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2230 Mack Ln
D- Composite 39.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,900

2230 Mack Ln · Dallas, TX 75227
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1955 9,278 sqft lot $147/sqft · 15% below area Est $253k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

Key facts

  • 9,278 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (19.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 179 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,619 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.77%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,298
List price
$214,900
Delta
-15.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2215 Mack Ln 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+1%) 2mo $285,000 $193 94
7328 Ravehill Ln 0.07mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,432 (-2%) 2mo $159,000 $111 84
2036 Gaylord Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,446 (-1%) 3mo $265,000 $183 73
7341 Ravehill Ln 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-13%) 5mo $225,000 $176 71
2211 San Pablo Dr 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,435 (-2%) 5mo $269,000 $187 70
7334 Daingerfield Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+10%) 1mo $249,900 $154 69
7405 Daingerfield Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,632 (+12%) 3mo $270,000 $165 66
1937 Earnhardt Way 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+6%) 2mo $265,000 $172 63
1905 Houghton Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,322 (-10%) 0mo $249,000 $188 58
1925 Bodine Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+5%) 1mo $242,500 $157 57
7810 Dugan St 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,308 (-11%) 6mo $199,990 $153 44
2417 Fonville Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,629 (+11%) 2mo $260,000 $160 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.2%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-55,260
Equity at exit
$32,042
10-year hold
IRR
-47.9%
Equity multiple
-0.46×
Total profit
$-87,790
Equity at exit
$18,581

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75227

Home prices YoY
-30.9%
Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,822 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$462 /mo · $5,548/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,125
Max offer price $172,619
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2104 Hillburn Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.5 1324 $1,850 $1.40 15d 1 0.33mi
1959 Hillburn Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 912 $1,700 $1.86 6d 1 0.43mi
7632 Livvie Meador Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1719 $2,300 $1.34 44d 1 0.44mi
3205 Elva Ave Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 44d 1 0.90mi
2423 Lolita Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,650 $1.59 3d 1 0.93mi
3331 Urban Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,950 $1.61 44d 1 0.99mi
8127 Stonehurst St #5 Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 44d 1 1.09mi
1355 N Jim Miller Rd Unit 23 Dallas, TX 2.0 1.5 953 $1,100 $1.15 3d 1 1.18mi
1355 N Jim Miller Rd Unit 121 Dallas, TX 3.0 1.5 1169 $1,250 $1.07 3d 1 1.18mi
1315 Whitley Dr Unit 1 Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 44d 1 1.18mi
8323 Lapanto Ln Unit B Dallas, TX 3.0 1.5 968 $1,375 $1.42 44d 1 1.21mi
6540 Hollis Ave Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1612 $1,195 $0.74 3d 1 1.23mi
6442 Latta St Dallas, TX 3.0 3.0 1354 $1,795 $1.33 24d 1 1.27mi
6442 Latta St Dallas, TX 3.0 3.0 1354 $1,795 $1.33 15d 1 1.27mi
8534 Bearden Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,600 $1.20 24d 1 1.30mi
8609 Jennie Lee Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1863 $2,300 $1.23 5d 1 1.35mi
1246 Lonsdale Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1501 $2,050 $1.37 21d 1 1.35mi
1244 Lonsdale Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1501 $2,120 $1.41 21d 1 1.36mi
1201 Rose Garden Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,750 $1.19 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  2. 2026-05-15
    price $214,900 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  3. 2026-05-14
    price $225,100 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  4. 2026-04-30
    price $228,600 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  5. 2026-04-17
    price $232,000 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  6. 2026-02-20
    price $242,500 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  7. 2026-01-21
    price $247,400 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  8. 2026-01-06
    price $251,200 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  9. 2025-12-22
    listed $255,000 Active 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.

  10. 2022-09-01
    price $1,615
  11. 2012-05-01
    soldstatus
  12. 2012-05-01
    soldstatus
  13. 2012-03-08
    historical
  14. 2012-03-05
    listed $59,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,548 · $462/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,548 · $462/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,865
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$5,548
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,749
− Management
−$1,749
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$6,545
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,571
After-tax cash flow
$-1,301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,319
Household income
$64,008
Rent vs Own
43.7% rent · 56.3% own
Severe rent burden
1679.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 35% Black 28% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 56%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 55%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.56%
Current HPI
332.3303
Rent YoY
▼ -0.36%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+258.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $214,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $225,100 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $228,600 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $232,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $242,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $247,400 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $251,200 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $255,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-09-01 Price Changed $1,615 RENT.
  • 2012-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-03-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2012-03-05 Listed $59,999 NTREIS

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,548 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…