20137 Helen St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$18,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Needs full rehab. Motivated seller
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
- Recommended offer: $17k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 63.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $128 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $555 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 63.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 204.39%
- DSCR
- 10.09
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,562
- List price
- $18,500
- Delta
- -69.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20136 Helen St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+10%) | 1mo | $32,000 | $32 | 82 |
| 7003 Rivard Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 955 (+5%) | 4mo | $102,000 | $107 | 72 |
| 19723 Carrie St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+12%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $83 | 67 |
| 7560 Prospect Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-1%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $92 | 63 |
| 20043 Packard St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+14%) | 6mo | $87,000 | $84 | 63 |
| 7643 Rivard Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (+7%) | 4mo | $124,900 | $127 | 62 |
| 7052 Victory Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 943 (+3%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $101 | 60 |
| 7535 Meadow Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 935 (+2%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $134 | 58 |
| 7244 Fisher Ave | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+11%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $153 | 52 |
| 8212 E Lantz St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (+8%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $61 | 51 |
| 19351 Dwyer St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 971 (+6%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 19161 Rogge St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (+10%) | 7mo | $46,500 | $46 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.25×
- Total profit
- $58,275
- Equity at exit
- $2,758
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.11×
- Total profit
- $145,594
- Equity at exit
- $1,600
Cash invested: $5,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$97
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $483/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $882
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,625
- Closing costs
- $555
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,198 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,549 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,274 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8065 Meadow Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,199 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8162 Orchard Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8640 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,423 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8632 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,300 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,384 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 19162 Conley St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,395 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 10d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $18,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $18,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $18,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $18,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $18,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $18,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $18,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $18,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $18,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $18,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $18,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $18,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-20$18,500 Active 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Needs full rehab. Motivated seller
-
2026-03-20$18,500 Active 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Needs full rehab. Motivated seller
-
2026-03-20$18,500 Active
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Needs full rehab. Motivated seller
-
2026-03-18historical $18,500
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Needs full rehab. Motivated seller
-
2026-03-18historical $18,500 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Needs full rehab. Motivated seller
-
2005-06-01historical
-
2004-08-04$60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $483 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $483 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,036
- − Property taxes
- −$483
- − Insurance
- −$92
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$538
- Taxable income
- $10,957
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,630
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,958/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-69.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $18,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $18,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $18,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-06-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-08-04 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $483 · -52.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…