35224 Dodie Dr Lot 12 · Zephyrhills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.3
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming park model has it all - a cozy, well insulated Florida room serves as a comfortable living room that is easy to keep conditioned. The bright dining room is open to the nicely appointed kitchen and there is a pantry closet to the rear of the kitchen. The master bathroom has been updated with a step-in shower. The master bedroom has a large built-in closet for all your clothes. Nestled behind the living room is a half bath and a bonus room that serves this owner as an indoor laundry with a washer and dryer and a spare bedroom when the grandkids come down to visit. This property includes a small shed for extra storage or workspace.
Key facts
- Florida room
- Bonus room
- Indoor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($911/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New River Elementary School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 721 students, 57% FRL); Raymond B. Stewart Middle School (math 33% / reading 30%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 988 students, 77% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 1141 active listings in the ZIP; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.66%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,450
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -4.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35152 Dodie | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 | 432 (+6%) | 7mo | $98,900 | $229 | 80 |
| 35126 Danny Dr Lot 149 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 424 (+4%) | 7mo | $88,000 | $208 | 72 |
| 35248 Tiffani Ct | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 420 (+3%) | 24mo | $179,900 | $428 | 64 |
| 35171 Danny Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 384 (-6%) | 27mo | $220,000 | $573 | 59 |
| 35022 Sateen Dr | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 | 432 (+6%) | 22mo | $32,000 | $74 | 49 |
| 35119 Danny Dr Lot 122 | 0.22mi | 1/1.0 | 490 (+20%) | 29mo | $165,000 | $337 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-12,534
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-16,067
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $79,950 ($181/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 14 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +26.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 1141
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$130
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $137 | -5% $107 | +0% $76 | +5% $45 | +10% $14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-6 | -5% $35 | +0% $76 | +5% $117 | +10% $158 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $121 | -0.5pp $99 | base $76 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property type: Residential — Manufactured HomeOther structures: Shed(s)Zoning: ARLot size approximately 0.07 acre (45'x65')
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees $130; total annual fees $1,560Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Has HOA; monthly fee $130Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis, pickleball and shuffleboard courts, sauna, spa/hot tub, recreation facilities, laundry, wheelchair accessAssociation fee includes common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, fidelity bond, insurance, private road maintenance, recreational facilities and trashBuyer/association approval requiredDeed restrictionsSenior communityGolf carts allowedVehicle restrictions; pet limits apply
Exterior
- Parking
- Covered parkingDriveway parkingGolf cart parkingGround-level parkingGuest parking1-car carport
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableBroadband/high-speed internet availableElectricity connected
- Home design
- Manufactured single-wide homeOne levelFaces northCompleted condition
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingRoof overCrawlspace foundationBuilt as a manufactured home
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porchAwningsRain guttersStorage shedCleared, landscaped and level lotNear public transitPaved and private maintained roadPrivate lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- MicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateLinoleum
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bath1 half bath
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansEat-in kitchenVaulted ceilingsWindow treatmentsAluminum window framesInside utility room
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerElectric dryer hookupLaundry room inside
Listing history 48 events
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2026-08-08days on market $89,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $89,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $89,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $89,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $89,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $89,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $89,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $89,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $89,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $89,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$89,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$439
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This park model has a fair condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. It offers a cozy living space with a Florida room and a half bath, but could benefit from fresh paint and landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance suggests minor wear.
- Minor Landscaping — Shrubs and garden bed appear somewhat unkempt.
- Minor Interior paint — No specific details visible, but could benefit from touch-up or fresh paint.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance. ↑
- Resale Trim exterior siding — Fresh paint and trim can enhance curb appeal. ↑
- Both Landscaping maintenance — A well-maintained garden can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 48,266
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $89,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…