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D+ Composite 47.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

6161 Cameron Rd · Richfield, MI 48656
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 250 Days on market
Built 1968

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This rustic 2-bedroom, 1-bath cabin is your perfect up north getaway. Located on a dead-end road and backing to state land, it offers direct access to endless trails and hunting grounds. ORV trails are a short ride away. A detached garage has been converted into a bunkhouse for additional lodging. The cabin sits on a crawl space. Ideal for a deer camp or a weekend of trail riding. (Pole barn with Red roof is NOT included in sale and is on a neighboring lot)

Key facts

  • Built 1968
  • Listed 250 days

Tags

DIRECT ACCESS TO TRAILSBACKING TO STATE LANDCONVERTED GARAGE BUNKHOUSE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Hunting listed as current use
  • Construction: 760 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access; Vegetation in natural state; Lot dimensions approximately 102 x 158 x 102 x 160

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Oven; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: Microwave; Refrigerator; Oven; Range; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Houghton Lake Community Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #410 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $80k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.67%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-7,385
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$785
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48656

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$823 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 250 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 249 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 248 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 247 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 246 DOM
  6. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  7. 2026-02-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2026-02-12
    status Active
  9. 2026-02-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2025-10-09
    price $79,900
  11. 2025-09-20
    listed $85,000 Active
  12. 2009-12-07
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,876
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,330
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$790
− Management
−$790
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable loss
−$234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$56
After-tax cash flow
$1,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houghton Lake Community Schools
NCES district ID
2618600
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,744
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8158
State rank
#410 of 540 in MI

Livability — Richfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,872

Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,249 people
By 2030
21,206 · -4.7%
By 2040
19,070 · -14.3%
By 2050
17,564 · -21.1%
By 2075
15,420 · -30.7%
By 2100
13,168 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 7% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.98%
Current HPI
319.603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+219.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted WWMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Contingent WWMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted WWMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Contingent WWMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $79,900 WWMLS
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $85,000 WWMLS
  • 2009-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,330 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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