305 Putnam St · Turtle Lake, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Finished loft
- Laundry room
- Kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 spaces); On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Phone connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half stories; Fiber cement exterior
- Construction: Shingle/asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built with fiber cement
- Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Corner lot; Rectangular lot; Paved public road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Wall/window air units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Concrete unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($721/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#198 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D+.
- Turtle Lake-Mercer 72 (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 169 in ND (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- McLean County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.60%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,494
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 Putman St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (+14%) | 10mo | $94,900 | $109 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $17,754
- Equity at exit
- $46,628
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $55,449
- Equity at exit
- $73,547
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58575
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $942 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $99,000
-
2026-03-30$100,000 Active
-
2018-09-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$904
- − Management
- −$904
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$909
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turtle Lake-Mercer 72
- NCES district ID
- 3818500
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,052
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #6804
- State rank
- #69 of 169 in ND
Livability — Turtle Lake
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #13852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Turtle Lake, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 904
Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,405 people
- By 2030
- 12,337 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 14,426 · +26.5%
- By 2050
- 16,850 · +47.7%
- By 2075
- 24,191 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 30,714 · +169.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 17% Scottish 5% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.2% · R 78.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -58.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.38%
- Current HPI
- 108.0978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
-1.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $99,000 GNMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $100,000 GNMLS
- 2018-09-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-27.2%/yrLatest (2024): $12 · -97.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…