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445 Navahoe St
B Composite 73.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

445 Navahoe St · Detroit, MI 48215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,177 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1999 5,227 sqft lot Est $133k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom ranch style home with full basement, newer furnace and water tank, central air and more. Located near Grayhaven, and Clairpointe. Just a short walk to the Detroit River and minutes from Downtown Detroit.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Ranch style home
  • Full basement

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMEFULL BASEMENTNEWER FURNACECENTRAL AIRSHORT WALK TO DETROIT RIVERMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN DETROIT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Entry at ground level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 52.5 x 100 (0.12 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Ground-level entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-378/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (5.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Charles Wright Academy of Arts And Science (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 618 students, 90% FRL); East English Village Preparatory Academy At Finney (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 697 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $100k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,433 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.38%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,001
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
444 Conner St 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-2%) 1mo $130,000 $113 94
462 Algonquin St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-0%) 20mo $72,500 $62 80
396 Lenox St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+6%) 1mo $249,000 $200 68
432 Eastlawn St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,230 (+4%) 2mo $145,000 $118 66
809 Algonquin St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+10%) 9mo $67,500 $52 56
265 Newport St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,190 (+1%) 10mo $95,000 $80 55
258 Piper Blvd 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,285 (+9%) 4mo $123,000 $96 55
785 Algonquin St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,101 (-6%) 22mo $25,000 $23 52
191 Eastlawn St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,278 (+9%) 5mo $249,000 $195 47
13137 Averhill Ct 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-14%) 20mo $145,000 $143 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-17,942
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-17,112
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48215

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $848/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$-32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,389
Max offer price $94,433
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-3 +0% $-32 +5% $-60 +10% $-88
Rent -10% $-138 -5% $-85 +0% $-32 +5% $22 +10% $75
Rate -1.0pp $19 -0.5pp $-6 base $-32 +0.5pp $-57 +1.0pp $-84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13010 Avondale St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,725 $1.72 0d 1 0.33mi
13329 Averhill Ct Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1019 $1,100 $1.08 45d 1 0.50mi
1050 Lakewood St Unit 1S Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 45d 1 0.94mi
1050 Lakewood St Apt 1N Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 0d 1 0.94mi
875 Philip St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1353 $1,400 $1.03 45d 1 1.00mi
734 Ashland St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,300 $1.17 24d 1 1.07mi
734 Ashland St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,300 $1.17 26d 1 1.07mi
450 Marquette Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 972 $1,200 $1.23 22d 1 1.15mi
15111 E Vernor Hwy Unit 6 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 26d 1 1.30mi
861 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 14d 1 1.32mi
1042 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 7d 1 1.33mi
981 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 45d 1 1.38mi
1052 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 19d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    listed $100,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bedroom ranch style home with full basement, newer furnace and water tank, central air and more. Located near Grayhaven, and Clairpointe. Just a short walk to the Detroit River and minutes from Downtown Detroit.

  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $100,000 Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    3 bedroom ranch style home with full basement, newer furnace and water tank, central air and more. Located near Grayhaven, and Clairpointe. Just a short walk to the Detroit River and minutes from Downtown Detroit.

  17. 2000-11-14
    soldstatus $59,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$848 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,194 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$346/yr (+$29/mo · 40.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,187
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$848
− Insurance
−$6,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$1,787
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$429
After-tax cash flow
$51/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
10,238

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.84%
Current HPI
191.0405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $848 · -54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…