1906 Nolan · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.
Key facts
- Complete renovation
- Investment property
- 3,179 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.60%
- DSCR
- 2.49
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,773
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -58.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Eross | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-12%) | 8mo | $69,900 | $112 | 72 |
| 151 Canton | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+5%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $175 | 66 |
| 1038 Paso Hondo | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+2%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $111 | 63 |
| 1823 Gorman | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 686 (-3%) | 2mo | $52,500 | $77 | 60 |
| 401 Canton | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 808 (+14%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $80 | 57 |
| 1942 Lamar St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+8%) | 12mo | $149,950 | $195 | 57 |
| 1530 E Crockett St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-13%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $235 | 50 |
| 2338 Burnet St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 700 (-1%) | 21mo | $119,000 | $170 | 47 |
| 510 Muncey | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-1%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $271 | 46 |
| 2222 Osburn | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 748 (+6%) | 12mo | $99,900 | $134 | 42 |
| 427 Muegge | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-12%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $112 | 42 |
| 1830 Gorman | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 786 (+11%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $140 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $57,838
- Equity at exit
- $45,044
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 12.76×
- Total profit
- $164,625
- Equity at exit
- $97,139
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78202
- Home prices YoY
- 27.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,884/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $392
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146 Eross San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $900 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1810 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,045 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,195 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1619 Nolan St Unit B San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1223 N Walters St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $877 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1017 N Mittman St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $910 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 742 Gulf St Unit 746 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $975 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 746 Gulf San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $975 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1411 Lamar St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,125 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1323 Lamar St #3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $725 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 928 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $990 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 308 Belmont San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 934 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $995 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 936 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $895 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 924 Saint James San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $725 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 947 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $595 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 622 Potomac St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2023 Beaver Ln San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $960 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 819 Larry San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,149 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 414 Rotary San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,095 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 418 Rotary San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,295 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 203 Gorman San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 578 | $745 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1010 Locke St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $731 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 628 Sherman Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $995 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 318 Ferguson Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 420 | $700 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1218 Wyoming St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,299 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 822 E Carson St Unit 5 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $800 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 111 S Olive St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 481 | $749 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 111 S Olive St Unit A San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 481 | $730 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 113 S Olive St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 444 | $695 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 923 E Carson St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $2,459 | $2.86 | 1d | 38 | 1.09mi |
| 925 E Carson St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,421 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 813 E Carson St Unit 813-02 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 484 | $800 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 311 Spriggsdale Ave Unit 610 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $892 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 325 S Hackberry St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,200 | $1.93 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 512 Bee St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $845 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 514 Bee St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $895 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1722 N Pine St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $800 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 404 E Carson St #2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $1,625 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 515 Clark Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 528 | $1,250 | $2.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $50,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Price Change 129 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Price Change 128 DOM
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2026-04-20price $55,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.
-
2026-04-05price $60,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.
-
2026-02-05soldstatus
-
2026-01-23$65,000 New 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Investment Property located on East side of San Antonio, minutes from downtown. Property originally 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Property needs complete renovation.
-
2026-01-18historical
-
2025-11-08price $65,000
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2025-09-26$79,900 New
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2025-09-09historical
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2025-05-01price $130,000
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2025-04-18$179,000 New
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2024-02-22soldstatus
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2021-05-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,639
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,884
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,011
- − Management
- −$1,011
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,227
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,224
- Household income
- $47,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 28% White 17% Black 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 41%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.82%
- Current HPI
- 253.3196
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.20%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-69.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $55,000 LERA
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $60,000 LERA
- 2026-02-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-01-23 Listed $65,000 LERA
- 2026-01-18 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $65,000 LERA
- 2025-09-26 Listed $79,900 LERA
- 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $130,000 LERA
- 2025-04-18 Listed $179,000 LERA
- 2024-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-05-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,884 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…