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20 Cottage Green Rd
B- Composite 66.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

20 Cottage Green Rd · Enfield, CT 06082
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,230 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1830 7,840 sqft lot $103/sqft · 27% below area Est $317k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Historic Brick Cottage | Total Renovation Opportunity Bring your vision to this charming historic brick cottage. Featuring a classic front porch and a gracious entryway, the main level offers a formal living room, formal dining room, family room, and a spacious kitchen layout. The second floor hosts five bedrooms, providing ample space for a high-end modernization. This is a full-rehab project ideal for investors or restoration enthusiasts looking to revive a stately home with significant character. Nice fenced yard with seasonal views of the river from the second floor. Strictly sold as-is. Please see agent to agent remarks, the house has been emptied with AI, house still has all the belon

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Built 1830
  • Listed 52 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Enfield School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #114 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Enfield High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #102 of 194 statewide, top 53%, 1,490 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1830 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1830 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.82%
Cash-on-cash
9.04%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$316,544
List price
$229,900
Delta
-27.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1070 Enfield St 0.61mi 4/2.0 2,348 (+5%) 0mo $380,000 $162 59
73 College St 0.38mi 4/2.0 2,204 (-1%) 23mo $300,000 $136 57
31 Oak Ave 0.31mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,946 (-13%) 15mo $290,000 $149 43
13 Frew Ter 0.64mi 4/1.5 1,981 (-11%) 10mo $360,000 $182 41
50 Fairview Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,358 (+6%) 13mo $341,000 $145 38
97 Alden Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,899 (-15%) 6mo $243,000 $128 36
5 Sanford Ave 0.69mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,138 (-4%) 17mo $440,000 $206 36
10 Woodward Ave 0.55mi 4/1.0 1,897 (-15%) 20mo $275,000 $145 33
1071 River Blvd 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,956 (-12%) 10mo $425,000 $217 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,643
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$48,013
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06082

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,839 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$456 /mo · $5,476/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$596
Net cashflow
$485

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,225
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $615 -5% $550 +0% $485 +5% $420 +10% $355
Rent -10% $260 -5% $373 +0% $485 +5% $597 +10% $709
Rate -1.0pp $600 -0.5pp $543 base $485 +0.5pp $425 +1.0pp $365

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
54 Prospect St Enfield, CT 4.0 2.0 2016 $3,200 $1.59 2d 1 0.16mi
36B Maple Ave Enfield, CT 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,775 $0.99 45d 1 0.35mi
37 Shad Row #37 Suffield, CT 3.0 2.5 2000 $2,700 $1.35 2d 1 0.52mi
42 Hartford Ave Enfield, CT 4.0 1.0 1538 $2,400 $1.56 45d 1 0.65mi
8 Catherine Ln Suffield, CT 3.0 2.0 1486 $3,500 $2.36 45d 1 0.89mi
44 Saint James Ave Enfield, CT 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,700 $1.80 45d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $229,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    listed $229,900 Active 706-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,476 · $456/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,476 · $456/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,062
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$5,476
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,725
− Management
−$2,725
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable income
$2,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$581
After-tax cash flow
$5,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Enfield School District
NCES district ID
0901470
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$68,750
Composite
30.42/100
National rank
#6238
State rank
#114 of 153 in CT

Livability — Enfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Thompsonville, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
41,090
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
41,090
Household income
$90,404
Rent vs Own
24.3% rent · 75.7% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -494.72%
Current HPI
192.4011
Rent YoY
▲ 3.90%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $229,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,476 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…