120 N Connell St · Wilmington, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! Unique 3 bedroom, 1 bath property in the City. Convenient location minutes from I-95. Good rental history. Unit is currently occupied. Rent roll available upon request. Property is being sold as-is condition, no repairs. Tenant requires 48 hour notice for all showings. No photos are in the internet for the resident's privacy.
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 116 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 5.6% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#52 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, commute D.
- Red Clay Consolidated School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #12 of 26 in DE (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $130k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.99%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,881
- List price
- $129,999
- Delta
- -13.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Lancaster Ave | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $208 | 78 |
| 302 S Franklin St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+4%) | 1mo | $117,000 | $102 | 78 |
| 227 S Union St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,075 (-2%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $167 | 65 |
| 1213 W 3rd St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $172 | 64 |
| 519 S Jackson St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 1mo | $186,000 | $155 | 61 |
| 444 Geddes St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,125 (+2%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $293 | 59 |
| 1016 Clayton Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+4%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $190 | 56 |
| 236 N Monroe St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $144 | 50 |
| 1715 Sycamore St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 1mo | $241,000 | $191 | 49 |
| 400 Geddes St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,225 (+11%) | 0mo | $337,500 | $276 | 47 |
| 461 S Sycamore St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-9%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $250 | 45 |
| 2042 Clark St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 0mo | $335,000 | $279 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $36,035
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $126,327
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19805
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,989 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Lancaster Ave Wilmington, DE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 11d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 232 N Franklin St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 307 N Rodney St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1425 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1029 Lancaster Ave Wilmington, DE | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1375 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1227 Linden St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 115 N Clayton St Unit 115 Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 11d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 521 N Franklin St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 414 S Franklin St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,895 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 820 W 7th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 618 N Scott St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1802 Maple St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1815 Maple St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1607 Howland St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,900 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 25 Stroud St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 617 W 6th St Unit 617 B Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 507 W 4th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7 6th Ave Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1016 Clayton Rd Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1010 Trenton Pl Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1475 | $2,350 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1508 Maryland Ave Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,975 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1601 E Latimer Pl Wilmington, DE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $2,195 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1122 Coyne Pl Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,950 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 801 N Orange St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1118 | $3,991 | $3.57 | 2d | 117 | 0.83mi |
| 1936 Lakeview Rd Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1601 Bonwood Rd Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 107 W 13th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1325 | $1,895 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1217 N King St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,145 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 605 E 10th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 835 N Spruce St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,700 | $2.19 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 928 Kirkwood St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1004 N Spruce St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1026 Bennett St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,685 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 205 Western Ave Wilmington, DE | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $2,300 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,999 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,999 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,999 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,999 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,999 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-04-26price $129,999 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique 3 bedroom, 1 bath property in the City. Convenient location minutes from I-95. Good rental history. Unit is currently occupied. Rent roll available upon request. Property is being sold as-is condition, no repairs. Tenant requires 48 hour notice for all showings. No photos are in the internet for the resident's privacy.
-
2026-02-21$135,000 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique 3 bedroom, 1 bath property in the City. Convenient location minutes from I-95. Good rental history. Unit is currently occupied. Rent roll available upon request. Property is being sold as-is condition, no repairs. Tenant requires 48 hour notice for all showings. No photos are in the internet for the resident's privacy.
-
2025-12-02price $135,000
-
2025-12-02status Active
-
2025-12-02historical
-
2025-08-13historical
-
2025-08-13$130,000 Active
-
2025-08-12historical
-
2021-04-19soldstatus $76,500
-
2021-04-13soldstatus $76,500 Closed
-
2021-02-07historical
-
2021-02-07$76,500
-
2009-10-06historical
-
2009-07-08$79,900
-
2009-06-08historical
-
2008-12-10$95,900
-
2008-06-27historical
-
2008-01-09$94,000
-
2005-08-04soldstatus $74,000
-
2005-04-18soldstatus $20,000
-
2005-04-05$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $658 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,909
- − Management
- −$1,909
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $7,771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,865
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Red Clay Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001300
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,298
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #12 of 26 in DE
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #14251
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 173,480
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,402
- Household income
- $60,221
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -291.16%
- Current HPI
- 259.1455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+550.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $129,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-12 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
- 2021-04-13 Sold (MLS) $76,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-02-07 Listed $76,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-02-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-10-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-07-08 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-12-10 Listed $95,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-01-09 Listed $94,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-18 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-05 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $562 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…