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1399 Kirkwood Meadows Dr Unit 305-7
D- Composite 35.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$59,500

1399 Kirkwood Meadows Dr Unit 305-7 · Kirkwood, CA 95646
1 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,193 sqft · Condo · 117 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition $50/sqft · 89% below area $1077/mo HOA · 93% of rent ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

True Ski-In/Ski-Out 1 Bedroom + Loft Bedroom in the Heart of KirkwoodDoors 305 & 307, Share IV. Own a prime piece of Kirkwood with this true ski-in/ski-out 1/4 share, offering 13 weeks per year and resort-class amenities. Located in the ultimate central spot, this property is just steps from 5 chair lifts and the Village Plaza, with a living room balcony that offers intimate views of Kirkwood's slopes. This fully furnished, spacious 1 bedroom + loft bedroom unit with a lock-out door sleeps up to 10 guests, featuring 3 queen beds and 2 sofa sleepers. The Mountain Club amenities include a fitness room, hot tub and sauna, and laundry facilities on each floor for added convenience. Utilities, maintenance, and building insurance are all included in the dues. As a quarter-share owner, you'll have access to your own parking space and ski locker in the underground garage, plus a locked cabinet for personal belongings within the property. Additionally, an optional membership with Interval International provides access to worldwide vacation exchanges. Kirkwood Community Association (KCA) Membership offers exclusive access to pool-side activities, hot tubs, fitness equipment, steam & sauna rooms, and private events. It's customary for buyers to pay a 3% RETF fee for KCA membership. The lockoff bedroom has its own door to the hallway and is furnished with two queens, a full bath, kitchenette, and deck. This gives you great flexibility in renting and managing costs. Ask about space available and maximize your time in Kirkwood during periods when the building has lower occupancy! Come for the winter fun, stay for the summer retreat!Every 4 years, you get the entire 2 weeks over Christmas break!Experience the best of Kirkwood with this turnkey, hassle-free ownership opportunity!

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Hot tub
  • Sauna

Tags

LIVING ROOM BALCONYFITNESS ROOMHOT TUBSAUNALAUNDRY FACILITIESPARKING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-571 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#575 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Alpine County Unified (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #546 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Diamond Valley Elementary (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #496 of 1,571 statewide, top 34%, 61 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 50% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Alpine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($411 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Alpine County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 93% of rent.
Recommended offer $54,145 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
-5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-41.15%
DSCR
-0.83
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$537,082
List price
$59,500
Delta
-88.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.9%
Equity multiple
-0.71×
Total profit
$-28,543
Equity at exit
$26,754
10-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
-1.98×
Total profit
$-49,669
Equity at exit
$41,231

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95646

Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $892/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$1,077
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$-571

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,884
Max offer price
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-530 -5% $-551 +0% $-571 +5% $-592 +10% $-612
Rent -10% $-663 -5% $-617 +0% $-571 +5% $-526 +10% $-480
Rate -1.0pp $-541 -0.5pp $-556 base $-571 +0.5pp $-587 +1.0pp $-602

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,077 · $12,924/yr
Likely covers
insurancepool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,500 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,500 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,500 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,500 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,500 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,500 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,500 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,500 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,500 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,500 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,500 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,500 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,500 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,500 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,500 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-02-19
    listed $59,500 Active 1806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1806 chars)

    True Ski-In/Ski-Out 1 Bedroom + Loft Bedroom in the Heart of KirkwoodDoors 305 & 307, Share IV. Own a prime piece of Kirkwood with this true ski-in/ski-out 1/4 share, offering 13 weeks per year and resort-class amenities. Located in the ultimate central spot, this property is just steps from 5 chair lifts and the Village Plaza, with a living room balcony that offers intimate views of Kirkwood's slopes. This fully furnished, spacious 1 bedroom + loft bedroom unit with a lock-out door sleeps up to 10 guests, featuring 3 queen beds and 2 sofa sleepers. The Mountain Club amenities include a fitness room, hot tub and sauna, and laundry facilities on each floor for added convenience. Utilities, maintenance, and building insurance are all included in the dues. As a quarter-share owner, you'll have access to your own parking space and ski locker in the underground garage, plus a locked cabinet for personal belongings within the property. Additionally, an optional membership with Interval International provides access to worldwide vacation exchanges. Kirkwood Community Association (KCA) Membership offers exclusive access to pool-side activities, hot tubs, fitness equipment, steam & sauna rooms, and private events. It's customary for buyers to pay a 3% RETF fee for KCA membership. The lockoff bedroom has its own door to the hallway and is furnished with two queens, a full bath, kitchenette, and deck. This gives you great flexibility in renting and managing costs. Ask about space available and maximize your time in Kirkwood during periods when the building has lower occupancy! Come for the winter fun, stay for the summer retreat!Every 4 years, you get the entire 2 weeks over Christmas break!Experience the best of Kirkwood with this turnkey, hassle-free ownership opportunity!

  17. 2017-01-07
    listed $87,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 12 d/yr ≥76°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,927
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$892
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− HOA
−$12,924
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable loss
−$7,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,795
After-tax cash flow
$-5,061/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This ski-in/ski-out condo is in good condition with minor updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value. The property offers a prime location and resort-class amenities, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Standard cabinetry may benefit from a fresh paint job or replacement.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement.
  • Minor Flooring — Carpeted flooring may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement.
  • Minor Paint — Interior walls and ceilings may benefit from a fresh coat of paint.
  • Minor Landscaping — Landscaping and curb appeal could benefit from some updates to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the property.
  • Both Updating kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Fresh updates can improve the functionality and aesthetic appeal of the kitchen.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and overall property value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance and cleaning — Regular maintenance can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Window cleaning — Clean windows can improve natural light and overall appearance, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Standard cabinetry may benefit from a fresh paint job or replacement. Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement. Minor $500–3,000
Flooring · Carpeted flooring may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement. Minor $500–3,000
Paint · Interior walls and ceilings may benefit from a fresh coat of paint. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Landscaping and curb appeal could benefit from some updates to enhance curb appeal. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $2,500–15,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the property.
  • Both Updating kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Fresh updates can improve the functionality and aesthetic appeal of the kitchen.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and overall property value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance and cleaning — Regular maintenance can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Window cleaning — Clean windows can improve natural light and overall appearance, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alpine County Unified
NCES district ID
0602070
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$58,116
Composite
41.62/100
National rank
#7228
State rank
#546 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Kirkwood

Score
60/100
State rank
#575
US rank
#18791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirkwood, CA
Population (ZIP)
406

Population outlook (Alpine County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025 people
By 2030
995 · -2.9%
By 2040
954 · -6.9%
By 2050
952 · -7.1%
By 2075
1,169 · +14.0%
By 2100
1,675 · +63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 19%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Scotch-Irish 7% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 15%

Political lean MEDSL · Alpine

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.0) · D 64.9% · R 32.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+7.4pp toward D · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 32.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.0 2020: D+31.3 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $59,500 STARMLS
  • 2017-01-07 Listed $87,000 STARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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