416 West 9th St · Benton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This unique cozy home in Benton City Limits was specifically designed and built in 1989 with one person in mind, but has lots of possibilities! The main home features an open concept with a combined living/dining/kitchen area, one bedroom, and one bathroom. The Heat/air unit was manufactured in 2008, and owner believes the roof was replaced apprx 12 years ago. There's a nice carport and covered back porch with lots of shade and a cool breeze perfect for enjoying the outdoors or entertaining. Owner used back porch as a place to do her canning, and has a stove/fridge out there. A small apartment is located off of the carport. It has washer/dryer hookups, shower, commode, and sink. There's a r
Key facts
- Open concept
- Washer dryer hookups
- Storage rooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built in 1 (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Patio; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Cooktop
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: In-law floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; Gas log fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Benton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.53%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,363
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 20.67%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 Olive St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 728 (+1%) | 16mo | $100,470 | $138 | 66 |
| 916 Walnut St | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 630 (-12%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $111 | 59 |
| 705 Elm St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 780 (+8%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $50 | 58 |
| 813 Elm St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+7%) | 10mo | $81,500 | $106 | 55 |
| 603 Pine | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 808 (+12%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $123 | 54 |
| 407 Harold King Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 792 (+10%) | 0mo | $99,900 | $126 | 53 |
| 633 Mayfield Hwy | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 760 (+6%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $151 | 50 |
| 1509 Walnut St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 750 (+4%) | 18mo | $144,000 | $192 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $84,080
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.94×
- Total profit
- $232,893
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42025
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,422 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $119,900 947-char remark
-
2026-04-26$129,900 Active 947-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,365
- − Management
- −$1,365
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,728
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$415
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 2103810
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,324
- Composite
- 28.62/100
- National rank
- #6710
- State rank
- #73 of 165 in KY
Livability — Benton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #8655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Benton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,238
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,647 people
- By 2030
- 30,276 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 29,232 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 27,940 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 25,289 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 21,188 · -30.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -56.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+24.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.11%
- Current HPI
- 288.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-7.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $119,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $129,900 WKRMLS
Property tax history
-10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $26 · -49.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…