201 E 3rd St · Auburn, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home filled with beautiful woodwork and timeless character. This 3 bedroom gem sits on a nice quiet corner lot in a peaceful neighborhood. There are some newer windows on the upper level and a new front door. This home is in a quiet neighborhood and only 12 miles from Carroll and 10 from Lake View. Enjoy mornings on the covered porch and peace of mind with a brand-new roof. A true blend of comfort, charm & craftsmanship! The appliances are included but not warranted. There is a 1000 gal LP tank that goes with the property.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- 1000 gal lp tank
- Brand-new roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($701/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#404 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- East Sac County Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #211 of 289 in IA (top 73%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Sac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Sac County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.86%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,775
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -8.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Ash St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,661 (+1%) | 18mo | $115,640 | $70 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $19,966
- Equity at exit
- $60,702
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $65,855
- Equity at exit
- $93,549
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51433
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2025-11-02$135,000 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Charming home filled with beautiful woodwork and timeless character. This 3 bedroom gem sits on a nice quiet corner lot in a peaceful neighborhood. There are some newer windows on the upper level and a new front door. This home is in a quiet neighborhood and only 12 miles from Carroll and 10 from Lake View. Enjoy mornings on the covered porch and peace of mind with a brand-new roof. A true blend of comfort, charm & craftsmanship! The appliances are included but not warranted. There is a 1000 gal LP tank that goes with the property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,716 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$404/yr (+$34/mo · 30.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,312
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,585
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Sac County Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1929580
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,988
- Composite
- 54.08/100
- National rank
- #1389
- State rank
- #211 of 289 in IA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #404
- US rank
- #8608
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 567
Population outlook (Sac County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,438 people
- By 2030
- 9,148 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 8,660 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 8,256 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 7,832 · -17.0%
- By 2100
- 7,110 · -24.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 25% Slovak 23% Danish 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sac
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.6) · D 23.7% · R 75.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -51.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.6 2020: R+48.3 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-11-02 Listed $135,000 IAR
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,312 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…