702 Cross Park Dr · St. Augustine, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This mobile home is located in St. Augustine, Florida in a 55+ community park. This is set on a corner lot with trees lots of shade with 2 screened porches on both sides with carport. It is partially furnished and move in ready.
Key facts
- Screened porches
- Move in ready
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $940 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 631 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $522 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.35%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,522
- List price
- $75,500
- Delta
- -72.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $42,676
- Equity at exit
- $11,257
- IRR
- 52.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.49×
- Total profit
- $95,009
- Equity at exit
- $6,528
Cash invested: $21,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32084
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 631
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$396
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,132/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $940
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $992 | -5% $966 | +0% $940 | +5% $914 | +10% $888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $794 | -5% $867 | +0% $940 | +5% $1,013 | +10% $1,086 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $959 | base $940 | +0.5pp $920 | +1.0pp $900 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,875
- Closing costs
- $2,265
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350 Laurel Dr , FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,852 | $1.85 | 2d | 13 | 0.53mi |
| 1845 Old Moultrie Rd #32 Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,650 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1419 San Juline Cir Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 804 | $1,649 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1040 W 7th St Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,195 | $1.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 950 Sidney St Unit 12 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 909 S Ponce de Leon Blvd Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $3,150 | $2.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-01-29$75,500 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
This mobile home is located in St. Augustine, Florida in a 55+ community park. This is set on a corner lot with trees lots of shade with 2 screened porches on both sides with carport. It is partially furnished and move in ready.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,229
- − Property taxes
- −$1,132
- − Insurance
- −$378
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$2,196
- Taxable income
- $10,715
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,572
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This mobile home in St. Augustine, Florida is in good condition with a clean exterior and maintained landscaping. It is move-in ready and presents well for both resale and rental, with potential for modest updates to enhance its value further.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both HVAC inspection and maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizing these spaces can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both HVAC inspection and maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizing these spaces can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Augustine
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,291
- Household income
- $73,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1748.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.02%
- Current HPI
- 330.9505
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Listed $75,500 Fizber.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…