2230 Mack Ln · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
Key facts
- 9,278 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (19.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 179 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.77%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,298
- List price
- $214,900
- Delta
- -15.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2215 Mack Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $193 | 94 |
| 7328 Ravehill Ln | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,432 (-2%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $111 | 84 |
| 2036 Gaylord Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-1%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $183 | 73 |
| 7341 Ravehill Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-13%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $176 | 71 |
| 2211 San Pablo Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,435 (-2%) | 5mo | $269,000 | $187 | 70 |
| 7334 Daingerfield Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+10%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $154 | 69 |
| 7405 Daingerfield Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+12%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $165 | 66 |
| 1937 Earnhardt Way | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+6%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $172 | 63 |
| 1905 Houghton Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-10%) | 0mo | $249,000 | $188 | 58 |
| 1925 Bodine Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+5%) | 1mo | $242,500 | $157 | 57 |
| 7810 Dugan St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,308 (-11%) | 6mo | $199,990 | $153 | 44 |
| 2417 Fonville Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,629 (+11%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $160 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-55,260
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -47.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.46×
- Total profit
- $-87,790
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75227
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 179
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,822 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$462 /mo · $5,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $-239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2104 Hillburn Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1324 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1959 Hillburn Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 6d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 7632 Livvie Meador Ln Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3205 Elva Ave Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2423 Lolita Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3331 Urban Ave Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,950 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8127 Stonehurst St #5 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1355 N Jim Miller Rd Unit 23 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 953 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1355 N Jim Miller Rd Unit 121 Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1169 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1315 Whitley Dr Unit 1 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8323 Lapanto Ln Unit B Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $1,375 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6540 Hollis Ave Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,195 | $0.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6442 Latta St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1354 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6442 Latta St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1354 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8534 Bearden Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,600 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8609 Jennie Lee Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1246 Lonsdale Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1501 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1244 Lonsdale Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1501 | $2,120 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1201 Rose Garden Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-05-15price $214,900 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-05-14price $225,100 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-04-30price $228,600 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-04-17price $232,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-02-20price $242,500 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-01-21price $247,400 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2026-01-06price $251,200 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2025-12-22$255,000 Active 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Step inside this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Dallas. This home features plenty of updates including flooring, paint, fixtures, window treatments, blinds, counters, cabinets and more! Schedule your showing today to see all that this home has to offer.
-
2022-09-01price $1,615
-
2012-05-01soldstatus
-
2012-05-01soldstatus
-
2012-03-08historical
-
2012-03-05$59,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,548 · $462/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,548 · $462/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$5,548
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,749
- − Management
- −$1,749
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$6,545
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,319
- Household income
- $64,008
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1679.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 35% Black 28% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 56%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 55%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.56%
- Current HPI
- 332.3303
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.36%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+258.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $214,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $225,100 NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $228,600 NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $232,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $242,500 NTREIS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $247,400 NTREIS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $251,200 NTREIS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $255,000 NTREIS
- 2022-09-01 Price Changed $1,615 RENT.
- 2012-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-03-08 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2012-03-05 Listed $59,999 NTREIS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,548 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…