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702 Cross Park Dr
B Composite 72.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,500

702 Cross Park Dr · St. Augustine, FL 32084
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily · 139 Days on market
Built 1983 Good condition $90/sqft · 73% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This mobile home is located in St. Augustine, Florida in a 55+ community park. This is set on a corner lot with trees lots of shade with 2 screened porches on both sides with carport. It is partially furnished and move in ready.

Key facts

  • Screened porches
  • Move in ready
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSCREENED PORCHESMOVE IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $940 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 631 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $522 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.45%
Cap rate
21.23%
Cash-on-cash
53.35%
DSCR
3.37
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$276,522
List price
$75,500
Delta
-72.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$42,676
Equity at exit
$11,257
10-year hold
IRR
52.7%
Equity multiple
5.49×
Total profit
$95,009
Equity at exit
$6,528

Cash invested: $21,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32084

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
631
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$396
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,132/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$940

Break-even live

Break-even rent $660
Max offer price $75,500
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $992 -5% $966 +0% $940 +5% $914 +10% $888
Rent -10% $794 -5% $867 +0% $940 +5% $1,013 +10% $1,086
Rate -1.0pp $978 -0.5pp $959 base $940 +0.5pp $920 +1.0pp $900

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,875
Closing costs
$2,265
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
350 Laurel Dr , FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,852 $1.85 2d 13 0.53mi
1845 Old Moultrie Rd #32 Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $1,650 $1.90 24d 1 0.96mi
1419 San Juline Cir Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 1.5 804 $1,649 $2.05 14d 1 1.01mi
1040 W 7th St Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.0 1108 $2,195 $1.98 2d 1 1.32mi
950 Sidney St Unit 12 St. Augustine, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 1 1.43mi
909 S Ponce de Leon Blvd Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $3,150 $2.81 4d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,500 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,500 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,500 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,500 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,500 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,500 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,500 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,500 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,500 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,500 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,500 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,500 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,500 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-01-29
    listed $75,500 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    This mobile home is located in St. Augustine, Florida in a 55+ community park. This is set on a corner lot with trees lots of shade with 2 screened porches on both sides with carport. It is partially furnished and move in ready.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,203
− Mortgage interest
−$4,229
− Property taxes
−$1,132
− Insurance
−$378
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$2,196
Taxable income
$10,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,572
After-tax cash flow
$8,708/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home in St. Augustine, Florida is in good condition with a clean exterior and maintained landscaping. It is move-in ready and presents well for both resale and rental, with potential for modest updates to enhance its value further.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC inspection and maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters.
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizing these spaces can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC inspection and maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters.
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizing these spaces can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Augustine

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,291
Household income
$73,837
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1748.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -287.02%
Current HPI
330.9505
Rent YoY
▲ 0.25%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $75,500 Fizber.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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