 7,470 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 90 x 83 (less than 0.25 acre); Parcel number 0614229015; Property offers commuter bus/train and interstate access
- Financial info: No special service area; Building contains 2 units; Zoned MULTI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Unassigned parking (other)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two- to four-unit building; 100+ years old; Rehab planned for 2025; Located in a historical district; Fee simple ownership; Not converted
- Construction: Cedar siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms (total)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms; Bathrooms without tubs
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air
- Interior features: 12 total rooms; Unfinished full basement; CO detectors; Ceiling fans; Multiple water heaters
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $460k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($58k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $460k).
- Recommended offer: $453k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 3.4% in Elgin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#47 in IL, #975 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-.
- SD U-46 (suburban): math 19% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #386 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,944 units permitted in Kane County in 2024 (357 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,220/mo this rent would consume 149% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 1349% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $129k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($453k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $394k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.02%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $309,871
- List price
- $460,000
- Delta
- 48.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 Prospect St | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,424 | 5mo | $460,000 | $190 | 59 |
| 258 Douglas Ave | 0.15mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 3,302 | 19mo | $275,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 555 Douglas Ave | 0.25mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 | 12mo | $305,000 | $203 | 55 |
| 141 N Gifford St | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,900 | 13mo | $310,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 841 Douglas Ave | 0.60mi | 6/5.0 | 3,620 | 3mo | $520,000 | $144 | 49 |
| 4 N Jackson St | 0.70mi | 6/5.0 | 4,449 | 7mo | $300,000 | $67 | 41 |
| 606 Logan Ave | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,721 | 20mo | $151,000 | $88 | 40 |
| 442 DU Page St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,662 | 9mo | $410,000 | $154 | 39 |
| 838 Cedar Ave | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,882 | 8mo | $285,000 | $151 | 38 |
| 30 Lynch St | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | — | 11mo | $280,000 | — | 35 |
| 825 Saint John St | 0.62mi | 5/1.0 (-1) | 1,728 | 13mo | $287,500 | $166 | 35 |
| 363 Prairie St Apt 4 | 0.72mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 3,787 | 15mo | $953,928 | $252 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $203,436
- Equity at exit
- $68,587
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $458,443
- Equity at exit
- $39,772
Cash invested: $128,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60120
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,220 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,412
- Tax from tax record
- −$638 /mo · $7,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$192
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,146
- Net cashflow
- $4,832
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5,092 | -5% $4,962 | +0% $4,832 | +5% $4,701 | +10% $4,571 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4,024 | -5% $4,428 | +0% $4,832 | +5% $5,235 | +10% $5,639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5,063 | -0.5pp $4,949 | base $4,832 | +0.5pp $4,712 | +1.0pp $4,591 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $115,000
- Closing costs
- $13,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 886 Arthur Dr Unit 1285093P Elgin, IL | 5.0 | 3.0 | — | $17,706 | — | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 908 Arthur Dr Unit 1285092P Elgin, IL | 5.0 | 3.0 | — | $17,743 | — | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-15$470,000 Active 31-char remark
-
2025-10-23soldstatus $394,000
-
2025-09-26soldstatus $393,933 Closed 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2025-08-20historical Contingent - Continue to Show 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2025-08-14$389,500 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2013-08-27soldstatus $60,000 Closed Sale
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Attractive house! 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 half bath Multi-Unit home. Built in 1910, home is approx 3372 sq. ft. located in a suburban neighborhood with parks and schools close. Must see it! Schedule an appointment today! 60 day deed restriction apply.
-
2013-04-10historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Attractive house! 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 half bath Multi-Unit home. Built in 1910, home is approx 3372 sq. ft. located in a suburban neighborhood with parks and schools close. Must see it! Schedule an appointment today! 60 day deed restriction apply.
-
2013-04-01$62,500 New
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Attractive house! 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 half bath Multi-Unit home. Built in 1910, home is approx 3372 sq. ft. located in a suburban neighborhood with parks and schools close. Must see it! Schedule an appointment today! 60 day deed restriction apply.
-
2010-08-31historical
-
2009-12-10New
-
2009-08-22historical
-
2009-01-21
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,654 · $638/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,048 · $754/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,394/yr (+$116/mo · 18.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $122,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,767
- − Property taxes
- −$7,654
- − Insurance
- −$2,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,811
- − Management
- −$9,811
- − Depreciation
- −$13,382
- Taxable income
- $53,910
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$12,938
- After-tax cash flow
- $45,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- SD U-46
- NCES district ID
- 1713710
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,757
- Composite
- 19.39/100
- National rank
- #8783
- State rank
- #386 of 620 in IL
Livability — Elgin
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elgin, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 124,091
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,225
- Household income
- $82,449
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1349.0
Population outlook (Kane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 559,449 people
- By 2030
- 568,757 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 575,969 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 563,477 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 492,321 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 380,943 · -31.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 26% Two or more races 24% Asian 4% Black 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 52% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 53% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kane
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.4) · D 54.0% · R 44.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.4 2020: D+14.4 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.84%
- Current HPI
- 244.8833
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.40%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+530.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $394,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) $393,933 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-14 Listed $389,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-27 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-10 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-01 Listed $62,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-08-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-21 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $7,654 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…