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6135 Shillington Dr
C- Composite 53.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

6135 Shillington Dr · Berkeley, MO 63134
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1951 8,816 sqft lot $125/sqft · 38% above area Est $76k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Do not disturb occupants. Great opportunity to acquire a performing single-family rental with built-in income from day one. This property is currently tenant-occupied with a long-term resident paying $1,025/month + utilities, offering immediate and stable cash flow for your portfolio. Property is being conveyed as-is and the seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. The buyer will be responsible for verifying all property details and condition.

Key facts

  • 8,816 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 93 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#774 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $105k implies a 1212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.27%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,944
List price
$105,000
Delta
38.26%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 Henquin Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 816 (-3%) 1mo $115,000 $141 84
308 Henquin Dr 0.26mi 2/1.0 861 (+2%) 1mo $80,000 $93 83
8234 Airport Rd 0.31mi 2/1.0 792 (-6%) 4mo $75,000 $95 73
826 Walters Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 925 (+10%) 2mo $60,000 $65 68
221 S Harvey Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 864 (+3%) 3mo $135,000 $156 63
6330 Washington Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+3%) 1mo $50,000 $58 61
6300 Evergreen Blvd 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+3%) 2mo $99,000 $115 58
405 Estelle Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 775 (-8%) 1mo $79,900 $103 52
6625 Thurston Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 939 (+12%) 4mo $74,900 $80 45
115 Lawrence Ave 0.73mi 2/1.5 936 (+11%) 0mo $64,500 $69 45
6153 Hancock Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 732 (-13%) 5mo $59,900 $82 44
406 Tiffin Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 944 (+12%) 5mo $105,000 $111 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$1,962
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$21,484
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63134

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,226 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $588/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $814
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6132 Eaton Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,125 $1.42 23d 1 0.07mi
6156 Wulff Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,425 $1.48 10d 1 0.11mi
6044 Cascade Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,150 $1.17 7d 1 0.20mi
222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,050 $1.29 17d 1 0.21mi
60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,285 $1.34 43d 1 0.23mi
910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 924 $1,260 $1.36 16d 1 0.24mi
8306 Whitewater Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,195 $1.51 7d 1 0.30mi
6333 Peurifoy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 23d 1 0.31mi
6214 Jefferson Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,195 $1.46 23d 1 0.45mi
601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 743 $950 $1.28 23d 1 0.51mi
6315 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 739 $1,175 $1.59 16d 1 0.59mi
6334 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 4d 1 0.60mi
6336 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,175 $1.63 43d 1 0.60mi
6042 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,495 $1.44 23d 1 0.63mi
6234 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 846 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.66mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,300 $1.38 43d 1 0.68mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,400 $1.49 23d 1 0.68mi
334 Mueller Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 713 $825 $1.16 23d 1 0.75mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 43d 1 0.88mi
519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 887 $1,297 $1.46 20d 1 0.88mi
422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 7d 1 0.89mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,600 $1.54 43d 1 0.94mi
450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 23d 1 0.98mi
709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 43d 1 1.00mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5530 B1 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $915 $1.08 43d 1 1.01mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5518 B4 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $835 $1.11 43d 1 1.01mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 7d 1 1.03mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 7d 1 1.05mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 7d 1 1.08mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 1.17mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 20d 1 1.18mi
806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 726 $1,100 $1.52 43d 1 1.18mi
223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 12d 1 1.19mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 12d 1 1.21mi
5300 Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 23d 1 1.22mi
801 Thomas Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,350 $1.56 43d 1 1.23mi
401 Millman Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,450 $1.44 16d 1 1.24mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 43d 1 1.25mi
617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 877 $1,200 $1.37 43d 1 1.27mi
110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 875 $1,050 $1.20 7d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-03-17
    listed $105,000 Active 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Do not disturb occupants. Great opportunity to acquire a performing single-family rental with built-in income from day one. This property is currently tenant-occupied with a long-term resident paying $1,025/month + utilities, offering immediate and stable cash flow for your portfolio. Property is being conveyed as-is and the seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. The buyer will be responsible for verifying all property details and condition.

  16. 2026-01-01
    status Active
  17. 2025-11-07
    listed $2,000,000 Active
  18. 2025-11-04
    historical
  19. 2016-03-28
    soldstatus $8,000
  20. 2014-07-30
    soldstatus $4,500
  21. 2014-07-28
    soldstatus
  22. 2014-06-13
    listed $4,900
  23. 2006-12-12
    soldstatus $32,125
  24. 2001-06-14
    soldstatus $50,000
  25. 2001-01-16
    soldstatus $29,900
  26. 1997-08-01
    soldstatus
  27. 1988-03-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$588 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$430/yr (+$36/mo · 73.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,710
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$588
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,177
− Management
−$1,177
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$554
After-tax cash flow
$3,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Berkeley

Score
54/100
State rank
#774
US rank
#23800

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berkeley, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
13,059
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
13,059
Household income
$44,680
Rent vs Own
45.5% rent · 54.5% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.02%
Current HPI
226.9524
Rent YoY
▲ 1.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-01 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $2,000,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $4,500 Public Records
  • 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-13 Listed $4,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $32,125 Public Records
  • 2001-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2001-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
  • 1997-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $588 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…