300 Ridge Rd #11 · Newberry, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Renovated in 2026, just delivered to this lot 11 - taxes not yet assessed. Ready to move into this doublewide (3 beds, 2 baths). $500 monthly lot rent in Skyview MHP. All ages community. Buyer can purchase 1 yr home warranty (optional). see 30 pics.
Key facts
- Built 1986
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Ground rent; Property condition: Very good
- HOA & community: Ground rent $500 monthly; Property manager present
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Community water; Private sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Above-grade living space (estimated 1,400 finished)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Manufactured structure; Redman make; Effective year of major remodel: 2026 (estimated)
- Exterior features: Rented lot; Not in a federal flood zone; Park community named Skyview
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level; 2 full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Red Land Shs (math 56% / reading 75%, grade B, #65 of 437 statewide, top 15%, 1,101 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the West Shore SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.16%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,012
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -68.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Hilldale Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+10%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $208 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $20,408
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $62,870
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17319
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1660 Bamberger Rd Etters, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 22 Persian Lilac Dr Etters, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 572 Kellinger Rd Lewisberry, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,163 | $1.06 | 13d | 2 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$89,900 Active 249-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,481
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,315
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, ready for immediate move-in.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Shore SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225830
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,398
- Composite
- 40.9/100
- National rank
- #3617
- State rank
- #222 of 539 in PA
Livability — Newberry
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,990
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Polish 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.02%
- Current HPI
- 268.9557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…