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1805 Goodwin Ave
C+ Composite 61.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$66,900

1805 Goodwin Ave · West Memphis, AR 72301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 875 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1956 9,147 sqft lot $76/sqft · 6% above area Est $63k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to market this charming home located in the Memphis View Subdivision Great investment opportunity cash flowing for $625 monthly. Home has 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a large backyard. Professionally managed by Crest Core. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS Home is apart of a 3 property package deal (1913 Sula & 208 s Center)

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 93 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $67k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,879 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.61%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,225
List price
$66,900
Delta
5.81%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2009 Goodwin Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 850 (-3%) 6mo $110,000 $129 83
721 E Mcauley 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 846 (-3%) 3mo $41,000 $48 73
541 Rosemary Ln 0.35mi 2/1.0 825 (-6%) 9mo $38,000 $46 66
525 N 18th St 0.40mi 2/1.0 875 (0%) 20mo $22,700 $26 65
733 N 18th St 0.10mi 2/1.0 780 (-11%) 18mo $25,000 $32 62
1921 Barton Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+3%) 22mo $110,000 $122 60
600 Johnson St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 930 (+6%) 5mo $95,000 $102 55
1104 Goodwin Cir 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 962 (+10%) 8mo $135,900 $141 53
1101 Goodwin Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 988 (+13%) 11mo $119,900 $121 44
601 N 28th St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 951 (+9%) 4mo $125,000 $131 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$7,639
Equity at exit
$9,975
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$30,382
Equity at exit
$5,784

Cash invested: $18,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$351
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $280/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $509
Max offer price $66,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,725
Closing costs
$2,007
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
741 N 18th St West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 814 $940 $1.15 4d 1 0.10mi
2401 Wheeler Ave West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 44d 1 0.39mi
2400 Goodwin Ave West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.5 1100 $775 $0.70 44d 1 0.41mi
2416 Thompson Ave West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 550 $738 $1.34 2d 3 0.79mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $66,900 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $66,900 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $66,900 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $66,900 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $66,900 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $66,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $66,900 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $66,900 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $66,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $66,900 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $66,900 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $66,900 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $66,900 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-03-16
    listed $66,900 New Listing 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Welcome to market this charming home located in the Memphis View Subdivision Great investment opportunity cash flowing for $625 monthly. Home has 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a large backyard. Professionally managed by Crest Core. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS Home is apart of a 3 property package deal (1913 Sula & 208 s Center)

  15. 2025-09-01
    historical
  16. 2025-04-17
    price $66,900
  17. 2025-02-06
    listed $69,900 New Listing
  18. 2025-02-06
    listed $69,900 Active
  19. 2013-11-15
    soldstatus $106,000
  20. 2000-05-23
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$280 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$428 · $36/mo
Expected delta
+$148/yr (+$12/mo · 53.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,520
− Mortgage interest
−$3,747
− Property taxes
−$280
− Insurance
−$334
− Repairs & maintenance
−$842
− Management
−$842
− Depreciation
−$1,946
Taxable income
$2,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$607
After-tax cash flow
$2,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $66,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $66,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-02-06 Listed $69,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-02-06 Listed $69,900 CARMLS
  • 2013-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $280 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…