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35224 Dodie Dr Lot 12
D+ Composite 49.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -4.3

$89,000

35224 Dodie Dr Lot 12 · Zephyrhills, FL 33541
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 408 sqft · Manufactured · 65 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1987 Fair condition 2,928 sqft lot $218/sqft · at area comps Est $93k · at est. $130/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming park model has it all - a cozy, well insulated Florida room serves as a comfortable living room that is easy to keep conditioned. The bright dining room is open to the nicely appointed kitchen and there is a pantry closet to the rear of the kitchen. The master bathroom has been updated with a step-in shower. The master bedroom has a large built-in closet for all your clothes. Nestled behind the living room is a half bath and a bonus room that serves this owner as an indoor laundry with a washer and dryer and a spare bedroom when the grandkids come down to visit. This property includes a small shed for extra storage or workspace.

Key facts

  • Florida room
  • Bonus room
  • Indoor laundry

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMPANTRY CLOSETSTEP-IN SHOWERLARGE BUILT-IN CLOSETBONUS ROOMINDOOR LAUNDRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($911/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: New River Elementary School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 721 students, 57% FRL); Raymond B. Stewart Middle School (math 33% / reading 30%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 988 students, 77% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 1141 active listings in the ZIP; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,450
List price
$89,000
Delta
-4.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35152 Dodie 0.05mi 1/1.0 432 (+6%) 7mo $98,900 $229 80
35126 Danny Dr Lot 149 0.19mi 2/2.0 (+1) 424 (+4%) 7mo $88,000 $208 72
35248 Tiffani Ct 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 420 (+3%) 24mo $179,900 $428 64
35171 Danny Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 (+1) 384 (-6%) 27mo $220,000 $573 59
35022 Sateen Dr 0.45mi 1/1.0 432 (+6%) 22mo $32,000 $74 49
35119 Danny Dr Lot 122 0.22mi 1/1.0 490 (+20%) 29mo $165,000 $337 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-12,534
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-16,067
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active
Median asking
$79,950 ($181/sqft)
Median days on market
14 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+26.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33541

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
1141
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$130
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $943
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $137 -5% $107 +0% $76 +5% $45 +10% $14
Rent -10% $-6 -5% $35 +0% $76 +5% $117 +10% $158
Rate -1.0pp $121 -0.5pp $99 base $76 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Property type: Residential — Manufactured HomeOther structures: Shed(s)Zoning: ARLot size approximately 0.07 acre (45'x65')
Financial info
Total monthly fees $130; total annual fees $1,560Lease restrictions apply
HOA & community
Has HOA; monthly fee $130Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis, pickleball and shuffleboard courts, sauna, spa/hot tub, recreation facilities, laundry, wheelchair accessAssociation fee includes common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, fidelity bond, insurance, private road maintenance, recreational facilities and trashBuyer/association approval requiredDeed restrictionsSenior communityGolf carts allowedVehicle restrictions; pet limits apply

Exterior

Parking
Covered parkingDriveway parkingGolf cart parkingGround-level parkingGuest parking1-car carport
Security
Gated community
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable availableBroadband/high-speed internet availableElectricity connected
Home design
Manufactured single-wide homeOne levelFaces northCompleted condition
Construction
Vinyl sidingRoof overCrawlspace foundationBuilt as a manufactured home
Exterior features
Covered patio/porchAwningsRain guttersStorage shedCleared, landscaped and level lotNear public transitPaved and private maintained roadPrivate lot

Interior

Kitchen
MicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorElectric water heater
Bedrooms
1 bedroom
Flooring
CarpetLaminateLinoleum
Bathrooms
1 full bath1 half bath
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansEat-in kitchenVaulted ceilingsWindow treatmentsAluminum window framesInside utility room
Laundry & utility
WasherDryerElectric dryer hookupLaundry room inside

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $89,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $89,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $89,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $89,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $89,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 41 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 33 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
  36. 2026-06-26
    days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
  37. 2026-06-24
    days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
  45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
  46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
  47. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  48. 2026-06-07
    listed $89,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,471
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$998
− Management
−$998
− HOA
−$1,560
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable loss
−$439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$105
After-tax cash flow
$1,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $2,040–$6,120 screening

This park model has a fair condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. It offers a cozy living space with a Florida room and a half bath, but could benefit from fresh paint and landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance suggests minor wear.
  • Minor Landscaping — Shrubs and garden bed appear somewhat unkempt.
  • Minor Interior paint — No specific details visible, but could benefit from touch-up or fresh paint.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance.
  • Resale Trim exterior siding — Fresh paint and trim can enhance curb appeal.
  • Both Landscaping maintenance — A well-maintained garden can improve both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 36/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary New River Elementary School F FL #1,560/2,144 Nat'l #20,819/41,679 Middle Raymond B. Stewart Middle School F FL #453/571 Nat'l #8,497/14,009 High Zephyrhills High School F FL #359/667 Nat'l #9,405/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 72/100

Livability — Zephyrhills

Score
72/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#5760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pasco County · 570,045 people
City population
48,266
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,654
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
24% of renters

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $89,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…