28 N 5th Ave · Coatesville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity located on North side of Coatesville City. House has plenty of potential. Fenced in back yard. 4th bedroom is half of the loft. Rear porch and deck. Walk out basement through bilco doors. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached structure; Main entrance faces east; No tidal water (not in federal flood zone); Ownership: Fee simple; Major renovation in 2020 (effective year)
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Brick/mortar foundation; Below-grade area (full basement, unfinished)
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Level lot with rear yard; Chain link fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Gas range/oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units (natural gas cooling fuel listed)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Wood floors throughout
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#791 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $240k implies a 638% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.52%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $379,638
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 S 6th Ave | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,764 (-4%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $68 | 75 |
| 622 Coates St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,682 (-8%) | 7mo | $157,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 622 Walnut St | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,728 (-6%) | 4mo | $124,000 | $72 | 63 |
| 68 S 5th Ave | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,636 (-11%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 1107 Hulnick Rd Unit 438-74 | 0.57mi | 3/— | 1,983 (+8%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $207 | 58 |
| 1707 Hulnick Rd Unit 438-30 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,962 (+7%) | 4mo | $375,000 | $191 | 54 |
| 139 S 4th Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,616 (-12%) | 6mo | $198,500 | $123 | 51 |
| 136 Haslan Ln | 0.60mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,689 (-8%) | 1mo | $405,000 | $240 | 49 |
| 148 Stoyer Rd | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,975 (+8%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $210 | 46 |
| 129 Haslan Ln | 0.65mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,689 (-8%) | 3mo | $405,000 | $240 | 45 |
| 153 Stoyer Rd | 0.72mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,637 (-11%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $229 | 39 |
| 141 Stoyer Rd | 0.71mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,636 (-11%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $223 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-40,642
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-26,697
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,967 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,373/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-85
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Harlan Dr Coatesville, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 603 E Chestnut St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1629 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 633 Coates St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1331 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 161 Stoyer Rd Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1973 | $2,350 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1136 Stirling St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1572 | $2,195 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1064 Wayne Ave Coatesville, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1180 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 1d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 416 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,100 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 398 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 420 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $240,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical $240,000
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2023-03-28historical
-
2022-11-12$180,000 Active
-
2022-11-10historical
-
2017-02-16soldstatus $32,500 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Investor opportunity located on North side of Coatesville City. House has plenty of potential. Fenced in back yard. 4th bedroom is half of the loft. Rear porch and deck. Walk out basement through bilco doors. Schedule your showing today!
-
2017-02-16soldstatus $32,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Investor opportunity located on North side of Coatesville City. House has plenty of potential. Fenced in back yard. 4th bedroom is half of the loft. Rear porch and deck. Walk out basement through bilco doors. Schedule your showing today!
-
2017-01-09status Under Contract
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2017-01-03historical
-
2016-12-20status Active
-
2016-12-12historical
-
2016-12-01$32,500 Active
-
2016-11-22$32,500 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Investor opportunity located on North side of Coatesville City. House has plenty of potential. Fenced in back yard. 4th bedroom is half of the loft. Rear porch and deck. Walk out basement through bilco doors. Schedule your showing today!
-
1994-05-05soldstatus $67,000
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1991-12-23soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,373 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,583 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- +$209/yr (+$17/mo · 6.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,610
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$3,373
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,889
- − Management
- −$1,889
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$5,167
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,240
- After-tax cash flow
- $215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coatesville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #791
- US rank
- #7996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coatesville, PA
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 55,941
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+269.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-12 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-10 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-02-16 Sold (MLS) $32,500 TREND
- 2017-02-16 Sold (MLS) $32,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-01-09 Pending — TREND
- 2017-01-03 Delisted — TREND
- 2016-12-20 Relisted — TREND
- 2016-12-12 Delisted — TREND
- 2016-12-01 Listed $32,500 TREND
- 2016-11-22 Listed $32,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1991-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,373 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…