1403 Thunder Canyon Way · Josephine, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1403 Thunder Canyon Way! This exceptional single-family home offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and small-town charm in a rapidly growing North Texas community. Built in 2021, this immaculate 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-story brick home has 1,625 square feet of thoughtfully maximized living space. The inviting open-concept floor plan immediately draws you in, featuring a spacious living area —perfect for quiet evenings or hosting friends. The modern kitchen serves as the heart of the home, offering sleek finishes and a seamless flow into the dining area.
Key facts
- Classic curb appeal
- Modern kitchen
- 7,318 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (18.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,076 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nesmith El (math 46% / reading 46%, grade D-, #1,097 of 4,322 statewide, top 26%, 768 students, 44% FRL); Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1884 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.46%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,336
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -9.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1910 Bailer Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (-2%) | 3mo | $259,000 | $163 | 74 |
| 702 Cistern Way | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,787 (+10%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $151 | 72 |
| 504 Patina St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (-6%) | 7mo | $239,990 | $157 | 66 |
| 412 Wrangler Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-11%) | 5mo | $237,000 | $163 | 64 |
| 918 Country Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (-7%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 1313 Emi Kate Ln | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,785 (+10%) | 2mo | $277,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 2110 Bailer Way | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (-7%) | 4mo | $239,990 | $159 | 60 |
| 308 Saw Mill Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,577 (-3%) | 1mo | $239,999 | $152 | 57 |
| 1007 Stockyard St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-11%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $166 | 56 |
| 503 Silo Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (+7%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $144 | 53 |
| 1102 Stockyard St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,791 (+10%) | 6mo | $244,900 | $137 | 52 |
| 914 Sunrise Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,409 (-13%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $170 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-60,822
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -47.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.44×
- Total profit
- $-96,717
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 54 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.7 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $259,000 ($159/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 91 d
- This list price
- 13% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75189
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1884
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,127 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$532 /mo · $6,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$40
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $-250
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-114 | -5% $-182 | +0% $-250 | +5% $-318 | +10% $-385 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-418 | -5% $-334 | +0% $-250 | +5% $-166 | +10% $-82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-129 | -0.5pp $-189 | base $-250 | +0.5pp $-312 | +1.0pp $-375 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1401 Old Trail Rd Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2211 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 51d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1404 Old Trail Rd Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 48d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 711 Cistern Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2081 | $1,975 | $0.95 | 102d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 606 Wrangler Dr Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 29d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1208 Fieldstone Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 139d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 603 Chuck Wagon Dr Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,845 | $1.41 | 6d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1501 Bridle Dr Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2081 | $1,975 | $0.95 | 139d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 508 Windrow Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,875 | $1.22 | 120d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 508 Windrow Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,900 | $1.24 | 139d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 503 Cistern Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,795 | $1.39 | 97d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 503 Cistern Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,795 | $1.39 | 62d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 604 Heirloom Ln Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $1,316 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1503 Cotton Gin Ct Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 139d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 406 Knapsack Ln Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $1,856 | $0.99 | 59d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 903 Shear Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1898 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 98d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 903 Shear Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1898 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1304 Lowhill Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 71d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1304 Lowhill Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 7d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 808 Country Rd Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2080 | $2,550 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1910 Bailer Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 120d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 816 Country Rd Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2080 | $2,400 | $1.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2000 Bailer Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1947 | $2,500 | $1.28 | 98d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1007 Cotton Gin Ct Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $2,050 | $1.27 | 139d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2008 Bailer Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $1,975 | $1.31 | 114d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1307 Community Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2104 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 139d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1004 Cotton Gin Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 108d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1903 Feeder Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,775 | $1.34 | 11d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1208 Community Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2081 | $2,400 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 808 Hay Loft Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,775 | $1.34 | 50d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 904 Saddle Horn Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 59d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 904 Saddle Horn Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 54d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 904 Saddle Horn Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 401 Silo Cir Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 85d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 819 Sunrise Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $1,860 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 305 Silo Cir Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2074 | $2,100 | $1.01 | 120d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 311 Milo Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2074 | $2,050 | $0.99 | 80d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 808 Saddle Horn Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,199 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 916 Sunrise Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,900 | $1.20 | 114d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 920 Sunrise Ln Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2141 | $2,395 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 717 Cottonwood WAY Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2073 | $2,035 | $0.98 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Subdivision: Magnolia Ph 8
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAHOA fees $240 semi-annuallyHOA covers grounds maintenance and management feesHOA managed by Proper HOA Management
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage2 covered parking spaces2-car double doors
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerElectric service available
- Home design
- Single family residenceOne levelBuilt in 2021Not attached to another property
- Construction
- Year built 2021
- Exterior features
- Lot less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.168 acre)Curbs
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherKitchen (17 x 10)
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms totalPrimary bedroom on level 1 (13 x 16)Bedroom on level 1 (10 x 14)Bedroom on level 1 (10 x 14)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- High speed internet availableOne living areaOne dining area7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry room on level 1 (7 x 6)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $240,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $240,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $240,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $240,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $240,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $240,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $240,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $240,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $240,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $240,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $240,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $240,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $240,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $240,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $240,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $240,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $240,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $240,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-26pricedays on market $240,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $243,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $243,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $243,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $243,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $243,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $243,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $243,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $243,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $243,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $243,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $243,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $243,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $243,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $243,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $243,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $243,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $243,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $243,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $243,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $243,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $243,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $243,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $243,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $243,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $243,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $243,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $243,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $243,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $243,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $243,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $243,000 Active 45 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,379 · $532/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,379 · $532/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$6,379
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,042
- − Management
- −$2,042
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$7,041
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,690
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2021 single-story brick home offers a good condition with a modern and functional layout. It is move-in ready with minor maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Josephine
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #19105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rockwall County · 1,210,074 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,739
- Household income
- $117,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 22% of renters
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.10%
- Current HPI
- 212.8422
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.13%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $243,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+66.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,379 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…