16851 NE 23rd Ave Unit A212 · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.87%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WOOSIDE CONDO 1/1 , EAST OF US 1 !!! REDUCED FOR FAST SALE!!! CALL L. A FOR SHOWINGS
Key facts
- $698 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount available (not listed per instructions)
- Financial info: Lease considered; No pets allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $698; Association covers management, common areas, hot water, insurance, structural maintenance, parking, pest control, sewer and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool and elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Garage door opener; 2 covered spaces; 2-car garage
- Security: Complex fenced; Secured garage/parking; Security/high-impact doors
- Utilities: Cooling: Electric
- Home design: Attached property; 6-story building; Entry on level 2
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony/porch; Fruit trees; Complex fenced; Security/high-impact doors; Secured garage/parking
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling
- Interior features: First floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Ceramic tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1878 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,112/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $711 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $84k; list at $135k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.12%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $15,070
- Equity at exit
- $42,762
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $40,282
- Equity at exit
- $54,364
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1878
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,112 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$698
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$653
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $409 | -5% $371 | +0% $333 | +5% $294 | +10% $256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $210 | +0% $333 | +5% $455 | +10% $578 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $367 | base $333 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $698 · $8,376/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $134,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $139,900
-
2026-01-25price $147,500
-
2025-12-15price $149,900
-
2025-10-27price $158,000
-
2025-08-12$165,000 Active
-
2025-06-04historical
-
2025-03-17historical $1,750
-
2025-03-17price $175,000
-
2025-02-05price $180,000
-
2025-01-12price $185,000
-
2024-12-04$195,000 Active
-
2024-11-22$1,750
-
2017-12-29soldstatus $84,000
-
2017-12-04historical
-
2017-07-24$90,000 Active
-
2015-12-16soldstatus $76,500
-
2015-12-15soldstatus $76,500 Sold
-
2015-11-11status Pending
-
2015-10-22status Active
-
2015-10-21status Pending
-
2015-09-04status Active
-
2015-08-12status Pending
-
2015-06-02$76,500 Active
-
2015-04-21historical
-
2015-03-03$85,000 Active
-
2004-05-20soldstatus $67,000
-
2000-08-09soldstatus $28,500
-
1995-04-14soldstatus $26,000
-
1980-04-01soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,850 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,850 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 87% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$5,793
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,987
- − Management
- −$2,987
- − HOA
- −$8,376
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $2,866
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$688
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+311.5% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $139,900 MARMLS
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $147,500 MARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $149,900 MARMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $158,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-03-17 Rental Removed $1,750 MARMLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-02-05 Price Changed $180,000 MARMLS
- 2025-01-12 Price Changed $185,000 MARMLS
- 2024-12-04 Listed $195,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-22 Listed for Rent $1,750 MARMLS
- 2017-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-07-24 Listed $90,000 MARMLS
- 2015-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
- 2015-12-15 Sold (MLS) $76,500 MARMLS
- 2015-11-11 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-10-22 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2015-10-21 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-09-04 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2015-08-12 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-06-02 Listed $76,500 MARMLS
- 2015-04-21 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2015-03-03 Listed $85,000 MARMLS
- 2004-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
- 1995-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,850 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…