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405 Lee St
D+ Composite 46.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

405 Lee St · Marion, OH 43302
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1910 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Solid two story home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths with a very nice lot! This home is ready for you to move in and do updates as you live here. So much potential!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.25 acre

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1910; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Storm windows; Decorative fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,242 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$69,312
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
434 Scranton Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,176 (-3%) 7mo $129,000 $110 80
523 Thompson St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,264 (+4%) 4mo $147,000 $116 77
535 Toledo Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,182 (-3%) 4mo $16,000 $14 71
583 Lee St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-2%) 10mo $155,000 $130 67
408 Scranton Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,376 (+13%) 2mo $75,000 $55 64
709 Silver St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,352 (+11%) 9mo $45,500 $34 57
696 Florence St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (-3%) 2mo $34,000 $29 54
690 Meadow St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,044 (-14%) 7mo $129,900 $124 53
134 Waterloo St 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,048 (-14%) 5mo $60,000 $57 50
228 Senate St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,364 (+12%) 10mo $30,000 $22 50
785 Nelson St 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,040 (-14%) 8mo $92,500 $89 41
279 Waterloo St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,356 (+12%) 10mo $70,000 $52 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-13,637
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,423
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43302

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$130

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,028
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
133 Garden St Unit 131 Marion, OH 2.0 1.0 752 $900 $1.20 43d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 163-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $135,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,338 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$768/yr (+$64/mo · 134.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,309
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,145
− Management
−$1,145
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$172
After-tax cash flow
$1,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion City
NCES district ID
3904433
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$32,327
Composite
21.58/100
National rank
#8306
State rank
#600 of 656 in OH

Livability — Marion

Score
65/100
State rank
#704
US rank
#12605

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, OH
County
Marion County · 53,702 people
City population
53,702
Metro
Marion, OH
Population (ZIP)
53,702
Household income
$55,057
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,078 people
By 2030
60,049 · -3.3%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.7%
By 2050
50,604 · -18.5%
By 2075
40,162 · -35.3%
By 2100
29,105 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.52%
Current HPI
223.5344
Rent YoY
Metro
Marion, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $135,000 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $571 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…