272 Schoolhouse Rd · Arlington Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Multiple offers. Highest and Best by 2pm Wednesday, May 13th * * Welcome to 272 Schoolhouse Rd. This charming well maintained colonial style home offers a classic layout with plenty of space and potential to make it your own. The home includes a spacious living area flooded with natural light that pours in through multiple windows. Located off the formal dining room is a bright, functional eat-in kitchen featuring ample cabinetry, generous counter space, a convenient breakfast bar, and sliding glass doors leading to a large deck overlooking the backyard — making entertaining, casual dining or al-frecso dining both easy and convenient. Upstairs hosts a primary en-suite plu
Key facts
- Large deck
- Colonial style home
- Serene lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway parking; Off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Lot approximately 0.45 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Ceiling fans; Wall cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Dining area and a separate/formal dining room; Kitchen island; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Upper-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Arlington Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#317 in PA, #2,815 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.15%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,934
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -5.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272 Schoolhouse Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 1,728 (0%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $168 | 100 |
| 12335 Havenwood Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,735 (+0%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $199 | 60 |
| 54 Lenape Dr | 0.18mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,536 (-11%) | 10mo | $222,000 | $145 | 58 |
| 430 Indian Way | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,846 (+7%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 234 Footprint Rd | 0.50mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,914 (+11%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $102 | 48 |
| 1184 Sierra Trail Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,820 (+5%) | 13mo | $389,000 | $214 | 47 |
| 1262 Lace Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,687 (-2%) | 18mo | $320,900 | $190 | 44 |
| 426 Indian Way | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,892 (+10%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $172 | 39 |
| 180 Georganna Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,512 (-12%) | 19mo | $265,000 | $175 | 22 |
| 144 Schoolhouse Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,475 (-15%) | 19mo | $243,000 | $165 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $5,217
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $68,931
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18302
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$428 /mo · $5,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $780
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Jennifer Ln East Stroudsburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,500 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 1225-char remark
-
2026-05-06$275,000 Active 1225-char remark
-
2001-08-07soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,140 · $428/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,140 · $428/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$5,140
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $5,360
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,286
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Arlington Heights
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #2815
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,593
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.00%
- Current HPI
- 157.9833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1712.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $290,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $275,000 GLVRMLS
- 2001-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $5,140 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…