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16851 NE 23rd Ave Unit A212
B+ Composite 76.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$134,900

16851 NE 23rd Ave Unit A212 · North Miami Beach, FL 33160
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Condo public records · 310 Days on market
Built 1973 $698/mo HOA · 22% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WOOSIDE CONDO 1/1 , EAST OF US 1 !!! REDUCED FOR FAST SALE!!! CALL L. A FOR SHOWINGS

Key facts

  • $698 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax amount available (not listed per instructions)
  • Financial info: Lease considered; No pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $698; Association covers management, common areas, hot water, insurance, structural maintenance, parking, pest control, sewer and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool and elevators

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Garage door opener; 2 covered spaces; 2-car garage
  • Security: Complex fenced; Secured garage/parking; Security/high-impact doors
  • Utilities: Cooling: Electric
  • Home design: Attached property; 6-story building; Entry on level 2
  • Construction: Block construction; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony/porch; Fruit trees; Complex fenced; Security/high-impact doors; Secured garage/parking

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric cooling
  • Interior features: First floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Ceramic tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1878 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,112/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $711 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $135k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
13.05%
Cash-on-cash
24.12%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$15,070
Equity at exit
$42,762
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$40,282
Equity at exit
$54,364

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33160

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
1878
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,112 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$698
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$653
Net cashflow
$333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,691
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $409 -5% $371 +0% $333 +5% $294 +10% $256
Rent -10% $87 -5% $210 +0% $333 +5% $455 +10% $578
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $367 base $333 +0.5pp $298 +1.0pp $262

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$698 · $8,376/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 310 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 309 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 308 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 307 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 305 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 301 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 300 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 299 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $134,900 Active 296 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 295 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 294 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 293 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 292 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    price $139,900
  15. 2026-01-25
    price $147,500
  16. 2025-12-15
    price $149,900
  17. 2025-10-27
    price $158,000
  18. 2025-08-12
    listed $165,000 Active
  19. 2025-06-04
    historical
  20. 2025-03-17
    historical $1,750
  21. 2025-03-17
    price $175,000
  22. 2025-02-05
    price $180,000
  23. 2025-01-12
    price $185,000
  24. 2024-12-04
    listed $195,000 Active
  25. 2024-11-22
    listed $1,750
  26. 2017-12-29
    soldstatus $84,000
  27. 2017-12-04
    historical
  28. 2017-07-24
    listed $90,000 Active
  29. 2015-12-16
    soldstatus $76,500
  30. 2015-12-15
    soldstatus $76,500 Sold
  31. 2015-11-11
    status Pending
  32. 2015-10-22
    status Active
  33. 2015-10-21
    status Pending
  34. 2015-09-04
    status Active
  35. 2015-08-12
    status Pending
  36. 2015-06-02
    listed $76,500 Active
  37. 2015-04-21
    historical
  38. 2015-03-03
    listed $85,000 Active
  39. 2004-05-20
    soldstatus $67,000
  40. 2000-08-09
    soldstatus $28,500
  41. 1995-04-14
    soldstatus $26,000
  42. 1980-04-01
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,850 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,850 · $238/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 87% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,340
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$5,793
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,987
− Management
−$2,987
− HOA
−$8,376
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$2,866
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$688
After-tax cash flow
$3,303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
34,147
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
43,718
Household income
$67,040
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.53%
Current HPI
284.9293
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+311.5% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $139,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Price Changed $147,500 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $149,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $158,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-03-17 Rental Removed $1,750 MARMLS
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Price Changed $180,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-01-12 Price Changed $185,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Listed $195,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-11-22 Listed for Rent $1,750 MARMLS
  • 2017-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-04 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2017-07-24 Listed $90,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
  • 2015-12-15 Sold (MLS) $76,500 MARMLS
  • 2015-11-11 Pending MARMLS
  • 2015-10-22 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2015-10-21 Pending MARMLS
  • 2015-09-04 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2015-08-12 Pending MARMLS
  • 2015-06-02 Listed $76,500 MARMLS
  • 2015-04-21 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2015-03-03 Listed $85,000 MARMLS
  • 2004-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2000-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
  • 1995-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,850 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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