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1906 Nolan
B+ Composite 79.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$50,000

1906 Nolan · San Antonio, TX 78202
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1940 3,179 sqft lot $71/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.

Key facts

  • Complete renovation
  • Investment property
  • 3,179 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYEAST SIDE OF SAN ANTONIOMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWNCOMPLETE RENOVATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
15.70%
Cash-on-cash
33.60%
DSCR
2.49
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,773
List price
$50,000
Delta
-58.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Eross 0.04mi 2/1.0 624 (-12%) 8mo $69,900 $112 72
151 Canton 0.50mi 2/1.0 744 (+5%) 2mo $130,000 $175 66
1038 Paso Hondo 0.49mi 2/1.0 720 (+2%) 13mo $80,000 $111 63
1823 Gorman 0.70mi 2/1.0 686 (-3%) 2mo $52,500 $77 60
401 Canton 0.26mi 2/1.0 808 (+14%) 8mo $65,000 $80 57
1942 Lamar St 0.41mi 2/1.0 768 (+8%) 12mo $149,950 $195 57
1530 E Crockett St 0.45mi 2/1.0 616 (-13%) 8mo $145,000 $235 50
2338 Burnet St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 700 (-1%) 21mo $119,000 $170 47
510 Muncey 0.74mi 2/1.0 700 (-1%) 21mo $190,000 $271 46
2222 Osburn 0.72mi 1/1.0 (-1) 748 (+6%) 12mo $99,900 $134 42
427 Muegge 0.71mi 2/1.0 624 (-12%) 7mo $70,000 $112 42
1830 Gorman 0.72mi 3/1.5 (+1) 786 (+11%) 6mo $110,000 $140 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.7%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$57,838
Equity at exit
$45,044
10-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
12.76×
Total profit
$164,625
Equity at exit
$97,139

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78202

Home prices YoY
27.0%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,884/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $557
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
146 Eross San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 696 $900 $1.29 16d 1 0.07mi
1810 Burnet St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 620 $1,045 $1.69 14d 1 0.12mi
710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 708 $1,195 $1.69 43d 1 0.26mi
1619 Nolan St Unit B San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 600 $1,050 $1.75 24d 1 0.26mi
1223 N Walters St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 732 $877 $1.20 3d 1 0.30mi
1017 N Mittman St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 726 $910 $1.25 43d 1 0.31mi
742 Gulf St Unit 746 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $975 $1.31 12d 1 0.34mi
746 Gulf San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $975 $1.31 14d 1 0.35mi
1411 Lamar St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,125 $1.61 43d 1 0.37mi
1323 Lamar St #3 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 500 $725 $1.45 43d 1 0.41mi
928 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 675 $990 $1.47 43d 1 0.45mi
308 Belmont San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 24d 1 0.47mi
934 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 625 $995 $1.59 43d 1 0.47mi
936 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 675 $895 $1.33 14d 1 0.48mi
924 Saint James San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 400 $725 $1.81 43d 1 0.48mi
947 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 564 $595 $1.05 43d 1 0.51mi
622 Potomac St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 43d 1 0.52mi
2023 Beaver Ln San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $960 $1.60 43d 1 0.52mi
819 Larry San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 688 $1,149 $1.67 43d 1 0.62mi
414 Rotary San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 624 $1,095 $1.75 43d 1 0.73mi
418 Rotary San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 624 $1,295 $2.08 4d 1 0.73mi
203 Gorman San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 578 $745 $1.29 43d 1 0.76mi
1010 Locke St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 715 $731 $1.02 3d 1 0.89mi
628 Sherman Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 675 $995 $1.47 43d 1 0.91mi
318 Ferguson Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 420 $700 $1.67 22d 1 1.00mi
1218 Wyoming St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 744 $1,299 $1.75 43d 1 1.07mi
822 E Carson St Unit 5 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 577 $800 $1.39 43d 1 1.08mi
111 S Olive St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 481 $749 $1.56 43d 1 1.09mi
111 S Olive St Unit A San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 481 $730 $1.52 43d 1 1.09mi
113 S Olive St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 444 $695 $1.57 24d 1 1.09mi
923 E Carson St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 859 $2,459 $2.86 1d 38 1.09mi
925 E Carson St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 716 $1,421 $1.98 3d 1 1.10mi
813 E Carson St Unit 813-02 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 484 $800 $1.65 43d 1 1.12mi
311 Spriggsdale Ave Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 745 $892 $1.20 3d 1 1.17mi
325 S Hackberry St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 621 $1,200 $1.93 12d 1 1.23mi
512 Bee St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 672 $845 $1.26 24d 1 1.27mi
514 Bee St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 672 $895 $1.33 43d 1 1.28mi
1722 N Pine St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 636 $800 $1.26 24d 1 1.30mi
404 E Carson St #2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 697 $1,625 $2.33 43d 1 1.30mi
515 Clark Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 528 $1,250 $2.37 24d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $50,000 Active 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Price Change 129 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Price Change 128 DOM
  14. 2026-04-20
    price $55,000 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.

  15. 2026-04-05
    price $60,000 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.

  16. 2026-02-05
    soldstatus
  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $65,000 New 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.

  18. 2026-01-18
    historical
  19. 2025-11-08
    price $65,000
  20. 2025-09-26
    listed $79,900 New
  21. 2025-09-09
    historical
  22. 2025-05-01
    price $130,000
  23. 2025-04-18
    listed $179,000 New
  24. 2024-02-22
    soldstatus
  25. 2021-05-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,884 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,884 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,639
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,884
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$4,227
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$3,689/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,224
Household income
$47,478
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 28% White 17% Black 16% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 41%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 53.82%
Current HPI
253.3196
Rent YoY
▲ 8.20%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-69.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $55,000 LERA
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $60,000 LERA
  • 2026-02-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $65,000 LERA
  • 2026-01-18 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $65,000 LERA
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $79,900 LERA
  • 2025-09-09 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $130,000 LERA
  • 2025-04-18 Listed $179,000 LERA
  • 2024-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-05-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,884 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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