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1808 28th Ave S Multi-family
D Composite 40.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

1808 28th Ave S · Fargo, ND 58103
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 532 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1980 3,528 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

  • 3,528 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1980

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached insulated garage with concrete floor and garage door opener (1-car)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric fuel
  • Home design: Residential attached property; Split-entry (bi-level) design; Entry level spans main and lower levels
  • Construction: Poured concrete foundation; Asphalt roof; Built area: main level 532, below grade 532 (total living area 1,064)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (full basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Dishwasher; Dryer; Electric water heater; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-431/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.5% in Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in ND, #605 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Fargo 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 53 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #200 of 236 statewide, top 86%, 325 students, 56% FRL); Carl Ben Eielson Middle School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #26 of 35 statewide, top 79%, 615 students, 41% FRL); South High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #85 of 144 statewide, top 62%, 961 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 25% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $163,600 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.77%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-31,416
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-16,362
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58103

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
20.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,636 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,361/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,681
Max offer price $193,553
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $77 -5% $21 +0% $-36 +5% $-93 +10% $-149
Rent -10% $-165 -5% $-101 +0% $-36 +5% $29 +10% $93
Rate -1.0pp $65 -0.5pp $15 base $-36 +0.5pp $-88 +1.0pp $-140

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,636

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2601 Pacific Dr S Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 742 $725 $0.98 15d 1 0.22mi
1532 27th Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $855 $1.18 23d 2 0.37mi
1700 25th Ave S Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 729 $712 $0.98 15d 3 0.40mi
2411 30 1/2 Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0 730 $795 $1.09 15d 3 0.40mi
3200 22nd St S Fargo, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 922 $932 $1.01 15d 11 0.40mi
2601 15th St S Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 537 $820 $1.53 15d 5 0.42mi
1720 25th Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0 803 $1,045 $1.30 15d 3 0.43mi
2549 15th St S Unit 03 Fargo, ND 1.0 1.0 550 $670 $1.22 23d 1 0.44mi
2610 15th St S Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 415 $670 $1.61 15d 6 0.48mi
2401 17th St S Fargo, ND 1.0 1.0 714 $710 $0.99 23d 1 0.50mi
2201 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0 812 $860 $1.06 15d 9 0.51mi
1625 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 755 $993 $1.31 15d 9 0.53mi
2301 17th St S Unit 23 Fargo, ND 1.0 1.0 700 $675 $0.96 23d 1 0.56mi
2211 17th St S Unit 14 Fargo, ND 1.0 1.0 725 $750 $1.03 23d 1 0.61mi
2000 21st Ave S Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 639 $868 $1.36 15d 7 0.67mi
1900 21st Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0 767 $835 $1.09 15d 4 0.67mi
3510 28th St S Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 786 $1,113 $1.42 15d 10 0.98mi
3601 11th St S Fargo, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $800 $1.07 15d 4 1.01mi
2510 36th Ave S Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 945 $1,092 $1.16 15d 18 1.02mi
1843 13 1/2 St S Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 650 $915 $1.41 15d 4 1.02mi
3301 32nd St S Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 808 $1,261 $1.56 15d 9 1.06mi
3302 31st Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $1,036 $1.12 15d 13 1.09mi
3343 31st Ave S Fargo, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0 839 $765 $0.91 23d 1 1.12mi
1670 E Gateway Cir S Fargo, ND 1.0 0.5 702 $765 $1.09 15d 3 1.32mi
1621 S University Dr Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,895 $2.18 15d 13 1.36mi
1502 E Gateway Cir S Unit 105 Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 700 $675 $0.96 23d 1 1.50mi
1502 E Gateway Cir S Unit 301 Fargo, ND 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $204,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $204,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $204,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $204,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $204,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $204,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $204,900 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  17. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $204,900 Active
  19. 2024-01-01
    historical $1,250
  20. 2023-12-14
    listed $1,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,361 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,361 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,632
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,361
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,571
− Management
−$1,571
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$3,883
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$932
After-tax cash flow
$501/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fargo 1
NCES district ID
3806780
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,524
Composite
36.23/100
National rank
#4721
State rank
#28 of 53 in ND

Livability — Fargo

Score
85/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#605

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fargo, ND
County
Cass County · 177,143 people
City population
130,876
Metro
Fargo, ND-MN
Population (ZIP)
48,796
Household income
$58,801
Rent vs Own
57.9% rent · 42.1% own
Severe rent burden
1782.0

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,771 people
By 2030
251,835 · +12.5%
By 2040
311,816 · +39.3%
By 2050
378,694 · +69.2%
By 2075
571,386 · +155.3%
By 2100
769,727 · +244.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 23% Swiss 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, India, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.4) · D 44.9% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.4 2020: R+2.7 2016: R+10.7 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.86%
Current HPI
163.2804
Rent YoY
▲ 4.95%
Metro
Fargo, ND-MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16292.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-16 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $204,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-01 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,361 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…