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20137 Helen St
D Composite 44.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$18,500

20137 Helen St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 913 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1950 5,227 sqft lot $20/sqft · 69% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Needs full rehab. Motivated seller

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
  • Recommended offer: $17k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 63.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $128 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $555 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $17,390 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.03%
Cap rate
63.52%
Cash-on-cash
204.39%
DSCR
10.09
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$60,562
List price
$18,500
Delta
-69.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20136 Helen St 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+10%) 1mo $32,000 $32 82
7003 Rivard Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 955 (+5%) 4mo $102,000 $107 72
19723 Carrie St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+12%) 2mo $85,000 $83 67
7560 Prospect Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 900 (-1%) 5mo $83,000 $92 63
20043 Packard St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+14%) 6mo $87,000 $84 63
7643 Rivard Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 980 (+7%) 4mo $124,900 $127 62
7052 Victory Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 943 (+3%) 7mo $95,000 $101 60
7535 Meadow Ave 0.74mi 3/1.5 935 (+2%) 2mo $125,000 $134 58
7244 Fisher Ave 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,014 (+11%) 3mo $154,900 $153 52
8212 E Lantz St 0.73mi 3/1.0 989 (+8%) 2mo $60,000 $61 51
19351 Dwyer St 0.72mi 3/1.0 971 (+6%) 6mo $120,000 $124 51
19161 Rogge St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+10%) 7mo $46,500 $46 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.25×
Total profit
$58,275
Equity at exit
$2,758
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
29.11×
Total profit
$145,594
Equity at exit
$1,600

Cash invested: $5,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$97
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $483/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$882

Break-even live

Break-even rent $184
Max offer price $18,500
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,625
Closing costs
$555
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 5d 1 0.31mi
7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $1,165 $1.94 24d 1 0.51mi
7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 561 $1,050 $1.87 43d 1 0.59mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 945 $1,450 $1.53 11d 1 0.62mi
19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 0.64mi
8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,198 $1.43 43d 1 0.67mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,549 $1.72 24d 1 0.69mi
7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 911 $1,274 $1.40 43d 1 0.71mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 24d 1 0.71mi
8065 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 24d 1 0.81mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 16d 1 0.81mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,199 $1.16 21d 1 0.83mi
8162 Orchard Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 0.88mi
7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 703 $1,200 $1.71 24d 1 0.88mi
7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 0.92mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,375 $1.39 43d 1 1.01mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 1.04mi
21410 Panama St Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 1.05mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 1.07mi
8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 908 $1,400 $1.54 24d 1 1.10mi
8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 680 $1,150 $1.69 43d 1 1.10mi
8640 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 804 $1,423 $1.77 24d 1 1.14mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 12d 1 1.15mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 43d 1 1.15mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 43d 1 1.16mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 21d 1 1.16mi
8632 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 761 $1,300 $1.71 3d 1 1.17mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 1.19mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 16d 1 1.22mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.24mi
11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 936 $1,395 $1.49 3d 1 1.34mi
11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 672 $1,175 $1.75 43d 1 1.37mi
11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 975 $1,500 $1.54 24d 1 1.40mi
22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 920 $1,395 $1.52 10d 1 1.43mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 1.47mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $18,500 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $18,500 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $18,500 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $18,500 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $18,500 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $18,500 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $18,500 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,500 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $18,500 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $18,500 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $18,500 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $18,500 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-03-20
    listed $18,500 Active 34-char remark
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Needs full rehab. Motivated seller

  14. 2026-03-20
    listed $18,500 Active 34-char remark
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Needs full rehab. Motivated seller

  15. 2026-03-20
    listed $18,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Needs full rehab. Motivated seller

  16. 2026-03-18
    historical $18,500
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Needs full rehab. Motivated seller

  17. 2026-03-18
    historical $18,500 34-char remark
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Needs full rehab. Motivated seller

  18. 2005-06-01
    historical
  19. 2004-08-04
    listed $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$483 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$483 · $40/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,604
− Mortgage interest
−$1,036
− Property taxes
−$483
− Insurance
−$92
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$538
Taxable income
$10,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,630
After-tax cash flow
$7,958/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-69.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $18,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $18,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $18,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2005-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-04 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $483 · -52.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…