811 Schriever St · Jennings, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Over 3500 square feet for your family in quiet cul-de-sac within walking distance to the city public pool. Plenty of parking for guests, this 4 bedroom 2 full bath (with half baths also) features living room and separate ten, small office, game room, inside laundry room and lots of room for kids to play!
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.2% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#228 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson Davis Parish (town): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 98 in LA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Jefferson Davis Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson Davis County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.30%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,242
- List price
- $144,000
- Delta
- -44.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 W Academy Ave W | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 3,314 (-5%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $106 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,432
- Equity at exit
- $21,471
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $22,615
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70546
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,589 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$755
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,527/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,000
- Closing costs
- $4,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $144,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-01-27$144,000 Active 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Over 3500 square feet for your family in quiet cul-de-sac within walking distance to the city public pool. Plenty of parking for guests, this 4 bedroom 2 full bath (with half baths also) features living room and separate ten, small office, game room, inside laundry room and lots of room for kids to play!
-
2024-08-31status Active
-
2024-08-16status Pending
-
2024-06-11$179,000 Active
-
2020-04-30soldstatus
-
2020-04-30soldstatus $150,000
-
2019-05-15$145,000
-
2018-10-25$145,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,527 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,527 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,066
- − Property taxes
- −$1,527
- − Insurance
- −$720
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,525
- − Management
- −$1,525
- − Depreciation
- −$4,189
- Taxable income
- $1,511
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$363
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Davis Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200810
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,322
- Composite
- 30.21/100
- National rank
- #6302
- State rank
- #33 of 98 in LA
Livability — Jennings
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #17390
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jennings, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,821
Population outlook (Jefferson Davis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,015 people
- By 2030
- 30,563 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 29,639 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 28,456 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 25,521 · -17.7%
- By 2100
- 21,787 · -29.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson Davis
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.1) · D 18.8% · R 79.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -61.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.1 2020: R+55.4 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+47.6 2008: R+39.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.56%
- Current HPI
- 147.6391
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-0.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $144,000 SWLAR
- 2024-08-31 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2024-08-16 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2024-06-11 Listed $179,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2019-05-15 Listed $145,000 SWLAR
- 2018-10-25 Listed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,527 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…