4338 Caliente St #5 · Paradise, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
Key facts
- Tennis courts
- Pool
- Mature landscaping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in NV, #3,494 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A-, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Paradise Prof Dev Es (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #311 of 402 statewide, top 82%, 476 students, 100% FRL); Orr William E Ms (math 5% / reading 18%, grade F, #103 of 109 statewide, top 95%, 815 students, 100% FRL); Del Sol Academy of Performing Arts Hs (math 10% / reading 33%, grade F, #91 of 131 statewide, top 70%, 2,511 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clark County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.65%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-15,892
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-12,093
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89119
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,754 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $774/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$95
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $312 | +0% $264 | +5% $216 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $125 | -5% $195 | +0% $264 | +5% $333 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $349 | -0.5pp $307 | base $264 | +0.5pp $220 | +1.0pp $175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4386 Caliente St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,679 | $1.48 | 46d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 4255 Channel 10 Dr Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $1,795 | $2.00 | 5d | 7 | 0.48mi |
| 4440 Woodpine Dr #108 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1405 | $1,645 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4801 Spencer St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1072 | $2,069 | $1.93 | 46d | 14 | 0.50mi |
| 4330 Channel 10 Dr Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,850 | $2.29 | 0d | 27 | 0.50mi |
| 1577 Elizabeth Ave #1 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 46d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1700 E Viking Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,662 | $1.53 | 46d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 4330 S Eastern Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $1,670 | $2.08 | 0d | 6 | 0.65mi |
| 1061 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $2,203 | $2.28 | 17d | 35 | 0.66mi |
| 1601 E Katie Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 809 | $1,852 | $2.29 | 46d | 13 | 0.68mi |
| 1635 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 832 | $2,517 | $3.02 | 0d | 69 | 0.68mi |
| 5045 Spencer St Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 828 | $1,610 | $1.94 | 46d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4050 Pacific Harbors Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 991 | $1,642 | $1.66 | 46d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 4050 Pacific Harbors Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,475 | $1.49 | 0d | 4 | 0.90mi |
| 5055 Jeffreys St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,646 | $2.19 | 0d | 15 | 0.96mi |
| 4775 Topaz St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,670 | $1.63 | 0d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 3930 University Center Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 46d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 818 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1158 | $2,895 | $2.50 | 0d | 33 | 0.98mi |
| 4770 Topaz St #6 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 928 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 26d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5187 Caliente St #96 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,595 | $1.60 | 46d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4770 Topaz St #37 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 928 | $1,395 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5064 Jeffreys St #201 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4770 S Topaz St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,785 | $1.81 | 26d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4770 Topaz St #50 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5272 Tamarus St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,912 | $1.59 | 46d | 6 | 1.12mi |
| 2568 Paradise Village Way Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,275 | $1.39 | 6d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5415 Oxbow St Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,800 | $1.97 | 46d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3145 E Flamingo Rd #2036 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 46d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3145 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,625 | $1.59 | 0d | 3 | 1.34mi |
| 3145 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,625 | $1.59 | 22d | 3 | 1.34mi |
| 595 S Royal Crest Cir #18 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,575 | $1.93 | 46d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2126 Rawhide St Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $2,401 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3930 Paradise Rd Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $3,370 | $3.37 | 0d | 90 | 1.42mi |
| 3275 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,684 | $2.04 | 0d | 47 | 1.46mi |
| 2158 E Desert Inn Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,100 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2236 E Desert Inn Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,545 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $95 · $1,140/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $170,000
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-04-02status Pending
-
2026-03-22price $195,000
-
2026-03-03$210,000 Active
-
2023-02-01historical 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2023-01-31soldstatus $245,000 Closed 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2023-01-31soldstatus $245,000
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-12-12status Pending 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-11-17price $245,000 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-10-10status Active 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-07-27status Pending 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-07-13price $250,000 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-05-29status Active 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-04-22status Pending 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2022-04-19$260,000 Active 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedrooms Townhouse with 2 car garage. Centrally located just minutes from UNLV, shopping and Strip. The community has access to the Tennis Court, pool & Spa. Come see it!!
-
2011-08-24soldstatus $55,000
-
2011-08-12historical
-
2011-07-28price $64,900
-
2011-07-23price $58,500
-
2011-07-06$59,900 Exclusive Right
-
2011-05-19historical
-
2011-05-13price $48,888
-
2011-05-06$42,000 Exclusive Right
-
2004-11-08soldstatus $140,000
-
2002-10-31soldstatus $93,000
-
1994-04-29soldstatus $74,500
-
1993-03-04soldstatus $52,237
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $774 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,003 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$229/yr (+$19/mo · 29.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$774
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,684
- − Management
- −$1,684
- − HOA
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $448
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Paradise
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #3494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paradise, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 227,885
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,196
- Household income
- $46,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4678.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% White 29% Two or more races 18% Black 13% Asian 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 29% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -221.72%
- Current HPI
- 266.4892
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.81%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+225.4% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — GLVAR
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $170,000 GLVAR
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2026-04-02 Pending — GLVAR
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $195,000 GLVAR
- 2026-03-03 Listed $210,000 GLVAR
- 2023-02-01 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2023-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-31 Sold (MLS) $245,000 GLVAR
- 2022-12-12 Pending — GLVAR
- 2022-11-17 Price Changed $245,000 GLVAR
- 2022-10-10 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2022-07-27 Pending — GLVAR
- 2022-07-13 Price Changed $250,000 GLVAR
- 2022-05-29 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2022-04-22 Pending — GLVAR
- 2022-04-19 Listed $260,000 GLVAR
- 2011-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2011-08-12 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2011-07-28 Price Changed $64,900 GLVAR
- 2011-07-23 Price Changed $58,500 GLVAR
- 2011-07-06 Listed $59,900 GLVAR
- 2011-05-19 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2011-05-13 Price Changed $48,888 GLVAR
- 2011-05-06 Listed $42,000 GLVAR
- 2004-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 1994-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
- 1993-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $52,237 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $774 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…