1399 Kirkwood Meadows Dr Unit 305-7 · Kirkwood, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 12 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$59,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
True Ski-In/Ski-Out 1 Bedroom + Loft Bedroom in the Heart of KirkwoodDoors 305 & 307, Share IV. Own a prime piece of Kirkwood with this true ski-in/ski-out 1/4 share, offering 13 weeks per year and resort-class amenities. Located in the ultimate central spot, this property is just steps from 5 chair lifts and the Village Plaza, with a living room balcony that offers intimate views of Kirkwood's slopes. This fully furnished, spacious 1 bedroom + loft bedroom unit with a lock-out door sleeps up to 10 guests, featuring 3 queen beds and 2 sofa sleepers. The Mountain Club amenities include a fitness room, hot tub and sauna, and laundry facilities on each floor for added convenience. Utilities, maintenance, and building insurance are all included in the dues. As a quarter-share owner, you'll have access to your own parking space and ski locker in the underground garage, plus a locked cabinet for personal belongings within the property. Additionally, an optional membership with Interval International provides access to worldwide vacation exchanges. Kirkwood Community Association (KCA) Membership offers exclusive access to pool-side activities, hot tubs, fitness equipment, steam & sauna rooms, and private events. It's customary for buyers to pay a 3% RETF fee for KCA membership. The lockoff bedroom has its own door to the hallway and is furnished with two queens, a full bath, kitchenette, and deck. This gives you great flexibility in renting and managing costs. Ask about space available and maximize your time in Kirkwood during periods when the building has lower occupancy! Come for the winter fun, stay for the summer retreat!Every 4 years, you get the entire 2 weeks over Christmas break!Experience the best of Kirkwood with this turnkey, hassle-free ownership opportunity!
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- Hot tub
- Sauna
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-571 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#575 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Alpine County Unified (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #546 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Diamond Valley Elementary (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #496 of 1,571 statewide, top 34%, 61 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 50% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Alpine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($411 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Alpine County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 93% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- -5.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -41.15%
- DSCR
- -0.83
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $537,082
- List price
- $59,500
- Delta
- -88.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.71×
- Total profit
- $-28,543
- Equity at exit
- $26,754
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- -1.98×
- Total profit
- $-49,669
- Equity at exit
- $41,231
Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95646
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$312
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $892/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$1,077
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $-571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-530 | -5% $-551 | +0% $-571 | +5% $-592 | +10% $-612 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-663 | -5% $-617 | +0% $-571 | +5% $-526 | +10% $-480 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-541 | -0.5pp $-556 | base $-571 | +0.5pp $-587 | +1.0pp $-602 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,875
- Closing costs
- $1,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,077 · $12,924/yr
- Likely covers
- insurancepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-02-19$59,500 Active 1806-char remark
Show marketing remark (1806 chars)
True Ski-In/Ski-Out 1 Bedroom + Loft Bedroom in the Heart of KirkwoodDoors 305 & 307, Share IV. Own a prime piece of Kirkwood with this true ski-in/ski-out 1/4 share, offering 13 weeks per year and resort-class amenities. Located in the ultimate central spot, this property is just steps from 5 chair lifts and the Village Plaza, with a living room balcony that offers intimate views of Kirkwood's slopes. This fully furnished, spacious 1 bedroom + loft bedroom unit with a lock-out door sleeps up to 10 guests, featuring 3 queen beds and 2 sofa sleepers. The Mountain Club amenities include a fitness room, hot tub and sauna, and laundry facilities on each floor for added convenience. Utilities, maintenance, and building insurance are all included in the dues. As a quarter-share owner, you'll have access to your own parking space and ski locker in the underground garage, plus a locked cabinet for personal belongings within the property. Additionally, an optional membership with Interval International provides access to worldwide vacation exchanges. Kirkwood Community Association (KCA) Membership offers exclusive access to pool-side activities, hot tubs, fitness equipment, steam & sauna rooms, and private events. It's customary for buyers to pay a 3% RETF fee for KCA membership. The lockoff bedroom has its own door to the hallway and is furnished with two queens, a full bath, kitchenette, and deck. This gives you great flexibility in renting and managing costs. Ask about space available and maximize your time in Kirkwood during periods when the building has lower occupancy! Come for the winter fun, stay for the summer retreat!Every 4 years, you get the entire 2 weeks over Christmas break!Experience the best of Kirkwood with this turnkey, hassle-free ownership opportunity!
-
2017-01-07$87,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 12 d/yr ≥76°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,333
- − Property taxes
- −$892
- − Insurance
- −$298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,114
- − Management
- −$1,114
- − HOA
- −$12,924
- − Depreciation
- −$1,731
- Taxable loss
- −$7,479
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,795
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,061/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This ski-in/ski-out condo is in good condition with minor updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value. The property offers a prime location and resort-class amenities, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Standard cabinetry may benefit from a fresh paint job or replacement.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement.
- Minor Flooring — Carpeted flooring may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement.
- Minor Paint — Interior walls and ceilings may benefit from a fresh coat of paint.
- Minor Landscaping — Landscaping and curb appeal could benefit from some updates to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the property.
- Both Updating kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Fresh updates can improve the functionality and aesthetic appeal of the kitchen.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and overall property value.
- Both HVAC maintenance and cleaning — Regular maintenance can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
- Both Window cleaning — Clean windows can improve natural light and overall appearance, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Standard cabinetry may benefit from a fresh paint job or replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Carpeted flooring may benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Interior walls and ceilings may benefit from a fresh coat of paint. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Landscaping and curb appeal could benefit from some updates to enhance curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the property. ↑
- Both Updating kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Fresh updates can improve the functionality and aesthetic appeal of the kitchen. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and overall property value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance and cleaning — Regular maintenance can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Window cleaning — Clean windows can improve natural light and overall appearance, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine County Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0602070
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,116
- Composite
- 41.62/100
- National rank
- #7228
- State rank
- #546 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Kirkwood
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #575
- US rank
- #18791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kirkwood, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 406
Population outlook (Alpine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025 people
- By 2030
- 995 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 954 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 952 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 1,169 · +14.0%
- By 2100
- 1,675 · +63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Scotch-Irish 7% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Alpine
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.0) · D 64.9% · R 32.9% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.0 2020: D+31.3 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-31.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Listed $59,500 STARMLS
- 2017-01-07 Listed $87,000 STARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…