Duplex
736 Dearborn Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to purchase this cash flowing duplex! Current rents total $1610 gross! Large 2 story home! Hardwood floors! Newer windows in the 2nd floor unit! The 2nd floor unit is 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath and currently rented for $910 per month. The 1st floor unit is a 1 bedroom and 1 full bath unit is rented $700. Covered porch! Partially fenced yard! Call today for a private showing before this property is SOLD!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Newer windows
- 4,499 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.1 acre (about 4,499 sq ft); Total building area reported as 2,034
- Financial info: Property set up as income-producing duplex with separate units and published rents (First level rent $700, Second level rent $910)
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: No covered parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas; Two furnaces; Owner pays water and sewer; Owner pays trash removal; Tenants pay cable, electric, and gas
- Home design: Duplex; Built in 1910; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: 1910 construction; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: First level kitchen with range and refrigerator; Second level kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 bedrooms; Second level contains 3 bedrooms; First level contains 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: Second level has 1 full bath; First level has 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate meters for units; Basement with laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $523/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,227/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $112k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.88%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,190
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 670 S 38th St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 2,322 (+14%) | 4mo | $82,000 | $35 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $52,709
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $149,926
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,227 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $907/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $1,047
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,111 | -5% $1,079 | +0% $1,047 | +5% $1,015 | +10% $983 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $871 | -5% $959 | +0% $1,047 | +5% $1,135 | +10% $1,223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,104 | -0.5pp $1,076 | base $1,047 | +0.5pp $1,018 | +1.0pp $988 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,228 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,114 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,114 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,227 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3909 W Broadway Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,745 | $0.87 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 722 S 40th St Unit NA Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 803 S 35th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1486 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 628 S 39th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1448 | $1,220 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 820 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,395 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4220 Sunset Ave Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 127 N 40th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,570 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 858 S 23rd St Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2228 | $2,100 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2319 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $1,300 | $0.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2529 W Main St #2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1618 S 30th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1896 | $1,235 | $0.65 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 205 N 26th St Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1545 Catalpa St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1760 | $1,545 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 424-char remark
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $112,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$114,900 Active
-
2026-05-06price $117,900
-
2026-05-06price $117,900
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2026-04-25price $118,900
-
2026-04-25price $118,900
-
2026-04-08price $119,900
-
2026-04-08price $119,900
-
2026-04-03price $124,899
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2026-04-03price $124,899
-
2026-03-12price $124,900
-
2026-03-12price $124,900
-
2026-03-06price $129,899
-
2026-03-06price $129,899
-
2026-02-14price $129,900
-
2026-02-14price $129,900
-
2026-02-05price $133,500
-
2026-02-05price $133,500
-
2026-02-03price $133,900
-
2026-01-28price $133,900
-
2025-12-17price $143,900
-
2025-12-12price $144,500
-
2011-07-21historical
-
2011-01-31$14,500
-
2005-10-13soldstatus $73,600
-
2005-10-05soldstatus $73,600
-
2005-10-05soldstatus $73,600
-
2005-03-22$75,000
-
2005-03-22$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $968 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$60/yr (+$5/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$907
- − Insurance
- −$562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,138
- − Management
- −$2,138
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable income
- $11,404
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+53.2% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $114,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $117,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $117,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $118,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $118,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $119,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $119,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $124,899 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $124,899 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $124,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $124,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $129,899 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $129,899 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $129,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $129,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $133,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $133,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $133,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $133,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $143,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $144,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2011-07-21 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2011-01-31 Listed $14,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $73,600 Public Records
- 2005-10-05 Sold (MLS) $73,600 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-10-05 Sold (MLS) $73,600 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-03-22 Listed $75,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-03-22 Listed $75,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $907 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…