1168 Helen St · Casselberry, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OBO Mobile home for sale. New roof, foundation, plumbing, electrical, insulation, walls, ceiling, floors, lighting, etc. Porch renovated. $675 lot fee. Will happily show you pictures/videos.
Key facts
- Plumbing
- Insulation
- Foundation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.7% vs local median 4.1% in Casselberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#314 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 112.06%
- DSCR
- 5.99
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.46×
- Total profit
- $76,426
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.79×
- Total profit
- $178,998
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32708
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,092 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $1,307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,342 | -5% $1,325 | +0% $1,307 | +5% $1,290 | +10% $1,273 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,142 | -5% $1,225 | +0% $1,307 | +5% $1,390 | +10% $1,473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,333 | -0.5pp $1,320 | base $1,307 | +0.5pp $1,294 | +1.0pp $1,281 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sheoah Blvd #8 Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,650 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 44 S Cortez Ave Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,395 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1 Laurel Oaks Dr Winter Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1030 | $1,832 | $1.78 | 2d | 31 | 0.41mi |
| 212 S Cortez Ave Winter Springs, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1450 Sunshadow Dr Casselberry, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $1,744 | $2.02 | 3d | 8 | 0.45mi |
| 105 Keith Ct Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1457 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 142 Bayberry Ct Winter Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $2,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 224 Bitterwood St Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,399 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10 N Fairfax Ave Unit 10 Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 907 | $1,595 | $1.76 | 11d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 137 Garden Dr Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 133 Garden Dr Unit 1 Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 133 Garden Dr Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 421 S Hawthorn Cir Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,070 | $1.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 109 N Alderwood St Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,155 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 407 Sheoah Blvd #9 Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 509 East St Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,940 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 300 Sheoah Blvd Winter Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1183 | $2,083 | $1.76 | 2d | 9 | 0.77mi |
| 213 S Moss Rd Unit 213 Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $1,495 | $1.61 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 213 S Moss Rd Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $1,495 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 829 E Wildmere Ave Unit 845-103 Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 829 E Wildmere Ave Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 429 Sheoah Blvd #9 Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 961 Bryan Ct Longwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,800 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 114 Cory Ln Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,395 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 118 Sundance Ct Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 618 Nighthawk Cir Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $2,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 226 Panorama Dr Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 912 Bryan Ct Longwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 70 Moree Loop #63 Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 80 Moree Loop #9 Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $1,750 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 533 Moree Loop Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 200 Panorama Dr Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 644 Cypress Ln Winter Springs, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1462 | $2,420 | $1.66 | 20d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 661 Murphy Rd Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1131 Castle Wood Ter Casselberry, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,571 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 317 San Gabriel St Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 404 Lancers Dr Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 404 Lancers Dr Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 411 Edwin St Winter Springs, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,749 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 305 Cello Cir Winter Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $2,225 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,009
- − Management
- −$2,009
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $15,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,800
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home is in good condition with recent renovations, making it a solid investment with potential for further value enhancement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Rental Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and reduces utility costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and reduces utility costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Casselberry
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #314
- US rank
- #5320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casselberry, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 45,584
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,965
- Household income
- $93,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1023.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.76%
- Current HPI
- 308.2797
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $50,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…