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202 W Wheatland Rd
D+ Composite 48.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,998

202 W Wheatland Rd · Duncanville, TX 75116
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 190 Days on market
Built 1951 6,795 sqft lot $173/sqft · 18% below area Est $211k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Conveniently located
  • Mature trees

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDMATURE TREESPOSSIBLE REZONING POTENTIALCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($270/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (5.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Duncanville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#164 in TX, #4,372 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D+.
  • Duncanville ISD (suburban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #711 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,598 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.57%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,927
List price
$169,998
Delta
-19.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 Moore St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 988 (+1%) 11mo $200,000 $202 76
231 W Center St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-1%) 3mo $199,999 $207 69
227 W Center St 0.45mi 3/2.0 950 (-3%) 2mo $275,000 $289 69
418 E Mona Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+6%) 3mo $210,000 $202 65
231 W Orange St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,007 (+3%) 8mo $149,900 $149 63
207 Cedar St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+6%) 15mo $235,000 $226 58
215 N Merrill Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,070 (+9%) 2mo $199,000 $186 57
415 Walnut St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+11%) 2mo $229,700 $210 48
334 W Shaw St 0.35mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,039 (+6%) 16mo $289,000 $278 47
339 W Cherry St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,036 (+6%) 20mo $220,000 $212 47
112 Brookside Dr 0.74mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,055 (+8%) 4mo $176,000 $167 42
255 Merribrook Trl 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,119 (+14%) 23mo $255,000 $228 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-26,050
Equity at exit
$25,347
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-20,572
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75116

Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,602 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$281 /mo · $3,371/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $169,998
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
919 Southloop Dr Duncanville, TX 3.0 1.5 1113 $1,550 $1.39 43d 1 0.23mi
1019 S Main St Duncanville, TX 2.0 1.5 885 $1,425 $1.61 43d 1 0.33mi
333 Fouts Ave Unit 333 Fouts Duncanville, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $1,595 $1.63 43d 1 0.33mi
1303 S Main St Duncanville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 907 $1,805 $1.99 1d 10 0.54mi
314 Shorewood Dr Duncanville, TX 3.0 2.0 1102 $1,875 $1.70 5d 1 0.71mi
214 E Little St Duncanville, TX 2.0 1.0 672 $1,395 $2.08 43d 1 0.72mi
603 W Center St Duncanville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 980 $1,900 $1.94 1d 9 0.87mi
715 Hustead St Duncanville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 828 $1,472 $1.78 1d 4 1.01mi
417 Duncanville Rd Duncanville, TX 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,160 $1.10 43d 1 1.10mi
417 Duncanville Rd Duncanville, TX 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,160 $1.10 24d 1 1.10mi
800 N Merrill Ave Duncanville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 819 $1,699 $2.07 43d 28 1.11mi
605 N Alexander Ave Duncanville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 1d 25 1.20mi
718 Skyline Dr Unit 726 Skyline Duncanville, TX 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,995 $1.86 43d 1 1.22mi
726 Skyline Dr Duncanville, TX 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,995 $1.86 43d 1 1.24mi
800 Link Dr Duncanville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 853 $1,650 $1.93 1d 60 1.30mi
907 Fairbanks Cir Duncanville, TX 3.0 2.0 1017 $1,891 $1.86 6d 1 1.44mi
7575 S Westmoreland Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 883 $1,799 $2.04 2d 26 1.44mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $169,998 Pending 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 183 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 182 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,998 Active Option Contract 181 DOM
  10. 2026-05-17
    historical Active Option Contract 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  11. 2026-04-29
    price $169,998 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  12. 2026-03-23
    price $180,000 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  13. 2026-02-18
    status Active 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  14. 2025-11-30
    status Pending 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  15. 2025-11-22
    historical Active Option Contract 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  16. 2025-09-15
    historical $1,295
  17. 2025-09-11
    listed $190,000 Active 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Duncanville. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout and a spacious backyard with mature trees. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major highways I-20 & 67. In addition to residential use, the property presents Possible Rezoning Potential for commercial purposes, offering added flexibility for investors or developers.

  18. 2025-09-09
    price $1,295
  19. 2025-08-02
    price $1,395
  20. 2025-07-08
    listed $1,450
  21. 2024-07-30
    historical $1,295
  22. 2024-07-14
    listed $1,295
  23. 2013-08-23
    soldstatus
  24. 2011-07-06
    soldstatus
  25. 1982-01-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,371 · $281/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,371 · $281/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,226
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$3,371
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,538
− Management
−$1,538
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$2,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$609
After-tax cash flow
$879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duncanville ISD
NCES district ID
4817640
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,979
Composite
21.71/100
National rank
#8270
State rank
#711 of 826 in TX

Livability — Duncanville

Score
74/100
State rank
#164
US rank
#4372

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duncanville, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
39,683
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,954
Household income
$67,390
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
780.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Black 24% White 21% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.45%
Current HPI
358.5426
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13027.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $169,998 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $180,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-11-30 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-11-22 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-09-15 Rental Removed $1,295 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $190,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $1,295 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-02 Price Changed $1,395 NTREIS
  • 2025-07-08 Listed for Rent $1,450 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-30 Rental Removed $1,295 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-14 Listed for Rent $1,295 NTREIS
  • 2013-08-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-07-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1982-01-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,371 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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