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272 Schoolhouse Rd
B- Composite 66.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

272 Schoolhouse Rd · Arlington Heights, PA 18302
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2002 0.45 ac lot $159/sqft · 5% below area Est $291k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * Multiple offers. Highest and Best by 2pm Wednesday, May 13th * * Welcome to 272 Schoolhouse Rd. This charming well maintained colonial style home offers a classic layout with plenty of space and potential to make it your own. The home includes a spacious living area flooded with natural light that pours in through multiple windows. Located off the formal dining room is a bright, functional eat-in kitchen featuring ample cabinetry, generous counter space, a convenient breakfast bar, and sliding glass doors leading to a large deck overlooking the backyard — making entertaining, casual dining or al-frecso dining both easy and convenient. Upstairs hosts a primary en-suite plu

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Colonial style home
  • Serene lot

Tags

COLONIAL STYLE HOMESPACIOUS LIVING AREAFUNCTIONAL EAT-IN KITCHENLARGE DECKPRIVATE DRIVEWAYSERENE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway parking; Off-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Lot approximately 0.45 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Ceiling fans; Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Dining area and a separate/formal dining room; Kitchen island; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Upper-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Arlington Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#317 in PA, #2,815 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
  • East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $275,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.15%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$290,934
List price
$275,000
Delta
-5.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
272 Schoolhouse Rd 0.00mi 4/2.5 1,728 (0%) 0mo $290,000 $168 100
12335 Havenwood Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,735 (+0%) 9mo $345,000 $199 60
54 Lenape Dr 0.18mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,536 (-11%) 10mo $222,000 $145 58
430 Indian Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,846 (+7%) 4mo $275,000 $149 48
234 Footprint Rd 0.50mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,914 (+11%) 5mo $195,000 $102 48
1184 Sierra Trail Dr 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,820 (+5%) 13mo $389,000 $214 47
1262 Lace Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,687 (-2%) 18mo $320,900 $190 44
426 Indian Way 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,892 (+10%) 10mo $325,000 $172 39
180 Georganna Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,512 (-12%) 19mo $265,000 $175 22
144 Schoolhouse Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,475 (-15%) 19mo $243,000 $165 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$5,217
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$68,931
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18302

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$428 /mo · $5,140/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$780

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,513
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
310 Jennifer Ln East Stroudsburg, PA 4.0 2.5 2200 $3,500 $1.59 44d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 1225-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $275,000 Active 1225-char remark
  3. 2001-08-07
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,140 · $428/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,140 · $428/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$5,140
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,360
− Management
−$3,360
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$5,360
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,286
After-tax cash flow
$8,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Stroudsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4208670
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$57,142
Composite
30.13/100
National rank
#6332
State rank
#413 of 539 in PA

Livability — Arlington Heights

Score
77/100
State rank
#317
US rank
#2815

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,593

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.00%
Current HPI
157.9833
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1712.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $290,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $275,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2001-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,140 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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