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10035 Mills Station Rd #129
B+ Composite 77.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

10035 Mills Station Rd #129 · Rancho Cordova, CA 95827
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,329 sqft · Manufactured · 29 Days on market
Built 1968 Average condition $60/sqft · 43% below area Est $140k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

An exceptional opportunity awaits at 10035 Mills Rd #129, Sacramento, CA, USA, presenting an inviting mobile home that is ready to move into. This property offers newer AC/heater, close to the freeway, corner lot pool/spa club house. The living room offers a distinctive wood wall, creating a warm and inviting ambiance perfect for relaxation and personal enjoyment. This feature contributes to an appealing aesthetic, providing a serene backdrop for everyday living. Within the kitchen, a thoughtful design features a practical backsplash, a convenient kitchen peninsula, and a functional stovetop, all complemented by another charming wood wall. This space is well-appointed for culinary pursuits,

Key facts

  • Functional stovetop
  • Practical backsplash
  • Newer ac heater

Tags

NEWER AC HEATERCORNER LOT POOL SPA CLUB HOUSEDISTINCTIVE WOOD WALLPRACTICAL BACKSPLASHKITCHEN PENINSULAFUNCTIONAL STOVETOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease amount listed: $1,050
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community; Land lease: No

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking
  • Utilities: Electric: Other; Sewer: Other; Water source: None; Utilities: Other
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (double wide); Built in 1968
  • Construction: Metal roof; Other roof material; Manufactured home make: Lancer
  • Exterior features: Storage shed(s); Additional storage area; Other lot features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Hood over range; Double oven; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double sinks in bathroom(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Heating: Other
  • Interior features: Enclosed patio; Great room; Formal dining area; Storage area (interior)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry closet located inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 3.0% in Rancho Cordova — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#268 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D.
  • Sacramento City Unified (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #804 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.53%
Cap rate
21.94%
Cash-on-cash
55.88%
DSCR
3.49
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,900
List price
$80,000
Delta
-42.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2950 Routier Rd #45 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+1%) 9mo $90,000 $67 76
102 Countess Way #102 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-6%) 6mo $127,500 $102 73
3116 Tory Ln 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,368 (+3%) 10mo $68,000 $50 71
10035 Mills Sta #7 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-10%) 14mo $105,000 $88 70
10035 Mills Station Rd #42 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 10mo $150,000 $104 68
2950 Routier Rd #42 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,384 (+4%) 10mo $120,000 $87 67
10035 Mills Station Rd #26 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,140 (-14%) 6mo $82,000 $72 66
2950 Routier Rd #73 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-2%) 13mo $149,950 $115 65
3106 Redcoat Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+10%) 2mo $245,000 $168 62
2950 Routier #48 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-6%) 14mo $160,000 $128 58
3126 Tory Ln #86 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 11mo $167,000 $116 53
2950 Routier Rd #9 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,490 (+12%) 12mo $169,000 $113 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.6%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$52,315
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
58.5%
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$126,395
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95827

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,020 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$1,043

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2929 Routier Rd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $1,995 $2.53 2d 15 0.21mi
2850 La Loma Dr Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 920 $1,800 $1.96 7d 1 0.49mi
3250 Laurelhurst Dr Rancho Cordova, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $2,275 $2.24 1d 6 0.50mi
3329 Routier Rd Unit 3329 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 979 $2,000 $2.04 43d 1 0.50mi
10169 Crawford Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 917 $2,150 $2.34 23d 1 0.52mi
2625 El Parque Cir Unit D Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 880 $1,800 $2.05 43d 1 0.54mi
10181 De Soto Way Unit 10181 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 917 $1,950 $2.13 3d 1 0.56mi
3226 Laurelhurst Dr Rancho Cordova, CA 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,900 $1.88 23d 1 0.56mi
2961 Portsmouth Dr Unit 4 Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,650 $1.83 11d 1 0.58mi
10281 Mills Station Rd Unit 12 Rancho Cordova, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 4d 1 0.58mi
10108 Malaga Way Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 765 $1,776 $2.32 7d 1 0.59mi
10158 De Soto Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 16d 1 0.60mi
10136 Ellenwood Ave Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,375 $1.67 43d 1 0.66mi
9952 Vanguard Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1168 $2,450 $2.10 11d 1 0.80mi
10407 White Rock Rd Unit B Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 43d 1 0.82mi
10069 Lincoln Village Dr Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 882 $2,049 $2.32 3d 1 0.98mi
3466 Data Dr Rancho Cordova, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 955 $2,411 $2.52 1d 8 1.03mi
3337 Union Springs Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1543 $2,595 $1.68 43d 1 1.23mi
3100 Explorer Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1380 $2,575 $1.87 16d 1 1.24mi
9849 Lincoln Village Dr Unit A Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,995 $1.81 43d 1 1.32mi
10495 Malaga Way Rancho Cordova, CA 3.0 2.0 1203 $2,495 $2.07 20d 1 1.37mi
2910 Weston Way Rancho Cordova, CA 3.0 1.0 1098 $2,460 $2.24 10d 1 1.40mi
1200 Gary Way Carmichael, CA 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,495 $1.76 14d 1 1.43mi
1111 McClaren Dr Carmichael, CA 2.0 1.0 1440 $2,335 $1.62 10d 1 1.45mi
10524 Croetto Way Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 926 $1,400 $1.51 4d 1 1.46mi
10524 Croetto Way Unit 1 Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 926 $1,500 $1.62 23d 1 1.46mi
3600 Kobias Ct Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1257 $2,650 $2.11 23d 1 1.46mi
2643 Furmint Way Unit 3 Rancho Cordova, CA 2.0 1.0 946 $1,695 $1.79 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,243
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,939
− Management
−$1,939
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$11,956
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,869
After-tax cash flow
$9,649/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in average condition with cosmetic repairs needed. Upgrades to paint, carpet, and cabinets would significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom tiles — Some wear
  • Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
  • Minor Carpeting — Worn areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpeting — New carpeting improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Upgrade kitchen cabinets — New cabinets add value and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom tiles · Some wear Minor $500–3,000
Exterior siding · Weathered appearance Minor $500–3,000
Carpeting · Worn areas Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpeting — New carpeting improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Upgrade kitchen cabinets — New cabinets add value and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sacramento City Unified
NCES district ID
0633840
Math proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$49,280
Composite
34.86/100
National rank
#10000
State rank
#804 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Rancho Cordova

Score
68/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#9126

Category grades

Amenities C Commute C- Cost of living F Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rancho Cordova, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
98,329
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,742
Household income
$85,841
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
949.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -223.22%
Current HPI
349.4168
Rent YoY
▲ 2.41%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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