32 Brownsell Ave · West Haverstraw, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Close to shopping
- Close to highways
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $389k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $374k (3.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $327k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 1.8% in West Haverstraw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#702 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, health & safety A, employment A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland) (suburban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #427 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Haverstraw Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 742 students, 22% FRL); Fieldstone Middle School (math 18% / reading 46%, grade F, #511 of 729 statewide, top 71%, 1,247 students, 0% FRL); North Rockland High School (math 86% / reading 67%, grade A-, #612 of 1,100 statewide, top 56%, 2,687 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 7% FRL vs 40% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($354k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $389k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.13%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $423,500
- List price
- $389,000
- Delta
- -8.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Brownsell Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (+1%) | 17mo | $370,000 | $264 | 84 |
| 130 Roosevelt Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+1%) | 16mo | $450,000 | $321 | 79 |
| 21 Zugibe Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (-3%) | 12mo | $435,000 | $322 | 70 |
| 48 Zugibe Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (-3%) | 10mo | $460,000 | $341 | 69 |
| 20 Ossman Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (-3%) | 16mo | $435,000 | $322 | 60 |
| 20 Overlook Rd | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,480 (+6%) | 12mo | $415,000 | $280 | 59 |
| 59 Roosevelt Dr | 0.03mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+15%) | 13mo | $375,000 | $234 | 58 |
| 16 Mclaughlin Ave | 0.07mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+15%) | 12mo | $400,000 | $250 | 57 |
| 81 Village Ml | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (-2%) | 12mo | $395,000 | $290 | 51 |
| 14 Fahey Dr | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,528 (+10%) | 17mo | $415,000 | $272 | 43 |
| 94 Halgren Cres | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+15%) | 14mo | $435,000 | $272 | 42 |
| 100 Dowd St Unit C12 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,198 (-14%) | 9mo | $355,000 | $296 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-69,502
- Equity at exit
- $58,001
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-68,711
- Equity at exit
- $33,634
Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10993
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,273 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,040
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$486 /mo · $5,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$687
- Net cashflow
- $-102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $32 | +0% $-102 | +5% $-237 | +10% $-371 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-361 | -5% $-232 | +0% $-102 | +5% $27 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $94 | -0.5pp $-3 | base $-102 | +0.5pp $-203 | +1.0pp $-306 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,250
- Closing costs
- $11,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Roosevelt Dr West Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $3,600 | $2.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 12 Roosevelt Dr West Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $3,600 | $2.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 11 Brush Ct Garnerville, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 9d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1 Kensington Cir Haverstraw, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,975 | $2.92 | 0d | 3 | 0.28mi |
| 156 Coolidge St Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $3,200 | $2.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 58 Samsondale Ave Unit A West Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $3,300 | $2.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 56 Coolidge St Unit 2 Haverstraw, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $3,500 | $2.50 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 56 Coolidge St Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $3,500 | $2.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 27-29-31 Lakeview Ct Unit 29 Haverstraw, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,550 | $2.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 31 N Wayne Ave West Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $3,400 | $3.15 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 42 Peck St West Haverstraw, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,950 | $2.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 22 Westside Ave Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $3,200 | $2.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 100 Westside Ave Unit 2 Haverstraw, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $2,485 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 19 Conger Ave Unit 2 Haverstraw, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,750 | $3.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6 Quelch Ave Stony Point, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $2,100 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $389,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $389,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-01-29price $389,000
-
2026-01-08$375,000 Active
-
2016-09-30soldstatus $155,000
-
2016-09-20price $155,000 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
-
2016-09-20soldstatus $155,000 Sold 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
-
2016-09-20soldstatus $155,000
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
-
2016-07-28historical Pending 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
-
2016-07-28price $159,000 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
-
2016-07-19$159,000 Active 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
-
2016-07-19$159,000
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Move right into this Sun-filled spotless home with updated appliances. Central Air & Heating System well maintained, hot water heater (09). Eat-in-kitchen, Formal Dining Rm, Large Living Rm with Sliding Glass Door going out to beautiful fenced in backyard with patio. 3 Bedrooms upstairs all have ceiling fans (total of 7 ceiling fans in all). Master Bed Rm has lots of closets including a Walk-In. Hardwood floors throughout. 1 Bath, 1 Lavatory. Close to shops, transportation, marinas, Bear Mt. , beautiful Bowline Park on the Hudson River, Golf and so much more.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,790
- − Property taxes
- −$5,835
- − Insurance
- −$1,945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,142
- − Management
- −$3,142
- − Depreciation
- −$11,316
- Taxable loss
- −$7,891
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,894
- After-tax cash flow
- $666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland)
- NCES district ID
- 3614010
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,218
- Composite
- 40.68/100
- National rank
- #3672
- State rank
- #427 of 590 in NY
Livability — West Haverstraw
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #702
- US rank
- #13232
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Haverstraw, NY
- City population
- 13,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,230
Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 339,642 people
- By 2030
- 345,987 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 357,178 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 362,456 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 367,281 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 328,211 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 58% White 24% Two or more races 17% Black 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 45% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockland
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.34%
- Current HPI
- 256.5515
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+144.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $389,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 HGMLS
- 2016-09-20 Price Changed $155,000 HGMLS
- 2016-09-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-28 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2016-07-28 Price Changed $159,000 HGMLS
- 2016-07-19 Listed $159,000 HGMLS
- 2016-07-19 Listed $159,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $20,142 · +43.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…